- The Cardinals are -110 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cardinals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | BSMW | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (-110) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-110) on Thursday, August 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:05pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Cardinals are 56-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 53-57 ATS.
Cardinals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 10-6, 3.79 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 8-2, 2.98 ERA
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +155 | O 8 -115 | -110 |
| Cubs | +1.5 -190 | U 8 -105 | -110 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 34 games (+27.20 Units / 80% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 22 away games (+23.10 Units / 105% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 21 away games (+13.50 Units / 46% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+11.40 Units / 60% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.95 Units / 38% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Ian Happ has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 40 games (+25.50 Units / 64% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 27 of his last 31 games (+21.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Under in 35 of his last 45 games (+16.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 29 of his last 43 games (+11.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- Shota Imanaga has hit the Walks Allowed Under in 15 of his last 19 games (+11.20 Units / 40% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 38 games (+8.10 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.80 Units / 59% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 8 away games (+5.60 Units / 44% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 32 away games (+4.75 Units / 13% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 32 away games (+4.60 Units / 13% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 56 of their last 98 games (+14.35 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+13.95 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 25 of their last 36 games at home (+13.00 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 23 games (+4.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 6 of their last 11 games at home (+1.90 Units / 13% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 54-54 against the Run Line (-3.65 Units / -2.55% ROI).
- 56-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.3 Units / -4.76% ROI
- 51-52 when betting on the total runs Over for -6.7 Units / -5.68% ROI
- 52-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.25 Units / -3.61% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 53-57 against the Run Line (-16.1 Units / -10.55% ROI).
- 52-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.5 Units / -4.92% ROI
- 46-60 when betting on the total runs Over for -20 Units / -16.49% ROI
- 60-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +9.65 Units / 7.99% ROI
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tommy Pham (STL) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 5.5 -155 | 5.5 +120 |
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 60% (138 SO in 231 PAs) with two-strikes this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 54% (75 SO in 140 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .309 (133 Total Bases / 430 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .391 — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has allowed a slugging percentage of just .166 (54 Total Bases / 326 ABs) on sliders since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: .390 — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 56% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (926/1,658) since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 107 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 56% of Shota Imanaga’s pitches (926/1,658) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.
Shota Imanaga has walked 17 of 445 batters (4%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .152 (19-for-125) against Shota Imanaga’s elevated fastball this season — 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .209 — 92nd Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are just 23-35 (.397) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 56-60 (.483) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Cardinals are just 24-60 (.286) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .378.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 7-105 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Cubs are just 49-49 (.500) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .586.
The Cubs are 18-6 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .638.
The Cubs are 33-31 (.516) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .639 (1,217 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .719.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .322 (12,300 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .346 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .375 against LHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .412.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .291 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
The Cubs are batting just .226 at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Cubs are batting .165 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cubs hitters have grounded into 153 double plays in 1,934 opportunities (8%) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 89 of 974 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 51 double plays in 788 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.27 (470.0 IP) at home this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.95.
Cubs pitchers have 174 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Shane Greene (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 60-Day IL
- Ben Brown (Chicago Cubs): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Nick Madrigal (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Matt Mervis (Chicago Cubs): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Luis Vazquez (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Yency Almonte (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Keegan Thompson (Chicago Cubs): Ribs, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Wicks (Chicago Cubs): Oblique, 60-Day IL
- Hayden Wesneski (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Luke Little (Chicago Cubs): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Adbert Alzolay (Chicago Cubs): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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