- The Blue Jays are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Marlins / Blue Jays TV Channel: RSN | TVA | BSFL
The Miami Marlins (+125) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-150) on Sunday, September 29, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 3:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Marlins are 61-100 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 78-83 ATS.
Marlins vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Ryan Weathers 4-6, 3.80 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Undecided 0-0, 0.00 ERA
Marlins vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -175 | O 8 -110 | +125 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +145 | U 8 -110 | -150 |
Marlins vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Marlins will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonah Bride has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 50 games (+43.50 Units / 87% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 48 games (+15.50 Units / 19% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Singles Over in 35 of his last 50 games (+12.65 Units / 17% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 31 of his last 50 games (+12.60 Units / 22% ROI)
- Jonah Bride has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 48 games (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 30 games (+13.15 Units / 41% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games (+12.10 Units / 134% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 20 of his last 28 games (+11.85 Units / 33% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 30 games (+11.55 Units / 37% ROI)
- Vladimir Guerrero Jr has hit the RBIs Over in 16 of his last 31 games (+10.65 Units / 34% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 45 of their last 69 games (+17.85 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 73 of their last 134 games (+15.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 47 of their last 77 away games (+13.50 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 17 of their last 34 away games (+13.00 Units / 38% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 4 of their last 5 games (+7.20 Units / 144% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 37 of their last 57 games at home (+17.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 25 of their last 40 games (+7.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 32 of their last 58 games (+4.05 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Over in 12 of their last 19 games at home (+3.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 28 of their last 50 games (+3.15 Units / 5% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 77-84 against the Run Line (-29.55 Units / -14.18% ROI).
- 61-100 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.55 Units / -8.1% ROI
- 86-67 when betting on the total runs Over for +12.8 Units / 7.21% ROI
- 67-86 when betting on the total runs Under for -26.6 Units / -15.06% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 78-83 against the Run Line (-18.9 Units / -8.7% ROI).
- 74-87 when betting on the Moneyline for -22.55 Units / -11.45% ROI
- 81-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.35 Units / -0.77% ROI
- 75-81 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.45 Units / -8.18% ROI
Blue Jays vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Davis Schneider (TOR) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -800 |
| Griffin Conine (MIA) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Blue Jays vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Jesus Sanchez (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Blue Jays vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Weathers (MIA) | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .361 (22-for-61) against Ryan Weathers’ inside fastball this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 63 total IP; League Avg: .250 — first Percentile.
Opposing hitters have no hits in their last 27 ABs ending on a two-strike changeup from Ryan Weathers. — this is the longest active streak among active MLB players.
Right-handed hitters have a chase rate of just 25% (241/954) against Ryan Weathers since last season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 30% — fourth Percentile.
Ryan Weathers had a strike rate of just 56% (46/82) in his last start — 4th lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 65% — third Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Chris Bassitt has walked 7 of 23 batters (30%) over the past seven days (1 games) — highest among AL Starters over the last week; League Avg: 8% — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt walked 7 of 23 batters (30%) in his last start — highest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 8% — 0 Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has allowed an OBP of .352 (756 PA’s) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .296 — first Percentile.
Chris Bassitt has averaged 70.9 MPH on curveballs since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 128 total IP; League Avg: 79.7 — first Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Marlins are just 24-19 (.558) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Marlins are just 19-32 (.373) after a home loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Marlins are just 8-7 (.533) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .807.
The Marlins are just 17-40 (.298) after a win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .492.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Blue Jays are 40-34 (.541) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Blue Jays are just 6-70 (.079) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 37% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .286 (1,956 PA’s) against LHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Marlins hitters have chased 35% of pitches out of the zone in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters have 275 extra-base hits out of 983 total hits (just 28%) with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 1,984 strikeouts in 10,462 PA’s (19%) in righty-righty matchups since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of .741 (14,365 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .716.
Blue Jays hitters have an OBP of .324 (14,365 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Blue Jays hitters have just 925 strikeouts in 4,631 PA’s (20%) against RHP this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.37 (751.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.98.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Marlins have allowed 6.04 runs per game (489/81) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.41.
Marlins pitchers have allowed a run 37% of the time after an opposing score this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 30%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays pitchers won only 15% of games in which they allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Blue Jays vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
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