- The Cubs are -165 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Cubs Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Nationals / Cubs TV Channel: MAS2 | MARQ | MLBN
The Washington Nationals (+140) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-165) on Friday, September 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:20pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Nationals are 68-85 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 74-79 ATS.
Nationals vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Trevor Williams 5-0, 2.27 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Jameson Taillon 10-8, 3.57 ERA
Nationals vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -150 | O 9 +100 | +140 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +125 | U 9 -120 | -165 |
Nationals vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Friday‘s MLB game with 56.9% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- James Wood has hit the Total Bases Over in 32 of his last 49 games (+12.55 Units / 17% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the Walks Under in 27 of his last 37 games (+12.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+12.00 Units / 64% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Hits Under in 12 of his last 17 games (+11.50 Units / 44% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the Runs Under in 15 of his last 18 away games (+10.25 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games (+22.00 Units / 147% ROI)
- Dansby Swanson has hit the Runs Over in 20 of his last 28 games (+17.65 Units / 58% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Hits Over in 29 of his last 37 games (+16.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- Ian Happ has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 36 games (+14.60 Units / 39% ROI)
- Cody Bellinger has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+14.25 Units / 25% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in their last 36 games (+39.60 Units / 110% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in their last 36 games (+36.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 82 of their last 145 games (+9.85 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 32 of their last 53 away games (+9.60 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Over in 25 of their last 43 away games (+6.65 Units / 14% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 38 of their last 59 games at home (+15.05 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 30 of their last 48 games (+12.20 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 39 of their last 66 games (+10.32 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 42 games (+9.31 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 22 games at home (+6.55 Units / 24% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 85-68 against the Run Line (+5.93 Units / 2.95% ROI).
- 68-85 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.5 Units / 0.31% ROI
- 72-73 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -4.46% ROI
- 73-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -7.07 Units / -4.17% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 74-79 against the Run Line (-18.2 Units / -8.87% ROI).
- 78-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.43 Units / -0.23% ROI
- 73-75 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.7 Units / -5.75% ROI
- 75-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.97 Units / -2.96% ROI
Cubs vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Joey Gallo (WAS) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Michael Busch (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Cubs vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jose Tena (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +195 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
Cubs vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Andrรฉs Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Cubs vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Trevor Williams (WSH) | 3.5 -120 | 3.5 -110 |
| Jameson Taillon (CHC) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -110 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Hitters have swung at 35% of Trevor Williams’ breaking pitches (343/979) since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Trevor Williams has thrown his breaking pitches for a strike just 51% (658/1,281) of the time since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 36% of Trevor Williams’ breaking pitches (466/1,281) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 47% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 39% of Trevor Williams’ non-fastballs (657/1,706) since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 48% — first Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jameson Taillon has walked 27 of 1,040 right-handed batters (3%) since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 190 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .133 (6-for-45) against Jameson Taillon on low fastballs this season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: .270 — 99th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has walked 8 of 303 right-handed batters (3%) this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 61 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 97th Percentile.
Jameson Taillon has a strikeout rate of just 4% (1 SO in 23 PAs) in close and late situations since last season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 125 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 0 Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Nationals are 11-2 (.846) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Nationals are just 59-233 (.202) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .280.
The Nationals are 14-6 (.700) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Nationals are just 73-120 (.378) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .508.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Cubs are just 55-49 (.529) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Cubs are 23-13 (.639) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .535.
The Cubs are 30-10 (.750) when they’ve scored in the first inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .642.
The Cubs are 15-27 (.357) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .947 (2,169 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Nationals hitters have just 1,071 strikeouts in 5,480 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have put 41% of their swings in play against LHP since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Nationals hitters have an OBP of just .308 (2,367 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .327.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs are batting .260 against LHP this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .245.
The Cubs are batting .286 in lefty-lefty matchups since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .239.
Cubs hitters have an OPS of just .678 (2,694 PA’s) at home this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .721.
The Cubs are batting .265 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 39% with two-strikes since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have walked 122 of 1,357 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Cubs pitchers have an ERA of 3.21 (678.0 IP) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 3.97.
Cubs pitchers have induced opposing hitters to ground into just 74 double plays in 1,063 opportunities (7%) this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 37% of their games this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
Cubs vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
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