- The Yankees are -185 favorites vs the Guardians
- Guardians vs Yankees Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Guardians / Yankees TV Channel: BSGL | AMZP
The Cleveland Guardians (+150) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-185) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:05pm EDT in New York City, NY.
This season, the Guardians are 73-52 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 66-60 ATS.
Guardians vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:
- Guardians starting pitcher: Joey Cantillo 0-2, 6.40 ERA
- Yankees starting pitcher: Nestor Cortes 6-10, 4.22 ERA
Guardians vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Guardians | +1.5 -140 | O 8 -105 | +150 |
| Yankees | -1.5 +115 | U 8 -125 | -185 |
Guardians vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 57.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Bets Today:
- Steven Kwan has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 50 games (+33.50 Units / 67% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Under in 22 of his last 25 away games (+17.60 Units / 34% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Runs Under in 28 of his last 35 games (+13.65 Units / 19% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 25 away games (+12.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Steven Kwan has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 17 away games (+12.15 Units / 46% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 25 games (+23.00 Units / 92% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+16.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Aaron Judge has hit the Hits Over in 16 of his last 21 games (+14.35 Units / 41% ROI)
- Jose Trevino has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in his last 11 games at home (+11.25 Units / 70% ROI)
- Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in his last 10 games at home (+10.95 Units / 78% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 73 of their last 125 games (+13.67 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 31 away games (+11.80 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 60 away games (+11.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 5 of their last 6 away games (+4.80 Units / 80% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games (+2.65 Units / 19% ROI)
Yankees Best Bets Today:
- The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 46 of their last 69 games (+22.45 Units / 29% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 92 games (+13.80 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.60 Units / 25% ROI)
- The New York Yankees have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.85 Units / 50% ROI)
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Guardians are 62-63 against the Run Line (-0.2 Units / -0.13% ROI).
- 73-52 when betting on the Moneyline for +13.67 Units / 8.59% ROI
- 60-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -4.05 Units / -2.93% ROI
- 58-60 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.95 Units / -5.8% ROI
Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 66-60 against the Run Line (+10.1 Units / 6.57% ROI).
- 73-53 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.25 Units / -3.75% ROI
- 69-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.3 Units / 7.41% ROI
- 53-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.8 Units / -16.48% ROI
Yankees vs Guardians Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -275 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Jhonkensy Noel (CLE) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
Yankees vs Guardians Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lane Thomas (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Gleyber Torres (NYY) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Steven Kwan (CLE) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Yankees vs Guardians RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Aaron Judge (NYY) | 0.5 -105 | 0.5 -125 |
| Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jose Ramirez (CLE) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Juan Soto (NYY) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| David Fry (CLE) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Yankees vs Guardians Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Cantillo (CLE) | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -145 |
| Nestor Cortes (NYY) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -160 |
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Joey Cantillo has a strike rate of just 57% (100/174) this month (2 games) — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 64% — third Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 17% (15/91) against Joey Cantillo this month (2 games) — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 29% — 0 Percentile.
Joey Cantillo has allowed three-ball counts to 33% of batters they faced (13/40 PA’s) this month (2 games) — 5th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total IP; League Avg: 20% — third Percentile.
Joey Cantillo has thrown off-speed pitches 56% of the time (75/134) against right-handed batters this month (2 games) — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 6 total NonFB; League Avg: 44% — 86th Percentile.
Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nestor Cortes has allowed a slugging percentage of .548 (115 Total Bases / 210 ABs) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .388 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (129/417) against Nestor Cortes this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Nestor Cortes has allowed an OPS of .887 (225 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .677 — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 31% (77/249) against Nestor Cortes in two-strike counts since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 45% — first Percentile.
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees
The Guardians are 22-22 (.500) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .295.
The Guardians are 24-11 (.686) after a home win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .521.
The Guardians are 37-158 (.190) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .134.
The Guardians are 60-2 (.968) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .895.
Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
The Yankees are 25-12 (.676) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .468.
The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
The Yankees are 71-23 (.755) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .626.
The Yankees are 71-39 (.645) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .538.
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
Guardians hitters have put just 34% of balls in play to the left side of the field since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Guardians hitters have just 2,218 strikeouts in 12,054 PA’s (18%) against RHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Guardians hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 34% against RHP in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
The Guardians have barrels in 4% of PA’s since last season (391/10,721) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Yankees Hitting Stats & Trends
Yankees hitters have drawn 166 walks in 1,367 PA’s (12%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Yankees hitters have an OBP of .337 (3,513 PA’s) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
The Yankees have barrels in 7% of PA’s this season (323/4,880) — best in MLB; League Avg: 5%.
Yankees hitters have drawn 78 walks in 611 PA’s (13%) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .197 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Guardians pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .226 against Guardians pitchers with runners on base since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .260.
The Guardians have allowed 0.84 runs per game (105/125) in late innings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 1.28.
Yankees Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2
The Yankees have won 41% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Yankees pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Yankees vs. Guardians Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
- Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
- Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
- Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
- Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
- Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
- Luis Ortiz (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Sam Hentges (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Shane Bieber (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Stephan (Cleveland Guardians): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- James Karinchak (Cleveland Guardians): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
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