- The Tigers are -165 favorites vs the Marlins
- Marlins vs Tigers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Marlins / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSFL
The Miami Marlins (+140) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-165) on Monday, May 13, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Marlins are 11-31 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 19-21 ATS.
Marlins vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Marlins starting pitcher: Sixto Sanchez 0-1, 7.37 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Matt Manning 0-1, 4.24 ERA
Marlins vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Marlins | +1.5 -145 | O 8.5 -120 | +140 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +120 | U 8.5 +100 | -165 |
Marlins vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 13 away games (+15.00 Units / 115% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Total Bases Over in 23 of his last 34 games (+13.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- Jesus Sanchez has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+11.30 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 42 games (+11.05 Units / 14% ROI)
- Jake Burger has hit the Singles Under in 13 of his last 15 games (+10.40 Units / 47% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+18.40 Units / 108% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 13 of his last 16 games (+9.45 Units / 43% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Total Bases Under in 13 of his last 18 games (+9.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- Spencer Torkelson has hit the Hits Over in 9 of his last 10 games at home (+7.10 Units / 36% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Under in 38 of their last 64 away games (+11.75 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 31 games (+5.65 Units / 16% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 52 of their last 99 games (+12.30 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 19 of their last 29 games (+11.80 Units / 35% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 15 of their last 20 games (+10.89 Units / 48% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 41 of their last 75 games (+8.60 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Over in 8 of their last 9 games at home (+7.39 Units / 74% ROI)
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 12-30 against the Run Line (-24.46 Units / -45.5% ROI).
- 11-31 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.5 Units / -43.57% ROI
- 25-17 when betting on the total runs Over for +6.65 Units / 14.44% ROI
- 17-25 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.3 Units / -22.22% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 19-21 against the Run Line (-3.15 Units / -5.74% ROI).
- 20-20 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.8 Units / -1.78% ROI
- 18-16 when betting on the total runs Over for +0.45 Units / 1.12% ROI
- 16-18 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.1 Units / -9.96% ROI
Tigers vs Marlins Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jazz Chisholm (MIA) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +525 | 0.5 -750 |
Tigers vs Marlins Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Tigers vs Marlins RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
| Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -200 |
Tigers vs Marlins Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Matt Manning (DET) | 4.5 +100 | 4.5 -130 |
| Sixto Sanchez (MIA) | 3.5 +100 | 3.5 -130 |
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 10% (5/52) against Sixto Sanchez on sliders this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Sixto Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 12% (7 SO in 61 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 24% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 9% (5/53) against Sixto Sanchez with runners in scoring position this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 25% — first Percentile.
Sixto Sanchez has a strikeout rate of just 13% (11 SO in 85 PAs) this season — 8th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 14 total IP; League Avg: 22% — fourth Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 19% (54/285) against Matt Manning since last season — tied for 6th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (24/155) against Matt Manning on breaking pitches since last season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .209 (72-for-345) against Matt Manning since last season — tied for 11th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 79 total IP; League Avg: .249 — 94th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 15% (19/125) against Matt Manning on sliders since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 144 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Marlins are 15-172 (.080) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Marlins are just 110-29 (.791) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .868.
The Marlins are just 38-34 (.528) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .587.
The Marlins are just 23-85 (.213) when allowing 2 or more home runs since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .302.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Tigers are just 21-29 (.420) after a home win since the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .528.
The Tigers are 11-7 (.611) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are 41-14 (.745) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .616.
The Tigers are 23-12 (.657) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .587.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have chased 34% of pitches out of the zone this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Marlins hitters have chased 45% of pitches out of the zone with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Marlins hitters have an OPS of just .661 (3,271 PA’s) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .725.
Marlins hitters have 541 extra-base hits out of 1,738 total hits (just 31%) since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 36%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .647 (10,217 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .715.
The Tigers are batting just .314 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .341.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .291 (10,217 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .356 against RHP since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have walked 174 of 1,665 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 40% with two-strikes this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Marlins pitchers have an ERA of 5.35 (372.0 IP) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have an ERA of 2.96 (610.1 IP) against division opponents since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 4.29.
Tigers pitchers have won only 15% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings at home since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 29%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 280 of 3,232 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers won just 23% of home games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers vs. Marlins Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
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