- The Braves are -300 favorites vs the White Sox
- Braves vs White Sox Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Braves / White Sox TV Channel: NSCH | BSSE
The Atlanta Braves (-350) visit Guaranteed Rate Field to take on the Chicago White Sox (+260) on Thursday, June 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Braves are 44-34 against the spread (ATS), while the White Sox are 36-46 ATS.
Braves vs White Sox Starting Pitchers Today:
- Braves starting pitcher: Chris Sale 10-2, 2.92 ERA
- White Sox starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Braves vs. White Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Braves | -2.5 -110 | O 8 -120 | -350 |
| White Sox | +2.5 -110 | U 8 +100 | +260 |
Braves vs White Sox Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 72.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarred Kelenic has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 16 away games (+20.30 Units / 127% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Runs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 34% ROI)
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Singles Under in 35 of his last 50 games (+16.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 38 of his last 50 games (+16.05 Units / 18% ROI)
- Charlie Morton has hit the Walks Allowed Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+5.65 Units / 55% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for White Sox players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best White Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+17.00 Units / 170% ROI)
- Lenyn Sosa has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+11.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Luis Robert has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.45 Units / 39% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tommy Pham has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 18 games (+10.15 Units / 40% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 43 of their last 64 games (+22.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 37 away games (+11.94 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 away games (+11.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 13 games (+2.80 Units / 19% ROI)
White Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 15 games (+8.65 Units / 52% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 21 of their last 36 games (+5.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago White Sox have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 22 games (+0.65 Units / 2% ROI)
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 37-41 against the Run Line (-3.45 Units / -3.84% ROI).
- 44-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -6.67% ROI
- 29-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -21.1 Units / -24.72% ROI
- 46-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +14.15 Units / 16.39% ROI
White Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the White Sox are 36-46 against the Run Line (-16 Units / -16.09% ROI).
- 21-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -31.7 Units / -38.52% ROI
- 36-42 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.3 Units / -11.46% ROI
- 42-36 when betting on the total runs Under for +3.05 Units / 3.45% ROI
White Sox vs Braves Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -300 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
White Sox vs Braves Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Jarred Kelenic (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Eloy Jimenez (CWS) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
White Sox vs Braves RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Sean Murphy (ATL) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
White Sox vs Braves Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Chris Sale (ATL) | 7.5 -135 | 7.5 +100 |
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
17 of Chris Sale’s breaking pitch strikeouts are backdoor this season — most among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: nan — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed a slugging percentage of just .196 (38 Total Bases / 194 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .348 — 100th Percentile.
Chris Sale has a strikeout rate of 31% (107 SO in 341 PAs) this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 94th Percentile.
Chris Sale has allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 85.7 MPH this season (208 balls in play) — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 88.8
White Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Thorpe had a strike rate of just 50% (47/94) — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Drew Thorpe has a strike rate of just 50% (47/94) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 33% of Drew Thorpe’s pitches (31/94) over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Drew Thorpe has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 35% (6/17) of opposing batters over the past seven days (1 games) — lowest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 68% — second Percentile.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the White Sox
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 34-65 (.343) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
The Braves are 5-3 (.625) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Braves are 45-104 (.302) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
White Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The White Sox are just 17-12 (.586) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The White Sox are just 66-53 (.555) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
The White Sox are just 11-11 (.500) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .800.
The White Sox are just 62-26 (.705) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .858.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .689 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Braves are batting .312 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Braves hitters are slugging .469 against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Braves hitters have an OBP of .358 (1,836 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .328.
White Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .287 (8,932 PA’s) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .284 (6,859 PA’s) against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .292 (11,639 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
White Sox hitters have an OBP of just .294 (3,659 PA’s) with runners on base since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.5 MPH (1,824 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
Braves pitchers won 46% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.5 MPH this season (1,824 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
White Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 13% of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The White Sox have won just 11% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
White Sox pitchers have walked 310 of 3,134 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
In games when their opponents have scored three or more runs in an inning, the White Sox have won just just 3% of the time this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
White Sox vs. Braves Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eloy Jimenez (Chicago White Sox): Thigh, Day-To-Day
- Yasmani Grandal (Chicago White Sox): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Matt Foster (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jake Eder (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Jesse Scholtens (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Drohan (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Liam Hendriks (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jimmy Lambert (Chicago White Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Edgar Navarro (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Davis Martin (Chicago White Sox): Elbow, Out
- Max Stassi (Chicago White Sox): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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