- The Rays are -120 favorites vs the Cubs
- Cubs vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Cubs / Rays TV Channel: MARQ | BSUN
The Chicago Cubs (+100) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (-120) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:50pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Cubs are 32-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 28-39 ATS.
Cubs vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Cubs starting pitcher: Javier Assad 4-2, 2.73 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Aaron Civale 2-5, 5.51 ERA
Cubs vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Cubs | +1.5 -210 | O 7.5 -105 | +100 |
| Rays | -1.5 +160 | U 7.5 -115 | -120 |
Cubs vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Bets Today:
- Christopher Morel has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+14.65 Units / 43% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 21 away games (+14.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 39 games (+11.05 Units / 28% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Singles Over in 16 of his last 21 away games (+10.80 Units / 47% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Over in 18 of his last 36 games (+9.20 Units / 26% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+11.45 Units / 37% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.75 Units / 61% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.95 Units / 47% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+9.90 Units / 47% ROI)
- Jose Siri has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 5 games at home (+8.00 Units / 160% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 28 of their last 41 games (+13.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 27 of their last 41 games (+11.30 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Under in 31 of their last 55 games (+6.90 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 29 away games (+1.25 Units / 3% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 19 of their last 34 away games (+1.20 Units / 3% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 44 of their last 64 games (+23.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 37 games at home (+5.85 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 18 of their last 32 games at home (+3.65 Units / 10% ROI)
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 33-34 against the Run Line (-9.55 Units / -10.08% ROI).
- 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.85 Units / -3.46% ROI
- 30-35 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.65 Units / -11.67% ROI
- 35-30 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.2 Units / 3% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 28-39 against the Run Line (-12.9 Units / -14.97% ROI).
- 32-35 when betting on the Moneyline for -12.3 Units / -14.22% ROI
- 34-32 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.1 Units / -1.5% ROI
- 32-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.55 Units / -7.51% ROI
Rays vs Cubs Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Rays vs Cubs Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Mike Tauchman (CHC) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rays vs Cubs RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Christopher Morel (CHC) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Rays vs Cubs Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Javier Assad (CHC) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
| Aaron Civale (TB) | 5.5 +100 | 5.5 -135 |
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .409 (180 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .736 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has allowed an OPS of just .437 (211 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 155 total IP; League Avg: .726 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .130 (20-for-154) against Javier Assad with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 90 total IP; League Avg: .253 — 100th Percentile.
Javier Assad has a strike rate of just 60% (317/527) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (5/33) against Aaron Civale — 2nd lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (5/33) against Aaron Civale over the last 14 days — lowest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — second Percentile.
Aaron Civale has allowed a slugging percentage of .628 (27 Total Bases / 43 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .351 — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (65/201) against Aaron Civale this season — tied for 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — third Percentile.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Cubs are just 3-11 (.214) after a road win this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Cubs are just 43-42 (.506) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Cubs are just 14-22 (.389) on the road this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .484.
The Cubs are just 2-26 (.071) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .156.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Rays are just 16-35 (.314) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Rays are 44-4 (.917) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .789.
The Rays are just 9-21 (.300) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Rays are 69-45 (.605) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .533.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting just .206 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .229.
The Cubs are batting .164 on pitches out of the zone since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .151.
Cubs hitters have 321 extra-base hits out of 863 total hits (37%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Cubs hitters are slugging just .282 against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .393.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have a groundball batting average of .266 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have 153 strikeouts in 609 PA’s (25%) against LHP this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .652 (1,453 PA’s) at home this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .703.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Cubs pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Cubs pitchers this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cubs pitchers have walked 56 of 595 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Cubs pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.4 MPH since last season (5,700 balls in play) — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 37% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Rays pitchers have walked 1,010 of 14,504 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays vs. Cubs Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
- Patrick Wisdom (Chicago Cubs): Back, 10-Day IL
- Justin Steele (Chicago Cubs): Hamstring, 15-Day IL
- Brennen Davis (Chicago Cubs): Undisclosed, Out
- Tyler Duffey (Chicago Cubs): Back, Day-To-Day
- Jameson Taillon (Chicago Cubs): Back, 15-Day IL
- Caleb Kilian (Chicago Cubs): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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