- The Mariners are -125 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Mariners vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Mariners / Cardinals TV Channel: RTNW | BSMW
The Seattle Mariners (-125) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+105) on Saturday, September 7, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:15pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Mariners are 72-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 71-70 ATS.
Mariners vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mariners starting pitcher: Logan Gilbert 7-10, 3.20 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Kyle Gibson 8-6, 4.38 ERA
Mariners vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | -1.5 +140 | O 7 -105 | -125 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -165 | U 7 -115 | +105 |
Mariners vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mariners will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Luke Raley has hit the Home Runs Over in 8 of his last 26 games (+25.30 Units / 97% ROI)
- Logan Gilbert has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 21 of his last 28 games (+13.15 Units / 39% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 24 away games (+12.80 Units / 52% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 49 games (+11.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- Luis Urias has hit the Singles Under in 22 of his last 27 games (+11.15 Units / 19% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 23 games at home (+32.50 Units / 141% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 21 games at home (+14.80 Units / 56% ROI)
- Pedro Pages has hit the Singles Over in 21 of his last 33 games (+13.00 Units / 39% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 34 games (+12.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 29 games (+12.60 Units / 25% ROI)
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 36 of their last 57 away games (+17.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 29 away games (+7.00 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 27 of their last 45 away games (+6.15 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 games (+4.70 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 11 games (+3.10 Units / 28% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 10 games (+8.05 Units / 62% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Over in 40 of their last 71 games (+6.60 Units / 8% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 16 games (+6.30 Units / 38% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games (+4.15 Units / 14% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mariners are 61-81 against the Run Line (-24.15 Units / -13.61% ROI).
- 72-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -16.6 Units / -8.81% ROI
- 63-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -15.2 Units / -9.83% ROI
- 72-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +2.85 Units / 1.83% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 71-70 against the Run Line (-6.85 Units / -3.56% ROI).
- 71-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.5 Units / -5.06% ROI
- 67-68 when betting on the total runs Over for -8.2 Units / -5.32% ROI
- 68-67 when betting on the total runs Under for -6 Units / -3.89% ROI
Cardinals vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Cardinals vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Victor Robles (SEA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Alec Burleson (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Nolan Arenado (STL) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cardinals vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Raleigh (SEA) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Randy Arozarena (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Julio Rodriguez (SEA) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jorge Polanco (SEA) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Justin Turner (SEA) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Cardinals vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Gilbert (SEA) | 5.5 -140 | 5.5 +110 |
| Kyle Gibson (STL) | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -140 |
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .148 (36-for-243) against Logan Gilbert when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OPS of just .401 (252 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .675 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed an OBP of just .175 (252 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .291 — 100th Percentile.
Logan Gilbert has allowed a slugging percentage of just .226 (55 Total Bases / 243 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .384 — 100th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 55% (313/567) with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — first Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has a strike rate of just 60% (1,445/2,404) this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Kyle Gibson has walked 22 of 147 batters (15%) with runners in scoring position this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .286 (60-for-210) against Kyle Gibson when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .233 — sixth Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Mariners are 108-19 (.850) when they’ve had 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .735.
The Mariners are 204-4 (.981) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
The Mariners are 171-27 (.864) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .794.
The Mariners are 25-14 (.641) after a home win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Cardinals are 20-13 (.606) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .432.
The Cardinals are 37-18 (.673) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are just 57-63 (.475) after a win as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .585.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mariners are batting just .209 against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .246.
The Mariners are batting just .224 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
The Mariners are batting just .219 this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .244.
The Mariners are batting just .149 with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .170.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OPS of just .686 (3,120 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .728.
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .294 (1,560 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .379 against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP this season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
The Mariners pitchers have allowed division opponents to score first in just 23% of their games this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Mariners pitchers have allowed an OBP of just .255 (1,261 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .304.
Mariners pitchers have walked 259 of 4,165 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 67 of 1,261 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 46% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Cardinals vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- Seattle Mariners – No Injuries Reported
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