- The Astros are -145 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Astros Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Astros TV Channel: ESPN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+120) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-145) on Sunday, September 8, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 79-64 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 72-70 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Ryne Nelson 10-6, 4.15 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Justin Verlander 3-5, 4.55 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -185 | O 8 -105 | +120 |
| Astros | -1.5 +150 | U 8 -115 | -145 |
Diamondbacks vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 24 games (+42.00 Units / 175% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 28 of his last 50 games (+18.95 Units / 38% ROI)
- Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 16 of his last 23 games (+15.10 Units / 62% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+15.00 Units / 22% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 25 games (+14.25 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 45 games (+34.80 Units / 77% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 21 games at home (+15.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Hits Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+14.10 Units / 60% ROI)
- Ben Gamel has hit the Runs Over in 14 of his last 22 games (+13.30 Units / 60% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 23 games at home (+11.50 Units / 49% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 87 games (+31.10 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 54 of their last 86 games (+20.70 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 25 of their last 39 away games (+9.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 12 of their last 18 games (+5.65 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 17 of their last 29 games (+2.95 Units / 8% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 73 of their last 125 games (+18.70 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 84 games (+18.05 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 69 games (+12.80 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 30 games (+9.80 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 30 of their last 48 games (+9.25 Units / 16% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 73-70 against the Run Line (-4.75 Units / -2.5% ROI).
- 79-64 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.95 Units / 6.09% ROI
- 82-56 when betting on the total runs Over for +19.75 Units / 12.46% ROI
- 56-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -33.95 Units / -21.71% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 72-70 against the Run Line (+5.3 Units / 3.06% ROI).
- 77-65 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -3.54% ROI
- 57-81 when betting on the total runs Over for -31.3 Units / -20.19% ROI
- 81-57 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.85 Units / 11.32% ROI
Astros vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Christian Walker (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Astros vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryne Nelson (ARI) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -120 |
| Justin Verlander (HOU) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryne Nelson allowed a batting average of just .143 vs right-handed batters (tied for ninth best)– 85th Percentile and .400 vs left-handed batters over the last two weeks (tied for second worst among qualified SPs)– eighth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (214/1,182) against Ryne Nelson this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — third Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of 40% (53 SO in 134 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 95th Percentile.
Ryne Nelson has a strikeout rate of just 13% (12 SO in 92 PAs) on low non-fastballs this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 33% — 0 Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .383 (23 GB hits out of 60 GBs) against Justin Verlander this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: .246 — 0 Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OBP of just .247 (787 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: .311 — 100th Percentile.
Justin Verlander has allowed an OPS of just .541 (788 PA’s) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 186 total IP; League Avg: .715 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 28% (60/217) against Justin Verlander this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 56 total IP; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Diamondbacks are 20-15 (.571) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .360.
The Diamondbacks are 42-42 (.500) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .376.
The Diamondbacks are 41-40 (.506) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Diamondbacks are 5-50 (.089) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Astros are just 0-49 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Astros are just 10-21 (.323) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .432.
The Astros are 78-56 (.582) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 60% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .777 (1,792 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .712.
The Diamondbacks have scored 247 runs in innings 7-9 this season — most in MLB.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,489/17,667 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Astros hitters have just 927 strikeouts in 5,100 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (828/5,360 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters have put just 33% of balls in play to the right side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 40% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 30% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 37% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have walked 498 of 5,287 batters (9%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported
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