- The Braves are -150 favorites vs the Mariners
- Braves vs Mariners Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Braves / Mariners TV Channel: BSSO | RTNW | MLBN
The Atlanta Braves (-150) visit T-Mobile Park to take on the Seattle Mariners (+125) on Monday, April 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 9:40pm EDT in Seattle, WA.
This season, the Braves are 19-7 against the spread (ATS), while the Mariners are 13-15 ATS.
Braves vs Mariners Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Max Fried 2-0, 4.91 ERA
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryce Miller 3-2, 2.25 ERA
Braves vs. Mariners Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +115 | O 7.5 -120 | -150 |
| Mariners | +1.5 -140 | U 7.5 +100 | +125 |
Braves vs Mariners Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ronald Acuna Jr. has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 19 games (+13.15 Units / 36% ROI)
- Travis d’Arnaud has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+12.20 Units / 203% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Matt Olson has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.20 Units / 59% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+16.50 Units / 48% ROI)
- Jorge Polanco has hit the Runs Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+15.25 Units / 37% ROI)
- Cal Raleigh has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 15 games (+10.65 Units / 71% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 44% ROI)
- Mitch Garver has hit the Total Bases Under in 12 of his last 16 games (+9.65 Units / 54% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 66 games (+15.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 109 games (+3.80 Units / 2% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 59 of their last 109 games (+3.45 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+3.09 Units / 50% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games (+11.71 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 52 games (+11.13 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 50 of their last 82 games (+8.75 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 50 of their last 86 games (+7.14 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 11 games at home (+7.10 Units / 60% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 13-13 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.5% ROI).
- 19-7 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.5 Units / 13.08% ROI
- 11-13 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -11.36% ROI
- 13-11 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.95 Units / 3.32% ROI
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 13-15 against the Run Line (-2.75 Units / -7.52% ROI).
- 15-13 when betting on the Moneyline for -2 Units / -5.81% ROI
- 6-20 when betting on the total runs Over for -16.1 Units / -54.03% ROI
- 20-6 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.3 Units / 44.93% ROI
Mariners vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Ronald Acuna (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Mariners vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Mariners vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Mariners vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 80.0 MPH (43 batted balls) this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 89.0 — 100th Percentile.
Max Fried has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 80.0 MPH this season (43 balls in play) — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 89.0
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 77% (23/30) against Max Fried — highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 44% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 65% (53/81) against Max Fried this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 10 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 39% (27/70) against Bryce Miller with runners in scoring position since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 75 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 31% (70/227) against Bryce Miller since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 140 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Bryce Miller has allowed a slugging percentage of just .113 (6 Total Bases / 53 ABs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among among AL Starters; League Avg: .271 — 97th Percentile.
Bryce Miller allowed a batting average of just .200 vs right-handed batters (eighth best)– 94th Percentile and .303 vs left-handed batters last season (tied for sixth worst among non-qualified SPs)– seventh Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .424.
The Braves are 17-53 (.243) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .101.
The Braves are 34-51 (.400) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .214.
The Braves are 49-44 (.527) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .301.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Mariners are 152-6 (.962) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Mariners are 88-13 (.871) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
The Mariners are 89-30 (.748) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
The Mariners are 90-2 (.978) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters have an OPS of .839 (7,272 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .730.
Braves hitters are slugging .490 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves hitters are slugging .591 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .450.
Braves hitters are slugging .494 since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .125 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Mariners hitters have an OPS of just .233 (53 PA’s) in innings 7-9 over the past seven days (6 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Mariners hitters have an OBP of just .300 (787 PA’s) against RHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
The Mariners are batting just .202 at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 86.3 MPH this season (604 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 86.3 MPH (604 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.8.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves pitchers have won 48% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Mariners pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mariners pitchers have an ERA of 3.32 (889.0 IP) at home since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.20.
Mariners pitchers have walked 66 of 1,003 batters (7%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 109 of 1,706 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jackson Kowar (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Mitch Garver (Seattle Mariners): Back, Day-To-Day
- Sam Haggerty (Seattle Mariners): Undisclosed, 10-Day IL
- Gregory Santos (Seattle Mariners): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Eduard Bazardo (Seattle Mariners): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Bryan Woo (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Matt Brash (Seattle Mariners): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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