- The Diamondbacks are +100 favorites vs the Pirates
- Diamondbacks vs Pirates Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Pirates TV Channel: DBTV | SNPT
The Arizona Diamondbacks (+100) visit PNC Park to take on the Pittsburgh Pirates (-120) on Saturday, August 3, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Pittsburgh, PA.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 59-51 against the spread (ATS), while the Pirates are 61-48 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Jordan Montgomery 7-5, 6.57 ERA
- Pirates starting pitcher: Mitch Keller 10-5, 3.33 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Pirates Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +165 | O 8.5 -110 | +100 |
| Pirates | +1.5 -200 | U 8.5 -110 | -120 |
Diamondbacks vs Pirates Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 52.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh Bell has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 8 games (+35.10 Units / 439% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+14.75 Units / 52% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 11 of his last 16 games (+13.00 Units / 81% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Hits Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+12.10 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the Total Bases Over in 13 of his last 16 games (+11.30 Units / 65% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Oneil Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 22 games at home (+13.85 Units / 63% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+13.80 Units / 16% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.30 Units / 40% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Runs Under in 14 of his last 15 games at home (+12.40 Units / 49% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 48 games (+11.55 Units / 20% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 54 games (+19.20 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Team Total Over in 31 of their last 45 games (+15.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 53 games (+13.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 24 of their last 34 away games (+12.95 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 20 away games (+10.05 Units / 43% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 70 games (+15.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 65 games (+10.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 47 games (+9.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 32 games (+9.10 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 65 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 55-55 against the Run Line (-6.1 Units / -4.19% ROI).
- 59-51 when betting on the Moneyline for +4 Units / 2.89% ROI
- 60-47 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.85 Units / 6.43% ROI
- 47-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.7 Units / -15.56% ROI
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 61-48 against the Run Line (+10.11 Units / 7.13% ROI).
- 55-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.39% ROI
- 50-55 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.5 Units / -8.68% ROI
- 55-50 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.78 Units / 0.66% ROI
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Connor Joe (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jared Triolo (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Joc Pederson (ARI) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Ke'Bryan Hayes (PIT) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Pirates vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mitch Keller (PIT) | 4.5 -160 | 4.5 +120 |
| Jordan Montgomery (ARI) | 4.5 +125 | 4.5 -165 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed batters are hitting .339 (87-for-257) against Jordan Montgomery this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .245 — first Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has a strikeout rate of just 18% (124 SO in 701 PAs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 23% — 18th Percentile.
Jordan Montgomery has had third base stolen on him 7 times this season — most in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .323 (41-for-127) against Jordan Montgomery when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 43 total IP; League Avg: .236 — second Percentile.
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Mitch Keller has allowed a slugging percentage of .506 (86 Total Bases / 170 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .382 — eighth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .261 (176-for-674) against Mitch Keller when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 12th Percentile.
Mitch Keller has walked 65 of 756 batters (9%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — eighth Percentile.
Mitch Keller has allowed an OPS of .839 (187 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .670 — eighth Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Diamondbacks are just 164-28 (.854) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.
The Diamondbacks are 5-42 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Diamondbacks are 18-11 (.621) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Diamondbacks are 26-164 (.137) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Pirates are 62-14 (.816) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .741.
The Pirates are 16-11 (.593) after a loss as underdogs this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .439.
The Pirates are just 12-17 (.414) after a home win this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Pirates are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .806.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks hitters are slugging .465 with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: .281.
The Diamondbacks are batting .281 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .341 (1,352 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .494 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Pirates are batting just .153 with two-strikes since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .498 on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .580.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 27% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 50% against Diamondbacks pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,515 of 16,639 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Pirates pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after an opposing score since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Pirates pitchers have 176 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 5th most in MLB.
Pirates vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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