- The Padres are -120 favorites vs the Mets
- Mets vs Padres Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Mets / Padres TV Channel: WPIX | PDTV
The New York Mets (+105) visit Petco Park to take on the San Diego Padres (-125) on Sunday, August 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in San Diego, CA.
This season, the Mets are 0-0 against the spread (ATS), while the Padres are 0-0 ATS.
Mets vs Padres Starting Pitchers Today:
- Mets starting pitcher: Jose Quintana 6-9, 4.55 ERA
- Padres starting pitcher: Martin Perez 3-5, 4.62 ERA
Mets vs. Padres Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Mets | +1.5 -200 | O 9 -120 | +105 |
| Padres | -1.5 +165 | U 9 +100 | -125 |
Mets vs Padres Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 51.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jeff McNeil has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 18 away games (+39.00 Units / 217% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 36 games (+21.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 24 of his last 35 games (+13.50 Units / 36% ROI)
- Brandon Nimmo has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 22 away games (+13.20 Units / 45% ROI)
- Pete Alonso has hit the RBIs Under in 36 of his last 49 games (+10.15 Units / 10% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- David Peralta has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 23 games (+21.00 Units / 91% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+14.70 Units / 20% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 19 of his last 29 games (+13.55 Units / 45% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 36 of his last 50 games (+12.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- Xander Bogaerts has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 25 of his last 36 games (+12.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 43 of their last 70 games (+10.10 Units / 11% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Team Total Under in 22 of their last 34 games (+8.85 Units / 23% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 42 of their last 81 games (+7.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 17 away games (+7.50 Units / 40% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 34 away games (+6.60 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 36 of their last 53 games (+15.00 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 24 of their last 34 games at home (+12.90 Units / 35% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 53 of their last 98 games (+10.00 Units / 8% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Team Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games at home (+5.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+4.55 Units / 18% ROI)
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 0-0 against the Run Line (+0 Units / 0% ROI).
- 0-0 when betting on the Moneyline for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Over for +0 Units / 0% ROI
- 0-0 when betting on the total runs Under for +0 Units / 0% ROI
Padres vs Mets Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Padres vs Mets Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Iglesias (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Donovan Solano (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Starling Marte (NYM) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
Padres vs Mets RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Francisco Lindor (NYM) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Padres vs Mets Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Quintana (NYM) | 3.5 -115 | 3.5 -110 |
| Martin Perez (SD) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 59% (1,049/1,790) against right-handed batters this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — first Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 56% (353/630) in two strike counts this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — first Percentile.
14 of Jose Quintana’s 40 breaking pitch strikeouts (35%) have been backdoor this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 14% — 97th Percentile.
Jose Quintana has a strike rate of just 49% (373/764) when ahead in the count this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 61% — first Percentile.
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Martin Perez has allowed an OPS of 1.061 (172 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .756 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .378 (37-for-98) against Martin Perez when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 0 Percentile.
Martin Perez has located his fastball inside 49% of the time (343/694) this season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: 34% — 98th Percentile.
Martin Perez has allowed an OBP of .419 (172 PA’s) versus the 2-3-4 hitters this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 51 total IP; League Avg: .320 — 0 Percentile.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Mets are 6-52 (.103) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Mets are just 49-11 (.817) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .895.
The Mets are 14-7 (.667) when tied entering the 7th inning this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Mets are just 52-6 (.897) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .946.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Padres are 53-4 (.930) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .854.
The Padres are 13-10 (.565) after a road loss this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .478.
The Padres are 23-16 (.590) after a road win this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .466.
The Padres are 67-54 (.554) after a road win since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
The Mets are batting .262 on the road this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Mets hitters are slugging .430 on the road this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .395.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .742 (8,716 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .708.
Mets hitters have an OPS of .754 (2,432 PA’s) on the road this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .704.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .282 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Padres hitters have just 867 strikeouts in 4,932 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 624 strikeouts in 3,525 PA’s (18%) against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 97 strikeouts in 639 PA’s (15%) against RHP this month (21 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have walked 494 of 4,959 batters (10%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 244 of 2,574 batters (10%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have walked 1,085 of 11,043 batters (10%) since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
The Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.9 MPH in the 2023 season (3,922 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH since last season (7,107 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 45% with two-strikes this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Padres vs. Mets Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- San Diego Padres – No Injuries Reported
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
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