- The Dodgers are -110 favorites vs the Braves
- Dodgers vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Braves TV Channel: ATV+
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-110) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-110) on Friday, September 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:20pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Dodgers are 87-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 67-79 ATS.
Dodgers vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Landon Knack 2-3, 3.00 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Spencer Schwellenbach 5-7, 3.78 ERA
Dodgers vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 +150 | O 8.5 +100 | -110 |
| Braves | +1.5 -185 | U 8.5 -120 | -110 |
Dodgers vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Friday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gavin Lux has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 43 games (+20.60 Units / 48% ROI)
- Miguel Rojas has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.80 Units / 50% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 23 away games (+14.75 Units / 46% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 23 away games (+14.45 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gavin Lux has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 17 of his last 22 away games (+12.05 Units / 48% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Orlando Arcia has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 43 games (+21.50 Units / 50% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 30 games (+19.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ramon Laureano has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 31 games (+18.50 Units / 35% ROI)
- Marcell Ozuna has hit the Singles Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+14.05 Units / 43% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+13.70 Units / 37% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 39 of their last 64 games (+15.00 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 22 of their last 35 games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 23 of their last 41 games (+7.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 21 games (+7.10 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 24 of their last 36 games (+5.60 Units / 10% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 85 of their last 132 games (+37.30 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 24 games (+6.10 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 10 games at home (+5.40 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 29 games (+2.40 Units / 5% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 72-74 against the Run Line (-5.7 Units / -3.3% ROI).
- 87-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -4.01% ROI
- 78-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.65 Units / 4.77% ROI
- 64-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -21.95 Units / -13.61% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 67-79 against the Run Line (-15.35 Units / -8.71% ROI).
- 79-67 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.7 Units / -9.53% ROI
- 53-88 when betting on the total runs Over for -42.7 Units / -26.8% ROI
- 88-53 when betting on the total runs Under for +29.45 Units / 18.17% ROI
Braves vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Braves vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Michael Harris (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Gio Urshela (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Will Smith (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Gavin Lux (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jorge Soler (ATL) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Landon Knack (LAD) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
| Spencer Schwellenbach (ATL) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -135 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 15% (2/13) against Landon Knack in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 15% (2/13) against Landon Knack this month (1 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 41% — second Percentile.
Landon Knack has a strikeout rate of 36% (8 SO in 22 PAs) this month (1 games) — 13th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 92nd Percentile.
Landon Knack has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 93% (14/15) of opposing batters this month (1 games) — tied for highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 3 total IP; League Avg: 65% — 100th Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Spencer Schwellenbach has not allowed a walk in his last 109 PAs against a RHH dating back to July 12nd — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Spencer Schwellenbach has a strike rate of 73% (113/154) this month (2 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — 98th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of 36% (254/713) against Spencer Schwellenbach this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 58 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 14% (12/88) against Spencer Schwellenbach this month (2 games) — 3rd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 26% — sixth Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Dodgers are 259-48 (.844) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 159-28 (.850) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Dodgers are 57-28 (.671) after a road loss since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .465.
The Dodgers are 151-40 (.791) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .700.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Braves are 30-17 (.638) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .428.
The Braves are 65-46 (.586) vs top 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .420.
The Braves are 49-89 (.355) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Braves are 146-85 (.632) at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .525.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Dodgers are batting .376 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
The Dodgers are batting .366 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .781 (18,195 PA’s) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .718.
Dodgers hitters have an OBP of .336 (13,062 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .479 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Braves hitters are slugging .675 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .572.
The Braves have barrels in 7% of PA’s since last season (870/11,706) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
The Braves had an average Exit Velocity of 91.0 MPH in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 1,305 of 17,335 batters (7%) since the 2022 season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Dodgers pitchers have an ERA of 7.97 (35.0 IP) on the road this month (4 games) — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.14.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 27% of their games on the road in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Atlanta Braves – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
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