- The Diamondbacks are -120 favorites vs the Rays
- Diamondbacks vs Rays Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Diamondbacks / Rays TV Channel: DBTV | BSUN | MLBN
The Arizona Diamondbacks (-120) visit Tropicana Field to take on the Tampa Bay Rays (+100) on Saturday, August 17, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in St. Petersburg, FL.
This season, the Diamondbacks are 69-54 against the spread (ATS), while the Rays are 61-60 ATS.
Diamondbacks vs Rays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 9-5, 3.68 ERA
- Rays starting pitcher: Jeffrey Springs 0-1, 4.61 ERA
Diamondbacks vs. Rays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Diamondbacks | -1.5 +150 | O 7 +105 | -120 |
| Rays | +1.5 -185 | U 7 -125 | +100 |
Diamondbacks vs Rays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 55.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:
- Ketel Marte has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 21 games (+41.70 Units / 199% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 24 of his last 41 games (+19.05 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ketel Marte has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+17.85 Units / 81% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+17.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 32 games (+14.80 Units / 42% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Dylan Carlson has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+19.50 Units / 217% ROI)
- Jonny Deluca has hit the Runs Under in 29 of his last 35 games (+16.40 Units / 21% ROI)
- Christopher Morel has hit the RBIs Under in 18 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Under in 27 of his last 38 games (+11.80 Units / 23% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 63% ROI)
Diamondbacks Best Bets Today:
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 66 games (+21.00 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 67 games (+20.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 58 games (+9.15 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 7 of their last 9 games (+4.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 7 games (+2.55 Units / 28% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 74 of their last 118 games (+27.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 66 of their last 112 games (+15.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 28 of their last 45 games (+11.80 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 50 games (+11.10 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 48 games (+3.45 Units / 6% ROI)
Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 62-61 against the Run Line (-5.25 Units / -3.22% ROI).
- 69-54 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.25 Units / 7.2% ROI
- 67-52 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.25 Units / 6.79% ROI
- 52-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.5 Units / -15.97% ROI
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 61-60 against the Run Line (-4.65 Units / -2.84% ROI).
- 60-61 when betting on the Moneyline for -11 Units / -7.41% ROI
- 55-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.7 Units / -10.32% ROI
- 63-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 2.14% ROI
Rays vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eugenio Suarez (ARI) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Jake McCarthy (ARI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Yandy Diaz (TB) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Josh Bell (ARI) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Ketel Marte (ARI) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Randal Grichuk (ARI) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Rays vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Zac Gallen (ARI) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Jeffrey Springs (TB) | 4.5 -145 | 4.5 +110 |
Diamondbacks Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .319 (223 Total Bases / 700 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .207 (145-for-700) against Zac Gallen when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .235 — 95th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has a strikeout rate of 29% (140 SO in 478 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — tied for 5th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — 86th Percentile.
Zac Gallen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 29.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 73.1.
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jeffrey Springs has allowed at least one HR in each of his last four games dating back to April 13rd, 2023 — Gavin Stone has the longest active streak at 7.
Jeffrey Springs has thrown his changeup 40% of the time (49/124) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total CH; League Avg: 15% — 96th Percentile.
Jeffrey Springs has allowed an OBP of .385 (26 PA’s) with two-strikes this month (2 games) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: .245 — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 34% (29/86) against Jeffrey Springs this month (2 games) — 10th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 94th Percentile.
Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Diamondbacks are just 190-18 (.913) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Diamondbacks are 15-6 (.714) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Diamondbacks are 5-45 (.098) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Diamondbacks are 16-12 (.571) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .355.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks
The Rays are 27-98 (.216) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .142.
The Rays are 56-4 (.933) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .797.
The Rays are 44-14 (.759) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .573.
The Rays are 117-5 (.959) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .897.
Diamondbacks Hitting Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks are batting .283 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Diamondbacks have scored first in 64% of their home games this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .344 (2,381 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .317.
The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 198 strikeouts in 613 PA’s (32%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters have put just 31% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .595 (434 PA’s) over the last 14 days — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .738.
Diamondbacks Pitching Stats & Trends
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 28% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 39% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 33% of their games on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Rays vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Ryan Pepiot (Tampa Bay Rays): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Yandy Diaz (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Out
- Merrill Kelly (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Nelson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jordan Lawlar (Arizona Diamondbacks): Hamstring, 7-Day IL
- Eduardo Rodriguez (Arizona Diamondbacks): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Andrew Saalfrank (Arizona Diamondbacks): Suspension, Suspension
- Blake Walston (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Drey Jameson (Arizona Diamondbacks): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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