- The Cubs are -120 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Cardinals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Cardinals / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | BSMW | MLBN
The St. Louis Cardinals (+100) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-120) on Friday, June 14, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Cardinals are 33-34 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 34-35 ATS.
Cardinals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 4-2, 3.74 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jordan Wicks 1-2, 4.34 ERA
Cardinals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -210 | O 8 -120 | +100 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +160 | U 8 +100 | -120 |
Cardinals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Friday‘s MLB game with 52.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 20 away games (+23.90 Units / 120% ROI)
- Nolan Gorman has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 26 games (+13.20 Units / 51% ROI)
- Masyn Winn has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.95 Units / 33% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 21 away games (+8.25 Units / 32% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Singles Under in 11 of his last 15 games (+7.55 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 22 of his last 28 games (+16.65 Units / 44% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Hits Under in 16 of his last 28 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+10.05 Units / 26% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 15 games at home (+9.40 Units / 63% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+8.50 Units / 18% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 18 of their last 28 games (+7.60 Units / 23% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 games (+7.50 Units / 39% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 15 games (+5.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 5 of their last 6 games (+4.50 Units / 63% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.70 Units / 43% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games (+13.40 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 28 of their last 43 games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 33 of their last 57 games (+8.90 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games at home (+3.90 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 4 of their last 6 games (+1.35 Units / 14% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 34-33 against the Run Line (-2.55 Units / -2.87% ROI).
- 33-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.8 Units / -8.3% ROI
- 27-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.55 Units / -15.88% ROI
- 35-27 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.5 Units / 7.58% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 34-35 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -9.76% ROI).
- 33-36 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -3.49% ROI
- 30-37 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.75 Units / -14.11% ROI
- 37-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.2 Units / 5.55% ROI
Cubs vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Cubs vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jordan Wicks (CHC) | 3.5 -135 | 3.5 +105 |
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 54% (158/291) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has spotted his fastball inside for a strike just 47% (77/163) of the time this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 60% (63/105) against Kyle Gibson this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 97th Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 57% (371/655) vs left-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jordan Wicks has a strike rate of just 60% (31/52) over the past seven days (1 games) — 9th lowest in NL over the last week; League Avg: 66% — 10th Percentile.
Jordan Wicks has thrown his changeup 33% of the time (17/52) this month (1 games) — 10th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 18% — 91st Percentile.
Jordan Wicks has thrown his changeup 42% of the time (17/40) against right-handed batters this month (1 games) — 8th highest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 15% — 89th Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Cardinals are 30-13 (.698) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 2-17 (.105) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .370.
The Cardinals are just 18-30 (.375) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .579.
The Cardinals are 30-0 (1.000) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .939.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Cubs are just 3-12 (.200) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Cubs are 13-2 (.867) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .630.
The Cubs are just 6-90 (.062) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .104.
The Cubs are just 2-27 (.069) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .112.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting just .236 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Cardinals are batting just .218 against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .247.
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .624 (742 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .706.
The Cardinals are just 36-57 (.375) against the run line (-30.0% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
Cubs hitters have 79 extra-base hits out of 253 total hits (just 31%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .278 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .394.
The Cubs are batting just .210 with two outs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
Cubs hitters are slugging .457 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .369.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 88.3 MPH (4,045 batted balls) in the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Cubs pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Cubs pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.3 MPH in the 2023 season (4,045 balls in play) — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Cubs vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Carlson (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 10-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Lars Nootbaar (St. Louis Cardinals): Ribs, 10-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Biceps, 15-Day IL
- Sonny Gray (St. Louis Cardinals): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 10-Day IL
- Packy Naughton (St. Louis Cardinals): Elbow, Out
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