- The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Nationals
- Braves vs Nationals Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Braves / Nationals TV Channel: MAS2 | BSSO
The Atlanta Braves (-140) visit Nationals Park to take on the Washington Nationals (+120) on Tuesday, September 10, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:45pm EDT in Washington, DC.
This season, the Braves are 78-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Nationals are 80-63 ATS.
Braves vs Nationals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Reynaldo Lopez 8-5, 2.05 ERA
- Nationals starting pitcher: MacKenzie Gore 8-11, 4.30 ERA
Braves vs. Nationals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -1.5 +120 | O 8 -115 | -140 |
| Nationals | +1.5 -145 | U 8 -105 | +120 |
Braves vs Nationals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 58.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 away games (+18.20 Units / 107% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+17.10 Units / 35% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 24 of his last 29 games (+16.50 Units / 34% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 28 games (+14.25 Units / 47% ROI)
- Reynaldo Lopez has hit the Earned Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.65 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Luis Garcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games at home (+20.80 Units / 83% ROI)
- CJ Abrams has hit the Runs Under in 17 of his last 20 games (+12.90 Units / 44% ROI)
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+12.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- Jacob Young has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 22 of his last 38 games (+10.95 Units / 28% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 11 games (+10.25 Units / 55% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 84 of their last 130 games (+37.40 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 22 away games (+12.75 Units / 43% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 22 away games (+11.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Over in 20 of their last 31 away games (+7.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 8 of their last 9 away games (+7.20 Units / 55% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 77 of their last 135 games (+10.25 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 35 of their last 60 games at home (+6.30 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 135 games (+6.10 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 69 games (+5.35 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 17 games (+5.00 Units / 26% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 66-78 against the Run Line (-15.45 Units / -8.87% ROI).
- 78-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -22 Units / -9.36% ROI
- 52-87 when betting on the total runs Over for -42.65 Units / -27.14% ROI
- 87-52 when betting on the total runs Under for +29.55 Units / 18.49% ROI
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 80-63 against the Run Line (+6.33 Units / 3.35% ROI).
- 64-79 when betting on the Moneyline for +2.85 Units / 1.88% ROI
- 68-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.2 Units / -3.97% ROI
- 68-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.72 Units / -4.87% ROI
Nationals vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Nationals vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Ramon Laureano (ATL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Nationals vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrรฉs Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Nationals vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mackenzie Gore (WAS) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +125 |
| Reynaldo Lopez (ATL) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .093 (9-for-97) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .251 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .146 (24-for-164) against Reynaldo Lopez with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: .252 — 99th Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has walked 57 of 407 left-handed batters (14%) since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 122 total IP; League Avg: 9% — third Percentile.
Reynaldo Lopez has allowed an OBP of just .232 (233 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 57 total IP; League Avg: .302 — 98th Percentile.
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of 31% (131/421) against MacKenzie Gore this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has a first-pitch strike rate of just 57% (365/642) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .349 (44-for-126) against MacKenzie Gore when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — third Percentile.
MacKenzie Gore has allowed an OBP of .350 (640 PA’s) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — third Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Braves are 37-83 (.308) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 80-140 (.364) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Braves are just 9-18 (.333) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
The Braves are 88-40 (.688) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .568.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Nationals are 11-2 (.846) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Nationals are 14-6 (.700) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Nationals are just 71-118 (.376) after a win since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Nationals are just 35-56 (.385) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
The Braves have barrels in 8% of PA’s in the 2023 season (512/6,249) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Braves hitters are slugging .451 against RHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .407.
The Braves had an average Exit Velocity of 91.0 MPH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .812 (2,815 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .951 (2,113 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Nationals hitters have just 652 strikeouts in 3,439 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals hitters have just 312 strikeouts in 1,571 PA’s (20%) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Nationals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .343 (2,700 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% in late innings since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Nationals vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
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