- The Dodgers are -175 favorites vs the Diamondbacks
- Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Dodgers TV Channel: SNLA | ESPN+ | DBTV | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+125) visit Dodger Stadium to take on the Los Angeles Dodgers (-155) on Tuesday, May 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:10pm EDT in Los Angeles, CA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 22-26 against the spread (ATS), while the Dodgers are 27-23 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Brandon Pfaadt 1-3, 4.12 ERA
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Gavin Stone 4-1, 3.28 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Dodgers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 +100 | +125 |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -120 | -155 |
Diamondbacks vs Dodgers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 4 away games (+21.00 Units / 525% ROI)
- Christian Walker has hit the Total Bases Under in 27 of his last 35 games (+16.40 Units / 31% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 22 of his last 29 games (+16.20 Units / 50% ROI)
- Corbin Carroll has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 31 games (+15.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Lourdes Gurriel Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+13.55 Units / 40% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 24 games at home (+12.10 Units / 50% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+10.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 games at home (+10.30 Units / 48% ROI)
- Freddie Freeman has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 15 games (+9.30 Units / 60% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 42 games (+8.15 Units / 19% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 17 of their last 23 games (+11.05 Units / 40% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Under in 24 of their last 39 games (+7.35 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.80 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 5 of their last 8 away games (+2.55 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 23 away games (+2.35 Units / 9% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 21 of their last 27 games (+11.70 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+8.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games at home (+8.40 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 18 of their last 27 games (+8.05 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 27 games at home (+7.25 Units / 12% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 21-27 against the Run Line (-9.05 Units / -14.56% ROI).
- 22-26 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.2 Units / -12.11% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.7 Units / -8.79% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.15 Units / 0.29% ROI
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 27-23 against the Run Line (+1.4 Units / 2.4% ROI).
- 33-17 when betting on the Moneyline for +1.2 Units / 1.25% ROI
- 26-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.95 Units / 1.74% ROI
- 23-26 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -10.33% ROI
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Corbin Carroll (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -150 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Dodgers vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Brandon Pfaadt (ARI) | 5.5 +135 | 5.5 -175 |
| Gavin Stone (LAD) | 4.5 +135 | 4.5 -175 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (166/224) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Brandon Pfaadt has a first-pitch strike rate of 74% (166/224) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (98/224) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of 44% (98/224) against Brandon Pfaadt on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 32% — 100th Percentile.
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .048 (1-for-21) against Gavin Stone with two-strikes — tied for 2nd best in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .165 — 98th Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 13% (15 SO in 117 PAs) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 22% — third Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 7% (4 SO in 53 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Gavin Stone has a strikeout rate of just 32% (29 SO in 90 PAs) with two-strikes this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 17 total IP; League Avg: 42% — sixth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Diamondbacks are just 134-24 (.848) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .906.
The Diamondbacks are just 89-9 (.908) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Diamondbacks are 22-144 (.133) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .094.
The Diamondbacks are 86-21 (.804) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Dodgers are 220-37 (.856) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .719.
The Dodgers are 48-16 (.750) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Dodgers are 31-9 (.775) after a road loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .473.
The Dodgers are 90-40 (.692) after a loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .488.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
29% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Diamondbacks hitters have just 105 strikeouts in 577 PA’s (18%) against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging just .501 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OPS of .804 (577 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters have grounded into 27 double plays in 431 opportunities (6%) in close and late situations since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .788 (10,371 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .715.
Dodgers hitters have been successful in 100% of their bunt for hit attempts since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 46%.
Dodgers hitters have a groundball rate of just 36% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Diamondbacks have won just 0% of home games in which their opponents scored first this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 28% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 55%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have allowed a run just 26% of the time after an opposing score since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Dodgers pitchers have won 50% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Brusdar Graterol (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tony Gonsolin (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Diego Cartaya (Los Angeles Dodgers): Back, Day-To-Day
- Blake Treinen (Los Angeles Dodgers): Chest, 15-Day IL
- David Peralta (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, Out
- Emmet Sheehan (Los Angeles Dodgers): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Julio Urias (Los Angeles Dodgers): Personal, Out
- Clayton Kershaw (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Frasso (Los Angeles Dodgers): Shoulder, Out
- Dustin May (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Walker Buehler (Los Angeles Dodgers): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Thumb, 60-Day IL
- Alek Thomas (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, Day-To-Day
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Paul Sewald (Arizona Diamondbacks): Oblique, 15-Day IL
- Jose Castillo (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hand, 7-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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