- The Mets are -190 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Mets Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Nationals / Mets TV Channel: MASN | SNY | MLBN
The Washington Nationals (+155) visit Citi Field to take on the New York Mets (-190) on Monday, September 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Flushing, NY.
This season, the Nationals are 68-81 against the spread (ATS), while the Mets are 76-73 ATS.
Nationals vs Mets Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 10-12, 4.21 ERA
- Mets starting pitcher: Sean Manaea 11-5, 3.37 ERA
Nationals vs. Mets Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -140 | O 7.5 -110 | +155 |
| Mets | -1.5 +115 | U 7.5 -110 | -190 |
Nationals vs Mets Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Mets will win Monday‘s MLB game with 58.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Juan Yepez has hit the Total Bases Over in 30 of his last 48 games (+14.35 Units / 24% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Runs Over in 12 of his last 19 away games (+13.65 Units / 72% ROI)
- Joey Gallo has hit the Walks Under in 27 of his last 36 games (+13.45 Units / 22% ROI)
- Keibert Ruiz has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 18 away games (+12.30 Units / 68% ROI)
- Andres Chaparro has hit the Singles Under in 15 of his last 18 games (+10.10 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Mets players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Mets Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Harrison Bader has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 11 games (+18.50 Units / 168% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 50 games (+15.90 Units / 19% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Singles Over in 29 of his last 44 games (+13.25 Units / 27% ROI)
- Francisco Lindor has hit the Runs Over in 22 of his last 30 games (+12.55 Units / 33% ROI)
- Sean Manaea has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 20 of his last 29 games (+10.85 Units / 31% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 31 of their last 49 away games (+11.80 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 80 of their last 141 games (+10.80 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 17 of their last 27 games (+8.15 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 66 of their last 141 games (+7.75 Units / 5% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 30 of their last 71 away games (+6.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Mets Best Bets Today:
- The New York Mets have hit the Moneyline in 57 of their last 90 games (+17.20 Units / 14% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 24 of their last 38 games at home (+14.05 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 91 games (+13.95 Units / 12% ROI)
- The New York Mets have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 27 of their last 41 games at home (+11.75 Units / 24% ROI)
- The New York Mets have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 36 games at home (+10.45 Units / 24% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 83-66 against the Run Line (+6.88 Units / 3.52% ROI).
- 68-81 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.5 Units / 2.82% ROI
- 69-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.45 Units / -5.81% ROI
- 72-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.82 Units / -2.92% ROI
Mets Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Mets are 76-73 against the Run Line (+0.4 Units / 0.21% ROI).
- 81-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +4.25 Units / 2.27% ROI
- 73-69 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.2 Units / -1.96% ROI
- 69-73 when betting on the total runs Under for -10.15 Units / -6.34% ROI
Mets vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Andrés Chaparro (WAS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
Mets vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Ildemaro Vargas (WAS) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +135 |
Mets vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Pete Alonso (NYM) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| J.D Martinez (NYM) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Mark Vientos (NYM) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Brandon Nimmo (NYM) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Juan Yepez (WAS) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
Mets vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Sean Manaea (NYM) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -165 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 32% of the time (616/1,915) in non-two strike counts this season — 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 97th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 33% of the time (192/578) when he’s behind in the count this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 12% — 93rd Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 27% of the time (295/1,075) when he’s behind in the count since last season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total CB; League Avg: 10% — 96th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has allowed a slugging percentage of .429 (280 Total Bases / 653 ABs) this season — 9th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .390 — 15th Percentile.
Mets Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Sean Manaea has walked 28 of 261 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — tied for 2nd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — fifth Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (296/590) when behind in the count this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 28% — 100th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has thrown elevated pitches 50% of the time (296/590) when behind in the count this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 27% — 100th Percentile.
Sean Manaea has allowed a slugging percentage of just .234 (37 Total Bases / 158 ABs) on elevated fastballs this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .358 — 97th Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Mets
The Nationals are 11-2 (.846) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .582.
The Nationals are just 59-230 (.204) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .279.
The Nationals are just 37-57 (.394) after a home win since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .530.
The Nationals are just 11-20 (.355) after a road win this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .464.
Mets Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Mets are just 14-65 (.177) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .261.
The Mets are just 57-16 (.781) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
The Mets are just 15-15 (.500) after a home loss this season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .533.
The Mets are 7-55 (.113) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .052.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .950 (2,145 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.088.
Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Nationals hitters have just 662 strikeouts in 3,477 PA’s (19%) against LHP since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Nationals hitters have just 2,425 strikeouts in 12,156 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets Hitting Stats & Trends
Mets hitters are slugging .444 against LHP this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
The Mets have answered-back in just 19% of innings after an opponent scores in late innings this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .323 (9,208 PA’s) on the road since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .311.
Mets hitters have an OBP of .324 (12,648 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .343 (4,169 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .308.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Nationals pitchers since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
The Nationals pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 58% of their games on the road this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 44%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Mets Pitching Stats & Trends
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes this month (13 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have walked 545 of 5,622 batters (10%) this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 51% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Mets pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% since the 2022 season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Mets vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- New York Mets – No Injuries Reported
- Washington Nationals – No Injuries Reported
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