- The Phillies are -150 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Phillies Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
- Guardians / Phillies TV Channel: BSGL | NSPA | MLBN
The Cleveland Guardians (+115) visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies (-135) on Sunday, July 28, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Guardians are 62-42 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 54-50 ATS.
Guardians vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 0-0, 0.00 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Kolby Allard 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Guardians vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -175 | O 9.5 -115 | +115 |
| Phillies | -1.5 +145 | U 9.5 -105 | -135 |
Guardians vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 55.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 42 games (+48.50 Units / 115% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 22 away games (+15.45 Units / 38% ROI)
- Daniel Schneemann has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+13.25 Units / 35% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 27 games (+12.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Will Brennan has hit the Hits Under in his last 7 games (+11.45 Units / 164% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Trea Turner has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 20 games (+19.30 Units / 96% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+17.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Under in 17 of his last 18 games (+15.20 Units / 48% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+14.05 Units / 21% ROI)
- Trea Turner has hit the Runs Over in 34 of his last 50 games (+13.00 Units / 20% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 62 of their last 104 games (+12.77 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 20 away games (+9.60 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 49 away games (+9.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 59 of their last 104 games (+9.10 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 49 of their last 90 games (+5.45 Units / 5% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 56 of their last 89 games (+20.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 33 of their last 44 games at home (+18.95 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 34 of their last 45 games at home (+12.85 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 52 of their last 86 games (+12.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Game Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+10.50 Units / 38% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 50-54 against the Run Line (-1.5 Units / -1.19% ROI).
- 62-42 when betting on the Moneyline for +12.77 Units / 9.41% ROI
- 49-49 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.15 Units / -4.48% ROI
- 49-49 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.75 Units / -4.17% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 54-50 against the Run Line (+3.75 Units / 3.03% ROI).
- 65-39 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 3.24% ROI
- 46-53 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.95 Units / -11.25% ROI
- 53-46 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.25 Units / 1.98% ROI
Phillies vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -300 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Trea Turner (PHI) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
Phillies vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Andres Gimenez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Austin Hays (PHI) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Phillies vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Phillies vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Cantillo (CLE) | 4.5 -110 | 4.5 -115 |
| Kolby Allard (PHI) | 3.5 -105 | 3.5 -120 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kolby Allard has limited playing time.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Guardians are 39-22 (.639) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Guardians are 149-26 (.851) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Guardians are 46-1 (.979) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Guardians are 70-22 (.761) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Phillies are 56-8 (.875) when allowing 4 or fewer runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .723.
The Phillies are 38-16 (.704) at home this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Phillies are 28-11 (.718) after a loss this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .511.
The Phillies are 15-10 (.600) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .423.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
The Guardians are batting just .279 on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .332.
Guardians hitters have just 2,099 strikeouts in 11,459 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters have put just 35% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .192 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .259.
The Guardians have allowed 0.74 runs per game (77/104) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Guardians pitchers have won 46% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Guardians pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Phillies pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in just 29% of their games on the road this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 47% against Phillies pitchers this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Phillies vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Finger, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 60-Day IL
- Rodolfo Castro (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Shane Bieber (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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