- The Tigers are -165 favorites vs the Brewers
- Brewers vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Brewers / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSWI | MLBN
The Milwaukee Brewers (+140) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-165) on Sunday, June 9, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Brewers are 38-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 29-35 ATS.
Brewers vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 3-2, 3.38 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 7-1, 1.97 ERA
Brewers vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Brewers | +1.5 -155 | O 8 -105 | +140 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +125 | U 8 -115 | -165 |
Brewers vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 57.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Willy Adames has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 away games (+13.55 Units / 47% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 away games (+12.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 16 games (+12.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 25 away games (+10.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 24 away games (+9.05 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 5 games at home (+21.50 Units / 430% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 34 games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the RBIs Under in his last 8 games (+8.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Mark Canha has hit the Singles Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.90 Units / 69% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 38 of their last 64 games (+11.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 64 games (+10.30 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 35 of their last 60 games (+9.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+8.64 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 47 games (+13.30 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 35 games (+7.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+6.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.30 Units / 53% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 11 of their last 18 games at home (+3.95 Units / 19% ROI)
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 35-29 against the Run Line (+2.85 Units / 3.24% ROI).
- 38-26 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.6 Units / 14.83% ROI
- 36-26 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 10.87% ROI
- 26-36 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.45 Units / -19.11% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 29-35 against the Run Line (-8.85 Units / -10.24% ROI).
- 31-33 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.15 Units / -5.7% ROI
- 35-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.4 Units / 14% ROI
- 23-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.7 Units / -23.36% ROI
Tigers vs Brewers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Tigers vs Brewers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Zach McKinstry (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Tigers vs Brewers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Justyn-Henry Malloy (DET) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Brewers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 6.5 -135 | 6.5 +100 |
| Bryse Wilson (MIL) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -115 |
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (43/242) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season — 2nd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 19% (182/952) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 3rd lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 28% — third Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed an OBP of just .237 (312 PA’s) against right-handed batters since last season — 3rd best among NL Relievers; League Avg: .300 — 97th Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has a strikeout rate of just 24% (25 SO in 106 PAs) on low non-fastballs since last season — 8th lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 38% — sixth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has a first-pitch strike rate of 72% (205/283) this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 19% (13/68) against Tarik Skubal when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .226 (234 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 6th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 93rd Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has a strikeout rate of 33% (36 SO in 108 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Brewers are 30-54 (.357) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Brewers are 11-15 (.423) when allowing 5 or more runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .189.
The Brewers are just 2-86 (.023) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Brewers are 31-15 (.674) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Tigers are 13-8 (.619) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are just 18-6 (.750) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .845.
The Tigers are just 19-6 (.760) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .891.
The Tigers are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
Brewers hitters have an OBP of .339 (1,930 PA’s) against RHP this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .309.
The Brewers have scored three or more runs in an inning 50 times (9%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 6%.
Brewers hitters have chased 12% of pitches out of the zone on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 16%.
Brewers hitters have a groundball batting average of .288 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .244.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (10,897 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .650 (10,897 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
The Tigers are batting just .312 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Brewers pitchers have 80 three-pitch strikeouts this season — tied for 3rd fewest in MLB.
Brewers pitchers have won 43% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 13 of 106 batters (12%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Tigers pitchers have won only 16% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 298 of 3,443 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Brewers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
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