- The Brewers are +105 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Brewers vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Brewers / Cardinals TV Channel: BSWI | BSMW
The Milwaukee Brewers (+105) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (-125) on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Brewers are 72-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 61-63 ATS.
Brewers vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Frankie Montas 5-8, 4.87 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Erick Fedde 8-6, 3.39 ERA
Brewers vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | -1.5 +170 | O 7.5 -110 | +105 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -225 | U 7.5 -110 | -125 |
Brewers vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Brewers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- William Contreras has hit the Singles Under in 26 of his last 34 games (+18.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Total Bases Over in 27 of his last 41 games (+15.45 Units / 32% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 games (+15.30 Units / 96% ROI)
- Jackson Chourio has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 43 games (+14.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+13.35 Units / 23% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 15 games at home (+29.50 Units / 197% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+15.70 Units / 60% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+14.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- Brendan Donovan has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.70 Units / 27% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.00 Units / 33% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 66 of their last 120 games (+15.05 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 72 of their last 124 games (+13.50 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 124 games (+10.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 96 games (+7.85 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+4.00 Units / 68% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 54 games (+7.40 Units / 12% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+6.25 Units / 52% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 23 of their last 44 games at home (+4.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 9 games at home (+0.65 Units / 6% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 65-59 against the Run Line (+2.6 Units / 1.59% ROI).
- 72-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.5 Units / 8.63% ROI
- 67-50 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.85 Units / 9.49% ROI
- 50-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.85 Units / -17.36% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 61-63 against the Run Line (-8 Units / -4.78% ROI).
- 61-63 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.6 Units / -9.04% ROI
- 59-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.4 Units / -5.47% ROI
- 60-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.1 Units / -3.77% ROI
Cardinals vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Brendan Donovan (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Cardinals vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| William Contreras (MIL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Jackson Chourio (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Cardinals vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Erick Fedde (STL) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Frankie Montas (MIL) | 4.5 -115 | 4.5 -110 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Frankie Montas has walked 25 of 192 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 8% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 45% (19/42) against Frankie Montas this month (3 games) — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (59/182) against Frankie Montas this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 24% — second Percentile.
Frankie Montas has allowed an OBP of .378 (259 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .310 — third Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 50% (415/832) when ahead in the count this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 58% (409/705) in two strike counts this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 62% (1,391/2,251) this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.
Erick Fedde has a strike rate of just 60% (688/1,146) vs left-handed batters this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — sixth Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Brewers are 44-3 (.936) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Brewers are 48-119 (.287) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .205.
The Brewers are 37-35 (.514) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Brewers are 23-13 (.639) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Cardinals are just 57-74 (.435) after a win since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .506.
The Cardinals are 15-12 (.556) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .435.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters are slugging just .184 on the first pitch of at-bats over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
10% of Brewers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,621/16,932 PA’s) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Brewers hitters have drawn 125 walks in 1,193 PA’s (10%) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .331 (1,193 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .687 (3,006 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .359 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .654 (1,446 PA’s) against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .718.
The Cardinals are batting just .232 against LHP this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- DL Hall (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Joe Ross (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
- Greg Allen (Milwaukee Brewers): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- J.B. Bukauskas (Milwaukee Brewers): Triceps, 60-Day IL
- Abner Uribe (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 7-Day IL
- Christian Yelich (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Oliver Dunn (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 60-Day IL
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