- The Red Sox are -140 favorites vs the Blue Jays
- Blue Jays vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Blue Jays / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | RSN | TVA | ESPN+
The Toronto Blue Jays (+120) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-145) on Thursday, August 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.
This season, the Blue Jays are 65-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 61-72 ATS.
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 7-3, 4.00 ERA
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 8-11, 4.20 ERA
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Blue Jays | +1.5 -190 | O 8.5 -110 | +120 |
| Red Sox | -1.5 +155 | U 8.5 -110 | -145 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 54.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Home Runs Over in 14 of his last 39 games (+36.85 Units / 94% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+14.30 Units / 33% ROI)
- Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 33 games (+13.15 Units / 40% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 27 of his last 39 games (+12.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 39 games (+12.35 Units / 30% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 50 games (+35.20 Units / 70% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the RBIs Under in his last 16 games at home (+16.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 29 games (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- Triston Casas has hit the Total Bases Over in 21 of his last 30 games (+9.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 42 games (+9.60 Units / 20% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 47 away games (+13.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 10 of their last 14 games (+5.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 67 away games (+4.00 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 14 of their last 24 games (+2.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 66 games (+9.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 74 of their last 133 games (+7.55 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 35 games (+6.55 Units / 16% ROI)
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 66-69 against the Run Line (-14.25 Units / -7.84% ROI).
- 65-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.55 Units / -7.53% ROI
- 72-59 when betting on the total runs Over for +7 Units / 4.76% ROI
- 59-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -20.7 Units / -14.01% ROI
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 61-72 against the Run Line (-19.15 Units / -10.88% ROI).
- 69-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.55 Units / -0.96% ROI
- 69-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.55 Units / 4.5% ROI
- 57-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.3 Units / -12.63% ROI
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Danny Jansen (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| David Hamilton (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Danny Jansen (BOS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kutter Crawford (BOS) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .100 (9-for-90) against Bowden Francis this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OBP of just .147 (95 PA’s) this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .297 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .082 (4-for-49) against Bowden Francis in his last two starts — best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .236 — 100th Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed an OPS of just .370 (96 PA’s) this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .696 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.458 (89 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.032 — first Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of .986 (73 Total Bases / 74 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .589 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (48/156) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 68% (621/914) when ahead in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — 100th Percentile.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are 30-23 (.566) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .427.
The Blue Jays are 36-29 (.554) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are 55-13 (.809) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .726.
The Red Sox are just 18-19 (.486) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Red Sox are 23-15 (.605) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Red Sox are just 3-127 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 737 strikeouts in 3,764 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Blue Jays are batting just .232 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .324 (17,402 PA’s) since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Blue Jays hitters have a groundball batting average of just .205 against the shift this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 426 strikeouts in 1,518 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .449 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Red Sox hitters have 794 strikeouts in 3,096 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Red Sox are just 8-21 (.276) against the run line (-49.4% ROI) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of 32% over the past seven days (7 games) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 35% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Red Sox pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% with runners in scoring position this month (25 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 13 of 115 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
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