- The Astros are -130 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners vs Astros Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Mariners / Astros TV Channel: SCHN | RTNW
The Seattle Mariners (+110) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-130) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Mariners are 81-76 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 79-78 ATS.
Mariners vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 8-11, 3.25 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Framber Valdez 14-7, 2.84 ERA
Mariners vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -210 | O 7 +100 | +110 |
| Astros | -1.5 +170 | U 7 -120 | -130 |
Mariners vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 32 games (+29.50 Units / 92% ROI)
- Justin Turner has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 21 games (+12.85 Units / 61% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 22 of his last 31 games (+11.95 Units / 32% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+11.70 Units / 37% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.00 Units / 28% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 25 games at home (+14.45 Units / 49% ROI)
- Jason Heyward has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games (+13.40 Units / 191% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 16 of his last 20 games at home (+11.35 Units / 43% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Singles Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+10.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 games at home (+10.25 Units / 54% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 63 away games (+19.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 31 of their last 51 away games (+9.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 7 of their last 9 away games (+6.75 Units / 62% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games (+4.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 28 games (+4.30 Units / 12% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 81 of their last 140 games (+19.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 56 of their last 99 games (+15.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 84 games (+9.05 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Over in 34 of their last 57 games at home (+8.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 20 of their last 31 games (+6.95 Units / 18% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 69-88 against the Run Line (-22.8 Units / -11.56% ROI).
- 81-76 when betting on the Moneyline for -14.95 Units / -7.22% ROI
- 72-76 when betting on the total runs Over for -10.8 Units / -6.3% ROI
- 76-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -3 Units / -1.74% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 79-78 against the Run Line (+2.75 Units / 1.43% ROI).
- 85-72 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.95 Units / -4.72% ROI
- 64-89 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.25 Units / -19.37% ROI
- 89-64 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.15 Units / 10.43% ROI
Astros vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Astros vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Astros vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Alex Bregman (HOU) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Kyle Tucker (HOU) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Astros vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
| Framber Valdez (HOU) | 6.5 -105 | 6.5 -120 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .179 (279 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .242 (65 Total Bases / 269 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .380 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .226 (421 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .288 — 98th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .421 (279 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .669 — 100th Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (278/453) against Framber Valdez this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has allowed an OPS of just .552 (800 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since the 2022 season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .680 — 100th Percentile.
Opposing hitters have a groundball rate of 68% (74/109) against Framber Valdez when he’s behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Framber Valdez has thrown inside pitches 42% of the time (1,044/2,508) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 30% — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Mariners are 119-18 (.869) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Mariners are 213-4 (.982) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
The Mariners are 202-14 (.935) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .905.
The Mariners are 76-14 (.844) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .739.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Astros are just 0-54 (.000) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Astros are just 12-23 (.343) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 5-13 (.278) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are just 4-10 (.286) after a loss as underdogs this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .434.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .202 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .262.
The Mariners are batting just .225 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners have scored first in 77% of their games against division opponents this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners hitters have 1,154 strikeouts in 4,204 PA’s (28%) against RHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.64 pitches per plate appearance against RHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.89.
15% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (913/5,956 PA’s) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 12%.
Astros hitters have just 959 strikeouts in 5,296 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
14% of Astros’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (2,574/18,263 PA’s) since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 23% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 359 of 5,623 batters (6%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 74 of 1,396 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 32% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have walked 534 of 5,868 batters (9%) this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 44% with two-strikes since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Astros pitchers have an ERA of 3.52 (2097.1 IP) on the road since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.26.
Astros vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Houston Astros – No Injuries Reported
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
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