Marlins vs Rockies Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 27

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Colorado Rockies center fielder Brenton Doyle (9) in the third inning of a baseball game Sunday, Oct. 1, 2023, in Denver. (AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
(AP Photo/David Zalubowski)
BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Aug 27, 2024, 11:00 AM
  • The Rockies are -150 favorites vs the Marlins
  • Marlins vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11 Runs
  • Marlins / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | BSFL

The Miami Marlins (+125) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (-150) on Tuesday, August 27, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.

This season, the Marlins are 47-84 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 66-66 ATS.

Marlins vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Marlins starting pitcher: Roddery Munoz 2-7, 5.98 ERA
  • Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 8-9, 4.58 ERA

Marlins vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Marlins+1.5 -160O 11 -110+125
Rockies -1.5 +135U 11 -110-150

Marlins vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rockies will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 55.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Jake Burger has hit the Home Runs Over in 18 of his last 49 games (+42.10 Units / 86% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the Total Bases Over in 29 of his last 41 games (+19.30 Units / 40% ROI)
  • Kyle Stowers has hit the Runs Under in his last 12 away games (+12.00 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Jonah Bride has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 31 games (+10.60 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Jake Burger has hit the RBIs Over in 8 of his last 12 away games (+9.25 Units / 77% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Jake Cave has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 28 games (+22.60 Units / 81% ROI)
  • Cal Quantrill has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 17 of his last 22 games (+12.15 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 14 games (+10.90 Units / 76% ROI)
  • Brenton Doyle has hit the Hits Over in 27 of his last 42 games (+10.55 Units / 15% ROI)
  • Michael Toglia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 12 of his last 16 games (+8.60 Units / 46% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 30 of their last 39 games (+20.15 Units / 41% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 39 of their last 59 away games (+17.15 Units / 24% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 59 of their last 104 games (+15.60 Units / 14% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 17 of their last 36 games (+10.55 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Miami Marlins have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 22 of their last 36 games (+8.35 Units / 21% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 25 of their last 46 games at home (+12.65 Units / 27% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 25 games at home (+8.70 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 19 of their last 29 games (+7.70 Units / 22% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+7.30 Units / 30% ROI)
  • The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 21 of their last 46 games at home (+5.65 Units / 12% ROI)

Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 60-71 against the Run Line (-30.96 Units / -18.09% ROI).

  • 47-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.05 Units / -15.34% ROI
  • 72-54 when betting on the total runs Over for +13.35 Units / 9.23% ROI
  • 54-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -24.1 Units / -16.78% ROI

Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 66-66 against the Run Line (-13.05 Units / -8.03% ROI).

  • 49-83 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -5.84% ROI
  • 65-64 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.3 Units / -3.68% ROI
  • 64-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.45 Units / -5.16% ROI

Rockies vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Jake Burger (MIA) 0.5 +340 0.5 -450
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +375 0.5 -550
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Connor Norby (MIA) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Rockies vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Jacob Stallings (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Vidal Brujan (MIA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Ryan McMahon (COL) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
David Hensley (MIA) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Rockies vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Otto Lopez (MIA) 0.5 +115 0.5 -155
Brendan Rodgers (COL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Ezequiel Tovar (COL) 0.5 +120 0.5 -155
Jake Burger (MIA) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Michael Toglia (COL) 0.5 +130 0.5 -165

Rockies vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Cal Quantrill (COL) 4.5 +110 4.5 -145
Roddery Munoz (MIA) 4.5 +115 4.5 -150

Roddery Munoz has allowed a slugging percentage of .667 (34 Total Bases / 51 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .366 — first Percentile.

Roddery Munoz has allowed an OPS of 1.070 (179 PA’s) vs left-handed batters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .719 — first Percentile.

Roddery Munoz has allowed an OPS of .888 (366 PA’s) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .710 — second Percentile.

Roddery Munoz has allowed an OPS of .953 (151 PA’s) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 52 total IP; League Avg: .709 — first Percentile.

Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Division opponents are hitting .316 (60-for-190) against Cal Quantrill this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — third Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 59% (722/1,220) vs left-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has located his pitches away 62% of the time (758/1,220) vs left-handed batters this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.

Cal Quantrill has a strike rate of just 59% (295/501) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fifth Percentile.

Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies

The Marlins are just 16-18 (.471) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .757.

The Marlins are just 4-6 (.400) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .805.

The Marlins are just 26-13 (.667) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .856.

The Marlins are just 14-18 (.438) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .642.

Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins

The Rockies are just 51-36 (.586) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.

The Rockies are just 82-20 (.796) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .898.

The Rockies are just 92-13 (.868) when leading entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .947.

The Rockies are just 41-7 (.837) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.

Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .298 (4,250 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .318.

The Marlins have a winning percentage of just 36% at home this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Marlins hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.

The Marlins are just 16-18 (.471) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .757.

team hitters – home

The longest HR allowed by the Marlins pitchers this season traveled 518.2 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 466.0

The Marlins have allowed 5.83 runs per game (402/69) at home this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.42.

Marlins pitchers have walked 55 of 470 batters (12%) over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Marlins pitchers have won only 8% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 36% with two-strikes since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.

Rockies vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Colorado Rockies – No Injuries Reported
  • Miami Marlins – No Injuries Reported

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.