- The Guardians are -130 favorites vs the Marlins
- Guardians vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Guardians / Marlins TV Channel: BSGL | BSFL
The Cleveland Guardians (-125) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+105) on Friday, June 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Guardians are 40-21 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 25-37 ATS.
Guardians vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Logan Allen 0-1, 3.67 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 3-5, 3.39 ERA
Guardians vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | -1.5 +140 | O 8 -120 | -125 |
| Marlins | +1.5 -165 | U 8 +100 | +105 |
Guardians vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Guardians will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 39 games (+34.30 Units / 88% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the RBIs Over in 28 of his last 46 games (+18.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Over in 21 of his last 29 games (+12.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 16 of his last 19 games (+12.15 Units / 46% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 23 away games (+9.60 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Under in 17 of his last 20 games at home (+14.55 Units / 51% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 30 of his last 39 games (+13.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the RBIs Under in 14 of his last 15 games (+11.35 Units / 30% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games at home (+10.75 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tim Anderson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.75 Units / 56% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 40 of their last 61 games (+14.97 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 34 of their last 61 games (+11.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+10.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 47 games (+9.40 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Over in 36 of their last 61 games (+8.00 Units / 11% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+13.15 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 35 of their last 57 games (+9.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 26 of their last 44 games (+6.20 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 11 of their last 21 games (+4.45 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 21 games (+2.80 Units / 9% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 34-27 against the Run Line (+11.95 Units / 16.48% ROI).
- 40-21 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.97 Units / 18.59% ROI
- 30-27 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.25 Units / 0.37% ROI
- 27-30 when betting on the total runs Under for -5.75 Units / -8.63% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 25-37 against the Run Line (-22.71 Units / -27.15% ROI).
- 21-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -17.75 Units / -26.41% ROI
- 34-28 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.7 Units / 5.44% ROI
- 28-34 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.05 Units / -13.24% ROI
Marlins vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Dane Myers (MIA) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
Marlins vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Tyler Freeman (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Emmanuel Rivera (MIA) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Marlins vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Naylor (CLE) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Josh Bell (MIA) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Marlins vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers (MIA) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
| Logan Allen (CLE) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -155 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .633 (57 Total Bases / 90 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .386 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .464 (13-for-28) against Logan Allen on low fastballs this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .263 — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .373 (41-for-110) against Logan Allen’s fastball this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .255 — 0 Percentile.
Logan Allen has allowed a slugging percentage of .538 (126 Total Bases / 234 ABs) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 24 total IP; League Avg: .392 — second Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OBP of .402 (107 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .279 — first Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has allowed an OPS of just .365 (108 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .671 — 100th Percentile.
Ryan Weathers has a strikeout rate of just 7% (3 SO in 45 PAs) in PAs ending on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (68/233) against Ryan Weathers on sliders this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Guardians are 25-138 (.153) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Guardians are 37-131 (.220) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are 30-27 (.526) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Guardians are 49-29 (.628) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .586.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Marlins are 17-182 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Marlins are just 43-57 (.430) after a home loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
The Marlins are just 27-67 (.287) when their opponents score in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .365.
The Marlins are just 35-64 (.354) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .413.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have just 1,890 strikeouts in 10,376 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 39%.
Guardians hitters are slugging just .326 in righty-righty matchups since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .396.
Guardians hitters have just 2,718 strikeouts in 14,542 PA’s (19%) since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .200 (1,136 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .398 (1,136 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .504.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play against RHP since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters are slugging just .198 with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .260.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .185 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .256.
The Guardians have allowed 0.72 runs per game (44/61) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.29.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 26% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Marlins pitchers this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Marlins pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins pitchers have won only 0% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Marlins vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Daniel Espino (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, Out
- Gavin Williams (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ben Lively (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Ankle, 15-Day IL
- Xzavion Curry (Cleveland Guardians): Illness, 15-Day IL
- Joey Cantillo (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- Angel Martinez (Cleveland Guardians): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- George Valera (Cleveland Guardians): Hamstring, Out
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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