- The Cardinals are -130 favorites vs the Reds
- Cardinals vs Reds Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Cardinals / Reds TV Channel: BSOH | BSMW
The St. Louis Cardinals (-130) visit Great American Ball Park to take on the Cincinnati Reds (+110) on Monday, August 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Cincinnati, OH.
This season, the Cardinals are 60-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Reds are 66-52 ATS.
Cardinals vs Reds Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Sonny Gray 11-6, 3.66 ERA
- Reds starting pitcher: Andrew Abbott 9-9, 3.73 ERA
Cardinals vs. Reds Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cardinals | -1.5 +125 | O 8.5 +100 | -130 |
| Reds | +1.5 -155 | U 8.5 -120 | +110 |
Cardinals vs Reds Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cardinals will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Alec Burleson has hit the RBIs Over in 25 of his last 43 games (+26.85 Units / 62% ROI)
- Alec Burleson has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 46 games (+21.30 Units / 46% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+11.85 Units / 51% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.00 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Reds players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Reds Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- TJ Friedl has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 31 games (+28.10 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+14.85 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Singles Under in 25 of his last 35 games (+14.85 Units / 37% ROI)
- Jonathan India has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 21 games (+11.25 Units / 34% ROI)
- Andrew Abbott has hit the Earned Runs Under in 17 of his last 23 games (+10.15 Units / 36% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.80 Units / 19% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in their last 5 games (+5.70 Units / 95% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Team Total Over in 22 of their last 38 away games (+4.10 Units / 9% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 10 of their last 14 away games (+4.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 9 of their last 14 away games (+2.75 Units / 15% ROI)
Reds Best Bets Today:
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Team Total Under in 29 of their last 44 games at home (+12.00 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 100 games (+11.45 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Game Total Under in 55 of their last 102 games (+8.65 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 34 of their last 56 games at home (+7.85 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Cincinnati Reds have hit the Moneyline in 37 of their last 68 games (+5.05 Units / 6% ROI)
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 58-60 against the Run Line (-7.2 Units / -4.53% ROI).
- 60-58 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.85 Units / -6.16% ROI
- 57-56 when betting on the total runs Over for -5 Units / -3.88% ROI
- 56-57 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.85 Units / -5.32% ROI
Reds Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Reds are 66-52 against the Run Line (+7.6 Units / 4.84% ROI).
- 57-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.2 Units / -4.37% ROI
- 54-59 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -9.05% ROI
- 59-54 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.7 Units / -0.54% ROI
Reds vs Cardinals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Tommy Pham (STL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Reds vs Cardinals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tommy Pham (STL) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Reds vs Cardinals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willson Contreras (STL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Spencer Steer (CIN) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Nolan Gorman (STL) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Reds vs Cardinals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Sonny Gray (STL) | 6.5 +100 | 6.5 -130 |
| Andrew Abbott (CIN) | 5.5 +130 | 5.5 -175 |
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of 37% (116/311) against Sonny Gray this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 59% (153 SO in 260 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 55% (85 SO in 155 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Sonny Gray has a strikeout rate of 34% (64 SO in 189 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 98th Percentile.
Reds Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Abbott has walked 24 of 207 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — second Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Andrew Abbott has a strikeout rate of 50% (9 SO in 18 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this month (2 games) — tied for best among among NL Starters; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 22% (49/226) against Andrew Abbott’s curve and slider since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 111 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Reds
The Cardinals are 34-18 (.654) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 23-37 (.383) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Cardinals are just 26-61 (.299) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Cardinals are 16-11 (.593) after a road loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .485.
Reds Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Reds are just 31-34 (.477) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
The Reds are 12-20 (.375) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Reds are just 3-11 (.214) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Reds are just 19-28 (.404) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cardinals are batting .166 on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .154.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of .256 (8,910 PA’s) with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Cardinals are batting .245 with two outs this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
The Cardinals are just 42-66 (.378) against the run line (-30.3% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Reds Hitting Stats & Trends
Reds hitters have 15 strikeouts in 35 PA’s (43%) against LHP over the past seven days (4 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Reds hitters have 41 strikeouts in 107 PA’s (38%) against LHP this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Reds are batting just .114 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .152.
Reds hitters are slugging just .150 on pitches out of the zone this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .209.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Reds Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .291 against Reds pitchers with runners on base since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: .255.
Reds pitchers have walked 224 of 2,484 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Reds pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Reds vs. Cardinals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Graham Ashcraft (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Nick Martini (Cincinnati Reds): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Carson Spiers (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Christian Encarnacion-Strand (Cincinnati Reds): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Tejay Antone (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Luke Maile (Cincinnati Reds): Back, 10-Day IL
- Matt McLain (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Joey Votto (Cincinnati Reds): Ankle, Day-To-Day
- TJ Friedl (Cincinnati Reds): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Brent Suter (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Reiver Sanmartin (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, Out
- Ian Gibaut (Cincinnati Reds): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Brandon Williamson (Cincinnati Reds): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Emilio Pagan (Cincinnati Reds): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Connor Overton (Cincinnati Reds): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Keynan Middleton (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Zack Thompson (St. Louis Cardinals): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Drew Rom (St. Louis Cardinals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Steven Matz (St. Louis Cardinals): Back, 60-Day IL
- Riley O’Brien (St. Louis Cardinals): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Tommy Edman (St. Louis Cardinals): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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