- The Giants are -275 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Giants Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Marlins / Giants TV Channel: BSFL | NSBA | MLBN
The Miami Marlins (+220) visit Oracle Park to take on the San Francisco Giants (-275) on Sunday, September 1, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:05pm EDT in San Francisco, CA.
This season, the Marlins are 50-86 against the spread (ATS), while the Giants are 67-70 ATS.
Marlins vs Giants Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Darren McCaughan 0-0, 8.63 ERA
- Giants starting pitcher: Logan Webb 11-8, 3.24 ERA
Marlins vs. Giants Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 +105 | O 7.5 -120 | +220 |
| Giants | -1.5 -125 | U 7.5 +100 | -275 |
Marlins vs Giants Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Giants will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 67.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 17 of his last 50 games (+35.40 Units / 71% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 46 games (+20.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Under in 13 of his last 15 away games (+10.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Hits Over in 14 of his last 19 games (+9.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- Otto Lopez has hit the Singles Over in 19 of his last 27 games (+8.25 Units / 21% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Giants players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Giants Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Home Runs Over in 12 of his last 40 games (+40.00 Units / 100% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Hits Over in 35 of his last 46 games (+16.40 Units / 20% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 46 games (+14.25 Units / 25% ROI)
- LaMonte Wade Jr has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 25 games (+12.20 Units / 37% ROI)
- Tyler Fitzgerald has hit the Runs Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+10.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 44 games (+19.00 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 41 of their last 64 away games (+15.45 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 61 of their last 109 games (+14.10 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 41 games (+10.80 Units / 26% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 41 games (+9.45 Units / 20% ROI)
Giants Best Bets Today:
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Team Total Under in 12 of their last 14 games at home (+10.15 Units / 63% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 33 of their last 63 games at home (+9.05 Units / 10% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 20 games at home (+8.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 37 of their last 63 games at home (+7.05 Units / 9% ROI)
- The San Francisco Giants have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 58 of their last 105 games (+5.45 Units / 4% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 63-73 against the Run Line (-30.56 Units / -17.12% ROI).
- 50-86 when betting on the Moneyline for -19.4 Units / -13.64% ROI
- 74-57 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.85 Units / 7.89% ROI
- 57-74 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.35 Units / -15.66% ROI
Giants Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Giants are 67-70 against the Run Line (-8.3 Units / -4.68% ROI).
- 68-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.45 Units / -5.91% ROI
- 68-63 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.9 Units / -0.6% ROI
- 63-68 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.05 Units / -7.96% ROI
Giants vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Heliot Ramos (SF) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Giants vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Connor Norby (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Giants vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Chapman (SF) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Mike Yastrzemski (SF) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| Tyler Fitzgerald (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| Michael Conforto (SF) | 0.5 +165 | 0.5 -225 |
| LaMonte Wade Jr (SF) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Giants vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Logan Webb (SF) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
No Matchup notes for this Game
Giants Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 56% (297/529) against Logan Webb this season — 4th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 95th Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 29% (130/440) against Logan Webb on elevated fastballs this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 49% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 60% (686/1,148) against Logan Webb since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 118 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 99th Percentile.
The average home run distance against Logan Webb this season is 423.4 feet — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 399.0
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Giants
The Marlins are just 6-6 (.500) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .804.
The Marlins are just 18-18 (.500) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .751.
The Marlins are just 131-37 (.780) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .866.
The Marlins are just 5-34 (.128) when allowing 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .298.
Giants Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Giants are 45-24 (.652) after a home loss since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .518.
The Giants are just 48-77 (.384) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
The Giants are 22-126 (.149) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Giants are 186-6 (.969) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .950.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .666 (4,311 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .287 (1,606 PA’s) against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
The Marlins are just 4-16 (.200) against the run line (-60.0% ROI) when slight moneyline favorites (-101 to -149) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .444.
Giants Hitting Stats & Trends
Giants hitters have 7 strikeouts in 15 PA’s (47%) against LHP over the past seven days (3 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Giants hitters have 1,297 strikeouts in 5,223 PA’s (25%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Giants are batting just .248 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .265.
Giants hitters are slugging just .383 against RHP since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .403.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 518.2 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 467.2
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.12 (642.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.01.
The Marlins have allowed 5.83 runs per game (402/69) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.44.
Marlins pitchers have won only 12% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Giants Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Giants pitchers since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 48% against Giants pitchers this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Giants pitchers have walked 166 of 2,652 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Giants vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Francisco Giants – No Injuries Reported
- Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported
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