Giants vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Sep 22

min read
(AP Photo/Colin E. Braley)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Sep 22, 2024, 11:01 AM
  • The Giants are -115 favorites vs the Royals
  • Giants vs Royals Over / Under today: 7 Runs
  • Giants / Royals TV Channel: BSKC | NSBA | ESPN+

The San Francisco Giants (-115) visit Ewing M. Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (-105) on Sunday, September 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:10pm EDT in Kansas City, MO.

This season, the Giants are against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are ATS.

Giants vs Royals Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 4-3, 3.31 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Seth Lugo 16-8, 3.05 ERA

Giants vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Giants-1.5 +155O 7 -115-115
Royals +1.5 -190U 7 -105-105

Giants vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


Bet now on Giants vs Royals and all games with BetMGM


We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Giants Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Mike Yastrzemski has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 16 games (+23.50 Units / 147% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Hits Under in 10 of his last 14 away games (+10.65 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Patrick Bailey has hit the Total Bases Under in 11 of his last 14 away games (+10.55 Units / 62% ROI)
  • Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 25 away games (+9.85 Units / 38% ROI)
  • Grant McCray has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 9 of his last 10 games (+8.80 Units / 64% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+21.85 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 40 games (+14.55 Units / 36% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Hits Under in 26 of his last 33 games (+13.15 Units / 21% ROI)
  • Tommy Pham has hit the Walks Under in 16 of his last 18 games (+12.10 Units / 30% ROI)
  • Bobby Witt Jr. has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 29 games (+12.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 76 away games (+13.55 Units / 16% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 59 games (+9.14 Units / 13% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 35 away games (+7.30 Units / 17% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.40 Units / 12% ROI)
  • The San Francisco Giants have hit the Moneyline in 14 of their last 24 away games (+6.10 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 77 games at home (+10.24 Units / 11% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 19 games (+9.50 Units / 45% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.65 Units / 38% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Moneyline in 45 of their last 77 games at home (+5.85 Units / 6% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Team Total Under in 9 of their last 12 games at home (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)

Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Giants are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • away moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • away total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • away total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Royals are against the Run Line ( Units / ROI).

  • home moneyline record when betting on the Moneyline for ML units Units / ML ROI ROI
  • home total over record when betting on the total runs Over for over units Units / over ROI ROI
  • home total under record when betting on the total runs Under for under units Units / under ROI ROI

Royals vs Giants Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +425 0.5 -600
Mike Yastrzemski (SF) 0.5 +675 0.5 -1100
Jerar Encarnacion (SF) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100
Heliot Ramos (SF) 0.5 +700 0.5 -1100

Royals vs Giants Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 -275 0.5 +200
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Jerar Encarnacion (SF) 0.5 -200 0.5 +150
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 -185 0.5 +140

Royals vs Giants RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Matt Chapman (SF) 0.5 +145 0.5 -190
Bobby Witt Jr. (KC) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Salvador Perez (KC) 0.5 +185 0.5 -250
Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) 0.5 +190 0.5 -250
Jerar Encarnacion (SF) 0.5 +195 0.5 -275

Royals vs Giants Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Blake Snell (SF) 6.5 -120 6.5 -105
Seth Lugo (KC) 5.5 +125 5.5 -160

Opponents have a miss rate of 38% (297/774) against Blake Snell this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .180 (178-for-989) against Blake Snell since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.

Opposing hitters have a miss rate of 44% (68/153) against Blake Snell when he’s behind in the count this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.

Blake Snell has walked 58 of 443 batters (13%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 7% — first Percentile.

Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Seth Lugo has an average spin rate of 3213.5 RPM on curveballs since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 2530.9 — 100th Percentile.

Seth Lugo has thrown breaking pitches 46% of the time (650/1,408) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — 96th Percentile.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 18% (45/248) against Seth Lugo on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — third Percentile.

Seth Lugo allowed a batting average of .279 vs right-handed batters (10th worst)– ninth Percentile and just .167 vs left-handed batters in the 2022 season (10th best among qualified RPs)– 90th Percentile.

Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Giants are just 35-49 (.417) after a road loss since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .474.

The Giants are 46-30 (.605) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .520.

The Giants are 193-6 (.970) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .951.

The Giants are 128-4 (.970) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .949.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Giants

The Royals are just 24-106 (.185) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .361.

The Royals are just 20-65 (.235) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .373.

The Royals are just 67-67 (.500) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .639.

The Royals are just 14-77 (.154) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .301.

Giants hitters have 849 strikeouts in 3,392 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

The Giants are batting just .217 with two outs this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.

The Giants are batting just .248 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.

The Giants are batting just .232 on the road since last season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.

The Royals won only 28% of their road games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.

Royals hitters have an OBP of just .306 (8,828 PA’s) against RHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.

Royals hitters are slugging .247 on pitches out of the zone this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .205.

Royals hitters have just 827 strikeouts in 4,369 PA’s (19%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.

Giants pitchers have walked 181 of 2,814 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% in close and late situations this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

The Royals have won 39% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Royals vs. Giants Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Kansas City Royals – No Injuries Reported
  • San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported

Bet now on Giants vs Royals and all games with BetMGM


Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM

Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.

First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500
About the Author

BetMGM Betting

Read More @BETMGM

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.