Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 24

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(AP Photo/Michael Dwyer)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 24, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Diamondbacks are -110 favorites vs the Red Sox
  • Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Diamondbacks / Red Sox TV Channel: NESN | DBTV

The Arizona Diamondbacks (-110) visit Fenway Park to take on the Boston Red Sox (-110) on Saturday, August 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Boston, MA.

This season, the Diamondbacks are 73-56 against the spread (ATS), while the Red Sox are 59-68 ATS.

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Diamondbacks starting pitcher: Zac Gallen 9-6, 3.85 ERA
  • Red Sox starting pitcher: Kutter Crawford 8-10, 4.26 ERA

Diamondbacks vs. Red Sox Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Diamondbacks-1.5 +145O 9.5 -105-110
Red Sox +1.5 -175U 9.5 -115-110

Diamondbacks vs Red Sox Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Diamondbacks will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Diamondbacks players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Diamondbacks Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake McCarthy has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 14 games (+30.00 Units / 214% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 47 games (+18.05 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Total Bases Over in 33 of his last 48 games (+14.80 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Joc Pederson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+14.65 Units / 83% ROI)
  • Eugenio Suarez has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+12.70 Units / 30% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Red Sox Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 50 games (+24.60 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+14.20 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Wilyer Abreu has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+12.75 Units / 49% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 38 games (+12.20 Units / 28% ROI)
  • Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 44 games (+10.50 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Game Total Over in 48 of their last 73 games (+23.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the Moneyline in 48 of their last 72 games (+22.80 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 64 games (+11.50 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 10 of their last 15 games (+4.25 Units / 23% ROI)
  • The Arizona Diamondbacks have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 8 of their last 13 games (+1.85 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 84 games (+23.10 Units / 25% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 38 of their last 60 games (+12.00 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 19 of their last 29 games (+9.00 Units / 26% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 71 of their last 127 games (+7.75 Units / 5% ROI)
  • The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 63 of their last 127 games (+7.35 Units / 4% ROI)

Diamondbacks Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Diamondbacks are 66-63 against the Run Line (-2.9 Units / -1.7% ROI).

  • 73-56 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.05 Units / 7.93% ROI
  • 71-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.2 Units / 8.54% ROI
  • 53-71 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.95 Units / -17.67% ROI

Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 59-68 against the Run Line (-18.1 Units / -10.65% ROI).

  • 67-60 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.65 Units / 0.42% ROI
  • 67-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.95 Units / 5.68% ROI
  • 54-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -19.1 Units / -13.69% ROI

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +325 0.5 -400
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Eugenio Suarez (ARI) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +450 0.5 -650
Adrian Del Castillo (ARI) 0.5 +475 0.5 -700

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Ceddanne Rafaela (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +190
Masataka Yoshida (BOS) 0.5 -250 0.5 +175
Corbin Carroll (ARI) 0.5 -250 0.5 +180
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Joc Pederson (ARI) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Rafael Devers (BOS) 0.5 +135 0.5 -175
Wilyer Abreu (BOS) 0.5 +140 0.5 -190
Josh Bell (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Lourdes Gurriel Jr. (ARI) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190

Red Sox vs Diamondbacks Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Zac Gallen (ARI) 4.5 -145 4.5 +110
Kutter Crawford (BOS) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .322 (228 Total Bases / 707 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .379 — 91st Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed an OPS of just .589 (766 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — 91st Percentile.

Zac Gallen has allowed a slugging percentage of just .344 (155 Total Bases / 451 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 4th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .396 — 90th Percentile.

Zac Gallen has not allowed a home run in any of the last 34.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 76.0.

Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Kutter Crawford has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.028 (73 Total Bases / 71 ABs) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .593 — first Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has allowed an OPS of 1.511 (85 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 1.038 — first Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% (47/149) against Kutter Crawford in two-strike counts this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — fourth Percentile.

Kutter Crawford has a strike rate of 70% (729/1,043) against right-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — 100th Percentile.

Diamondbacks Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox

The Diamondbacks are 18-13 (.581) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .357.

The Diamondbacks are just 176-29 (.859) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .904.

The Diamondbacks are 15-6 (.714) after a home loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .534.

The Diamondbacks are 18-11 (.621) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.

Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Diamondbacks

The Red Sox are just 19-25 (.432) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.

The Red Sox are 54-11 (.831) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .726.

The Red Sox are just 34-42 (.447) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Red Sox are 23-15 (.605) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .466.

26% of Diamondbacks hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — tied for highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Diamondbacks are batting .280 against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Diamondbacks hitters have an OBP of .344 (2,381 PA’s) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .316.

The Diamondbacks are batting .282 against division opponents this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.

The Red Sox are batting .260 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .234.

The Red Sox are batting .369 in non-two strike counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .330.

Red Sox hitters have an OPS of .776 (2,599 PA’s) on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .703.

The Red Sox are batting .392 in hitter’s counts this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .338.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Diamondbacks pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games at home this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 56%.

Diamondbacks pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Diamondbacks pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 350 of 4,855 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Red Sox pitchers have an ERA of 6.78 (65.0 IP) at home this month (7 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.08.

Red Sox pitchers have walked 177 of 2,579 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Red Sox vs. Diamondbacks Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
  • Arizona Diamondbacks – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.