- The Dodgers are -225 favorites vs the Marlins
- Dodgers vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Dodgers / Marlins TV Channel: SNLA | BSFL | ESPN+
The Los Angeles Dodgers (-225) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+180) on Thursday, September 19, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Dodgers are 90-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 71-81 ATS.
Dodgers vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Dodgers starting pitcher: Jack Flaherty 12-7, 3.06 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Edward Cabrera 4-7, 4.62 ERA
Dodgers vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Dodgers | -1.5 -135 | O 8 -105 | -225 |
| Marlins | +1.5 +110 | U 8 -115 | +180 |
Dodgers vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Dodgers will win Thursday‘s MLB game with 60.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Dodgers players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Dodgers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Tommy Edman has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 8 games (+25.50 Units / 319% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 away games (+15.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shohei Ohtani has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+13.80 Units / 30% ROI)
- Mookie Betts has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 26 games (+11.90 Units / 46% ROI)
- Jack Flaherty has hit the Strikeouts Over in 19 of his last 26 games (+10.45 Units / 33% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Thursday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jonah Bride has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 43 games (+34.50 Units / 80% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Over in 37 of his last 50 games (+17.80 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Singles Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+12.45 Units / 23% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Total Bases Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+12.30 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 49 games (+11.95 Units / 20% ROI)
Dodgers Best Bets Today:
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 70 games (+18.90 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 25 of their last 41 games (+8.20 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 27 games (+6.50 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Los Angeles Dodgers have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 games (+4.20 Units / 6% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 53 of their last 77 games at home (+32.15 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 60 games (+10.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Over in 26 of their last 40 games at home (+9.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+5.45 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 9 of their last 19 games at home (+5.30 Units / 27% ROI)
Dodgers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Dodgers are 75-77 against the Run Line (-6.3 Units / -3.49% ROI).
- 90-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.45 Units / -4.41% ROI
- 83-65 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.55 Units / 6.92% ROI
- 65-83 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.4 Units / -15.73% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 71-81 against the Run Line (-32.36 Units / -16.31% ROI).
- 56-96 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.15 Units / -12.09% ROI
- 81-64 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.05 Units / 6.58% ROI
- 64-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.05 Units / -14.44% ROI
Marlins vs Dodgers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Tommy Edman (LAD) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Marlins vs Dodgers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mookie Betts (LAD) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Shohei Ohtani (LAD) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Max Muncy (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Teoscar Hernandez (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Freddie Freeman (LAD) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Dodgers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Edward Cabrera (MIA) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Dodgers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jack Flaherty has walked 6 of 234 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has thrown at least two strikes in his first three pitches to 41% (22/54) of opposing batters this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jack Flaherty has a strike rate of just 59% (159/271) this month (3 games) — 2nd lowest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 65% — fourth Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a line drive rate of 32% (53/166) against Jack Flaherty this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 0 Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Edward Cabrera has walked 110 of 813 batters (14%) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 143 of 1,104 batters (13%) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 47 of 300 batters (16%) versus the 2-3-4 hitters since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Edward Cabrera has walked 92 of 719 batters (13%) versus hitters not batting 3-4-5 in the order since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.
Dodgers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Dodgers are 162-28 (.853) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .729.
The Dodgers are 12-3 (.800) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Dodgers are 262-48 (.845) when allowing 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .720.
The Dodgers are 297-143 (.675) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .537.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Dodgers
The Marlins are just 22-18 (.550) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Marlins are just 18-30 (.375) after a home loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .534.
The Marlins are just 29-47 (.382) at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .524.
The Marlins are just 6-22 (.214) after a road win this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Dodgers Hitting Stats & Trends
Dodgers hitters are slugging .446 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .788 (3,482 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .727.
Dodgers hitters have an OPS of .782 (13,207 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
The Dodgers are batting .374 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 38% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .294 (4,581 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Marlins hitters have 265 extra-base hits out of 953 total hits (just 28%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .220 with two-strikes this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Dodgers Pitching Stats & Trends
The Dodgers pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 38% of their games in the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 10 of 51 batters (20%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the past seven days (6 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Dodgers pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 31% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Dodgers pitchers have walked 14 of 105 batters (13%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The Marlins have allowed 5.91 runs per game (455/77) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.40.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.21 (715.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have allowed a run 35% of the time after an opposing score this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Marlins vs. Dodgers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
- Los Angeles Dodgers – No Injuries Reported
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