Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 15

Toronto Blue Jays' Bo Bichette swings at a pitch from the Baltimore Orioles during the first inning of a baseball game, Wednesday, June 14, 2023, in Baltimore.
(AP Photo/Julio Cortez)
  • The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals
  • Cardinals vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
  • Cardinals / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | BSMW

The St. Louis Cardinals (+110) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-130) on Sunday, September 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:37pm EDT in Toronto, ON.

This season, the Cardinals are 74-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 74-74 ATS.

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Cardinals starting pitcher: Miles Mikolas 8-11, 5.58 ERA
  • Blue Jays starting pitcher: Yariel Rodriguez 1-6, 4.44 ERA

Cardinals vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Cardinals+1.5 -200O 8.5 -115+110
Blue Jays -1.5 +165U 8.5 -105-130

Cardinals vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jordan Walker has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 10 games (+12.10 Units / 121% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.80 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Ivan Herrera has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 away games (+10.40 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Miles Mikolas has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+9.85 Units / 23% ROI)
  • Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.05 Units / 41% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.70 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.90 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Singles Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+10.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Daulton Varsho has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 18 games at home (+10.20 Units / 57% ROI)
  • team high – away
  • team high – home

Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 73-74 against the Run Line (-9.7 Units / -4.85% ROI).

  • 74-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.7 Units / -4.96% ROI
  • 69-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.65 Units / -6.63% ROI
  • 72-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -2.64% ROI

Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 74-74 against the Run Line (-12.4 Units / -6.21% ROI).

  • 70-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.9 Units / -8.27% ROI
  • 77-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.4 Units / 2.73% ROI
  • 66-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.1 Units / -11.78% ROI

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Luken Baker (STL) 0.5 +550 0.5 -800
Davis Schneider (TOR) 0.5 +575 0.5 -900
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +625 0.5 -1000
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1200

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Brendan Donovan (STL) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +160
Addison Barger (TOR) 0.5 -190 0.5 +145

Blue Jays vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Spencer Horwitz (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) 0.5 +160 0.5 -210
Nolan Arenado (STL) 0.5 +180 0.5 -250
Alec Burleson (STL) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Luken Baker (STL) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250

Blue Jays vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Yariel Rodriguez (TOR) 4.5 -135 4.5 +105

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .550 (170 Total Bases / 309 ABs) on non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .354 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .533 (88 Total Bases / 165 ABs) on low non-fastballs this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .303 — first Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .547 (135 Total Bases / 247 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — third Percentile.

Miles Mikolas has allowed a slugging percentage of .377 (117 Total Bases / 310 ABs) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .256 — second Percentile.

Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Yariel Rodriguez has walked 23 of 157 batters (15%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Yariel Rodriguez has located his fastball up for a strike just 51% (163/317) of the time this season — 3rd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 26% (23/87) against Yariel Rodriguez’s curve and slider this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 41% — fourth Percentile.

58 of Yariel Rodriguez’s 75 strikeouts (77%) have come on non-fastballs this season — 9th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 53% — 95th Percentile.

Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays

The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.

The Cardinals are 39-18 (.684) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 23-14 (.622) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.

Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals

The Blue Jays are 40-34 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Blue Jays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.

The Blue Jays are just 15-68 (.181) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .274.

The Blue Jays are 217-65 (.770) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .721.

The Cardinals are just 44-70 (.373) against the run line (-30.5% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .496.

Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .306 (3,165 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .319.

The Cardinals are batting just .237 against LHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.

Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .652 (1,605 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .657 (1,301 PA’s) against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .711.

Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .353 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.

The Blue Jays are batting just .228 against LHP this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.

The Blue Jays are batting .257 on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 42% against Blue Jays pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Blue Jays vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
  • St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

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Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.