Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 24

(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
  • The Diamondbacks are -110 favorites vs the Red Sox
  • Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | DBTV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-110) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 73-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 59-68 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 9-6, 3.85 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 8-10, 4.26 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +145O 9.5 -105-110
Red Sox +1.5 -175U 9.5 -115-110

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+30.00 Units / 214% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 47 games (+18.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+14.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+14.65 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 50 games (+24.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+12.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 44 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 73 games (+23.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 72 games (+22.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 84 games (+23.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 60 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 127 games (+7.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 127 games (+7.35 Units / 4% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 66-63 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -1.7% ROI).

  • 73-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.05 Units / 7.93% ROI
  • 71-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.2 Units / 8.54% ROI
  • 53-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.95 Units / -17.67% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 59-68 against the Run Line (-18.1 Units / -10.65% ROI).

  • 67-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.42% ROI
  • 67-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.95 Units / 5.68% ROI
  • 54-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.1 Units / -13.69% ROI

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +325 0.5 -400
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Adrian Del Castillo (ARI) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Josh Bell (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zac Gallen (ARI) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Kutter Crawford (BOS) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .322 (228 Total Bases / 707 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 91st Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .589 (766 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — 91st Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .344 (155 Total Bases / 451 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 90th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 34.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 76.0.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.028 (73 Total Bases / 71 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .593 — first Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.511 (85 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.038 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (47/149) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 70% (729/1,043) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Diamondbacks are 18-13 (.581) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.

The Diamondbacks are just 176-29 (.859) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Diamondbacks are 15-6 (.714) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Diamondbacks are 18-11 (.621) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Red Sox are 54-11 (.831) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Red Sox are just 34-42 (.447) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Red Sox are 23-15 (.605) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .466.

26% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .344 (2,381 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Red Sox are batting .260 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.

The Red Sox are batting .369 in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .776 (2,599 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Red Sox are batting .392 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 350 of 4,855 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 6.78 (65.0 IP) at home this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 177 of 2,579 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported

Bet now on Diamondbacks vs Red Sox and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.