- The Mets are -145 favorites vs the Marlins
- Mets vs Marlins Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Marlins TV Channel: SNY | BSFL
The New York Mets (-145) visit loanDepot park to take on the Miami Marlins (+120) on Monday, July 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Miami, FL.
This season, the Mets are 50-48 against the spread (ATS), while the Marlins are 45-54 ATS.
Mets vs Marlins Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: David Peterson 4-0, 3.12 ERA
- Marlins starting pitcher: Yonny Chirinos 0-1, 6.01 ERA
Mets vs. Marlins Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
Mets | -1.5 +110 | O 8.5 -110 | -145 |
Marlins | +1.5 -135 | U 8.5 -110 | +120 |
Mets vs Marlins Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 61.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Mets vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 8 games (+25.20 Units / 315% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the Total Bases Over in 19 of his last 25 away games (+14.90 Units / 48% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the RBIs Over in 22 of his last 41 games (+14.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- J.D. Martinez has hit the Hits Over in 31 of his last 42 games (+11.10 Units / 13% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Over in 11 of his last 12 games (+10.60 Units / 82% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Marlins players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Marlins Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Bryan De La Cruz has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 11 games at home (+22.20 Units / 202% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Runs Under in 39 of his last 50 games (+18.20 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jazz Chisholm has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 38 games (+10.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 25 games at home (+9.85 Units / 20% ROI)
- Josh Bell has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 24 games at home (+9.55 Units / 30% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Over in 56 of their last 89 games (+17.25 Units / 16% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 26 of their last 39 games (+10.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Over in 26 of their last 43 away games (+10.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 19 away games (+6.55 Units / 28% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 50 games (+5.70 Units / 8% ROI)
Marlins Best Bets Today:
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 52 games at home (+16.50 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 49 of their last 81 games (+14.40 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Team Total Under in 56 of their last 94 games (+12.35 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 15 games at home (+6.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Miami Marlins have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 35 games at home (+3.80 Units / 10% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 46-52 against the Run Line (-8.9 Units / -7.1% ROI).
- 50-48 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.2 Units / -1.87% ROI
- 51-42 when betting on the total runs Over for +4.6 Units / 4.31% ROI
- 42-51 when betting on the total runs Under for -13.35 Units / -12.77% ROI
Marlins Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Marlins are 45-54 against the Run Line (-24.86 Units / -18.9% ROI).
- 35-64 when betting on the Moneyline for -21.05 Units / -20.01% ROI
- 52-45 when betting on the total runs Over for +3.1 Units / 2.84% ROI
- 45-52 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.35 Units / -10.45% ROI
Marlins vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -700 |
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
Marlins vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
Otto Lopez (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
Bryan De La Cruz (MIA) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
Marlins vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -190 |
Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Jake Burger (MIA) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
Marlins vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
Over | Under | |
---|---|---|
David Peterson (NYM) | 5.5 +125 | 5.5 -165 |
Yonny Chirinos (MIA) | 4.5 +140 | 4.5 -185 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
David Peterson has a strike rate of just 61% (2,076/3,417) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 65% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 55% (84/153) against David Peterson on sliders since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 61% (31/51) against David Peterson this month (3 games) — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 98th Percentile.
David Peterson has walked 91 of 848 right-handed batters (11%) since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Marlins Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Yonny Chirinos has allowed an OPS of .847 (484 PA’s) since last season — 6th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .724 — third Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of 55% (41/74) against Yonny Chirinos on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 44% — third Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .459 (34-for-74) against Yonny Chirinos on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .343 — second Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .286 (125-for-437) against Yonny Chirinos since last season — tied for 10th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: .247 — sixth Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Marlins
The Mets are 6-37 (.140) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .056.
The Mets are just 34-11 (.756) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .896.
The Mets are just 38-6 (.864) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .944.
The Mets are 14-168 (.077) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Marlins Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Marlins are just 2-4 (.333) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .802.
The Marlins are just 10-12 (.455) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .755.
The Marlins are just 17-9 (.654) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .859.
The Marlins are just 8-13 (.381) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .699.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .264 on the road this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .241.
Mets hitters are slugging .447 against LHP this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .556 (2,030 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .509.
The Mets won only 40% of their road games in the 2023 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
Marlins Hitting Stats & Trends
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .205 (1,855 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .245.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .288 (2,453 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .310.
Marlins hitters have an OBP of just .280 (1,176 PA’s) against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .316.
Marlins hitters have pulled just 43% of balls they’ve put into play since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 373 of 3,761 batters (10%) this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Mets pitchers since the 2022 season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Mets pitchers have walked 223 of 2,292 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have an ERA of 4.77 (1085.2 IP) on the road since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.35.
Marlins Pitching Stats & Trends
Marlins pitchers have won only 9% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Marlins pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 21% this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Marlins pitchers since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Marlins vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Eury Perez (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Josh Simpson (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Sandy Alcantara (Miami Marlins): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Xavier Edwards (Miami Marlins): Foot, 10-Day IL
- Huascar Brazoban (Miami Marlins): Personal, Out
- Victor Mesa (Miami Marlins): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Edward Cabrera (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Braxton Garrett (Miami Marlins): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- JT Chargois (Miami Marlins): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Ronny Mauricio (New York Mets): Knee, 60-Day IL
- Sean Reid-Foley (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Tylor Megill (New York Mets): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- David Peterson (New York Mets): Hip, 60-Day IL
- Kodai Senga (New York Mets): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
Bet now on Mets vs Marlins and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
![state-promo-featured-betmgm-1500-first-bet-offer First Bet Offer BetMGM State Promo Pages $1,500](https://ekcfbmsotzc.exactdn.com/en/blog/wp-content/uploads/2024/03/state-promo-featured-betmgm-1500-first-bet-offer.jpg?strip=all&lossy=1&ssl=1)