- The Giants are -275 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Giants Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Marlins / Giants TV Channel: BSFL | NSBA | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+220) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-275) on Friday, August 30, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 10:15pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 49-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 66-69 ATS.
Marlins vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Adam Oller 1-1, 5.23 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Blake Snell 2-3, 3.78 ERA
Marlins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 +100 | O 7 +100 | +220 |
| Giants | -1.5 -120 | U 7 -120 | -275 |
Marlins vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Friday‘s MLB game with 68.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 48 games (+37.40 Units / 78% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+20.30 Units / 39% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Under in 12 of his last 14 away games (+9.35 Units / 31% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 44 games (+9.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 games (+8.80 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 38 games (+42.00 Units / 111% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 34 of his last 44 games (+17.35 Units / 22% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+14.25 Units / 26% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+12.85 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 28 of his last 44 games (+11.30 Units / 22% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 42 games (+19.00 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 107 games (+16.55 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 40 of their last 62 away games (+15.60 Units / 21% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 18 of their last 39 games (+9.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 10 of their last 19 away games (+8.15 Units / 43% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 61 games at home (+10.30 Units / 12% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 61 games at home (+10.00 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 10 of their last 12 games at home (+8.00 Units / 58% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 103 games (+7.55 Units / 6% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.55 Units / 33% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 62-72 against the Run Line (-30.56 Units / -17.39% ROI).
- 49-85 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.6 Units / -13.98% ROI
- 74-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +14.3 Units / 9.68% ROI
- 55-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -25.4 Units / -17.27% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 66-69 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -4.74% ROI).
- 67-68 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.05 Units / -5.82% ROI
- 68-61 when betting on the total runs Over for +1.55 Units / 1.05% ROI
- 61-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -14.1 Units / -9.44% ROI
Giants vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -900 |
Giants vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Thairo Estrada (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Giants vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
Giants vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adam Oller (MIA) | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +115 |
| Blake Snell (SF) | 7.5 -140 | 7.5 +110 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Adam Oller has a strike rate of just 58% (107/185) this month (2 games) — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 64% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 27% (8/30) against Adam Oller this month (2 games) — 7th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 42% — fourth Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 43% of Adam Oller’s pitches (79/185) this month (2 games) — tied for 9th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 48% — sixth Percentile.
Adam Oller has walked 6 of 46 batters (13%) this month (2 games) — tied for 7th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 9 total IP; League Avg: 8% — fourth Percentile.
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Blake Snell has allowed an OPS of just .384 (118 PA’s) this month (5 games) — best among among NL Starters; League Avg: .727 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .172 (62-for-360) against Blake Snell when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .248 — 99th Percentile.
Blake Snell has allowed a slugging percentage of just .286 (263 Total Bases / 920 ABs) since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: .412 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 40% (93/234) against Blake Snell this month (5 games) — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are just 6-6 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
The Marlins are just 18-18 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .753.
The Marlins are just 27-13 (.675) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .853.
The Marlins are just 14-18 (.438) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .640.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 10-129 (.072) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Giants are 120-4 (.968) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .947.
The Giants are 22-11 (.667) after a home loss this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Giants are just 48-77 (.384) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .463.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
The Marlins are just 17-49 (.258) against the run line (-48.4% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Marlins hitters have drawn 899 walks in 12,664 PA’s (7%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Marlins are just 6-6 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .801.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have an OBP of just .157 (230 PA’s) with two-strikes over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Giants hitters have 9 strikeouts in 21 PA’s (43%) against LHP over the past seven days (5 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 21%.
Giants hitters have 818 strikeouts in 3,291 PA’s (25%) against LHP since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Giants hitters are slugging just .384 against RHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .408.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 518.2 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 467.2
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.12 (642.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.99.
Marlins pitchers have walked 61 of 520 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Marlins have allowed 5.83 runs per game (402/69) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 54 of 416 batters (13%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
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