- The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Astros Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Brewers / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | BSWI
The Milwaukee Brewers (+110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-130) on Sunday, May 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Brewers are 27-18 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 19-27 ATS.
Brewers vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Colin Rea 3-1, 3.45 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Spencer Arrighetti 1-4, 7.62 ERA
Brewers vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -175 | O 9 -110 | +110 |
| Astros | -1.5 +145 | U 9 -110 | -130 |
Brewers vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joseph Ortiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games (+24.70 Units / 274% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 40 games (+19.85 Units / 38% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 24 away games (+16.55 Units / 69% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 41 games (+13.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Total Bases Over in 24 of his last 39 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 44 games (+21.25 Units / 38% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 24 games at home (+18.20 Units / 46% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 19 games (+17.75 Units / 93% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 44 games (+15.30 Units / 30% ROI)
- Kyle Tucker has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 44 games (+14.40 Units / 31% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 45 games (+11.59 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 41 games (+9.75 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 45 games (+8.15 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+5.40 Units / 24% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 46 games (+11.10 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 25 games (+8.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 29 games (+8.15 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 8 of their last 10 games (+5.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 51% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 24-21 against the Run Line (+0.15 Units / 0.24% ROI).
- 27-18 when betting on the Moneyline for +9.35 Units / 17.78% ROI
- 27-18 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.55 Units / 15.3% ROI
- 18-27 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.5 Units / -23.16% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 19-27 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -14.47% ROI).
- 20-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.35 Units / -20.78% ROI
- 17-26 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.25 Units / -22.39% ROI
- 26-17 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.3 Units / 14.31% ROI
Astros vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Astros vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Astros vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Astros vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colin Rea (MIL) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Spencer Arrighetti (HOU) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -125 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opposing hitters have a chase rate of just 10% (6/62) against Colin Rea when he’s behind in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 17% (12 SO in 72 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 10th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 10th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 20% (39/196) against Colin Rea this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 27% — first Percentile.
Colin Rea has a strikeout rate of just 16% (30 SO in 191 PAs) this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — seventh Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OPS of 1.371 (34 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .716 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .400 (10-for-25) against Spencer Arrighetti’s elevated fastball this season — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .212 — second Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has allowed an OBP of .588 (34 PA’s) with runners in scoring position this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: .315 — 0 Percentile.
Spencer Arrighetti has an ERA of 7.52 (26.1 IP)this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 16 total IP; League Avg: 3.80 — second Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Brewers are 27-52 (.342) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .212.
The Brewers are 21-11 (.656) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .453.
The Brewers are 41-97 (.297) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 47-37 (.560) vs the top 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Astros are 64-44 (.593) after a road win since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .489.
The Astros are 216-154 (.584) since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 153-21 (.879) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
The Astros are 29-20 (.592) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .475.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have chased 22% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Brewers hitters have a swing rate of just 46% against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Brewers are batting just .234 against LHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Brewers hitters are slugging .459 on pitches 95 mph or greater this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .359.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 736 strikeouts in 4,174 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are slugging .458 against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .406.
Astros hitters have just 415 strikeouts in 2,324 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters have an OPS of .899 (636 PA’s) in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .680.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Brewers pitchers have 264 three-pitch strikeouts since last season — 4th fewest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have an ERA of 3.78 (1842.0 IP) since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 4.25.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 186 of 1,769 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Astros pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 58% of opposing batters this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Grae Kessinger (Houston Astros): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Abreu (Houston Astros): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lance McCullers (Houston Astros): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Forrest Whitley (Houston Astros): Finger, 7-Day IL
- Shawn Dubin (Houston Astros): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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