- The Rangers are -125 favorites vs the Mariners
- Mariners starting pitcher: Bryan Woo
- Rangers starting pitcher: Nathan Eovaldi
- Watch the game on BSSW
The Seattle Mariners (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Sunday, September 24, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington.
The Rangers are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+155).
The Mariners vs Rangers Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
This season, the Mariners are 84-70 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 83-71 ATS.
Mariners vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mariners | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -105 | +105 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -115 | -125 |
Mariners vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Sunday‘s MLB matchup with 56.9% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Mariners and Rangers and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mariners players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mariners Player Prop Bets Today:
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Singles Over in 33 of his last 49 games (+16.25 Units / 30% ROI)
- Teoscar Hernandez has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 49 games (+12.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+11.95 Units / 27% ROI)
- Julio Rodriguez has hit the Total Bases Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+9.75 Units / 33% ROI)
- J.P. Crawford has hit the Hits Over in 21 of his last 27 games (+9.15 Units / 17% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 17 of his last 20 games (+13.25 Units / 53% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Singles Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 52% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+11.75 Units / 26% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 40 games (+10.00 Units / 19% ROI)
- Jordan Montgomery has hit the Strikeouts Over in 12 of his last 14 games at home (+9.90 Units / 59% ROI)
Rangers vs Mariners Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Evan Carter | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2500 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -1000 |
Rangers vs Mariners Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 -125 | 0.5 -105 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Evan Carter | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +105 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Rangers vs Mariners RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Josh Rojas | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -500 |
| Teoscar Hernandez | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -200 |
| Evan Carter | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.P. Crawford | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Nate Lowe | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Mariners Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Woo | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Nathan Eovaldi | 5.5 +110 | 5.5 -145 |
Mariners Best Bets Today:
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 53 games (+14.64 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 41 away games (+13.47 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 42 away games (+10.35 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 47 of their last 78 games (+10.24 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Seattle Mariners have hit the Game Total Over in 17 of their last 25 away games (+9.55 Units / 35% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 81 of their last 146 games (+22.69 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 86 of their last 146 games (+18.73 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 43 of their last 75 games at home (+18.30 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 22 of their last 29 games (+14.50 Units / 45% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 74 games at home (+13.73 Units / 16% ROI)
Mariners Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Mariners have gone 73-81 against the Run Line (-14.4 Units / -7.31% ROI).
- 84-70 when betting on the Moneyline for -6.9 Units / -3.03% ROI
- 78-71 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.05 Units / 0.03% ROI
- 71-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.15 Units / -8.39% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rangers have gone 83-71 against the Run Line (+13.6 Units / 7.17% ROI).
- 86-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -1.95 Units / -0.88% ROI
- 82-66 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.35 Units / 5.5% ROI
- 66-82 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.95 Units / -14.16% ROI
Mariners Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Bryan Woo has thrown fastballs 75% of the time (962/1,285) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents had a groundball rate of 82% (9/11) against Bryan Woo — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Bryan Woo has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.0 MPH (220 batted balls) this season — tied for 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 89.2 — 96th Percentile.
Opponents have a = 95 mph’>Hard-Hit Rate of just 17% (13/76) against Bryan Woo on inside fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 32% — 99th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a line drive rate of just 14% (43/299) against Nathan Eovaldi since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Nathan Eovaldi has allowed an OBP of just .216 (208 PA’s) with runners in scoring position since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .319 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (50/334) against Nathan Eovaldi on non-fastballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .087 (4 GB hits out of 46 GBs) against Nathan Eovaldi with runners in scoring position this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 100th Percentile.
Mariners Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Mariners are 30-30 (.500) after a win as underdogs since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .419.
The Mariners are 44-5 (.898) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Mariners are 63-12 (.840) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .781.
The Mariners are 143-3 (.979) when leading entering the 9th inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .951.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Mariners
The Rangers are 31-13 (.705) after a home win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .536.
The Rangers are 24-19 (.558) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
The Rangers are just 132-22 (.857) when leading entering the 8th inning since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .907.
The Rangers were just 53-11 (.828) when leading entering the 8th inning in 2022 — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .915.
Mariners Hitting Stats & Trends
Mariners hitters have put just 33% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Mariners hitters have 392 strikeouts in 1,508 PA’s (26%) against LHP this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mariners hitters have 804 strikeouts in 3,289 PA’s (24%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mariners hitters are slugging just .172 on pitches out of the zone since the 2021 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .211.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have chased 25% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
The Rangers are batting .266 this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Rangers hitters are slugging .455 this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
Rangers hitters are slugging .492 at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
Mariners Pitching Stats & Trends
Mariners pitchers have walked 185 of 2,842 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 844 of 11,735 batters (7%) since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mariners pitchers have thrown at least two strikes in their first three pitches to 69% of opposing batters this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 64%.
Mariners pitchers have walked 393 of 5,705 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Rangers pitchers have walked 247 of 2,814 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 52% of their games on the road since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Rangers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 41% of their games this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
The Rangers pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 55% of their games on the road since the 2021 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Rangers vs. Mariners Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Joshua Sborz (Rangers): Hamstring, D15
- Jacob Odorizzi (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Brett Martin (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Bradley Miller (Rangers): Hamstring, D60
- Ian Kennedy (Rangers): Shoulder, D60
- Maxwell Scherzer (Rangers): Triceps , D15
- Jacob deGrom (Rangers): Elbow, D60
- Emerson Hancock (Mariners): Shoulder, D60
- Easton McGee (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Marco Gonzales (Mariners): Forearm, D60
- Thomas Murphy (Mariners): Thumb, D10
- Robert Ray (Mariners): Flexor, D60
- William Murfee (Mariners): Elbow, D60
- Evan White (Mariners): Adductor, D60
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