- The Tigers are -135 favorites vs the Nationals
- Nationals vs Tigers Over / Under today: 7.5 Runs
- Nationals / Tigers TV Channel: MAS2 | BSDT
The Washington Nationals (+115) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-135) on Wednesday, June 12, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Nationals are 31-35 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 30-36 ATS.
Nationals vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Nationals starting pitcher: Jake Irvin 4-5, 3.14 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Reese Olson 1-7, 3.41 ERA
Nationals vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Nationals | +1.5 -185 | O 7.5 -110 | +115 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +150 | U 7.5 -110 | -135 |
Nationals vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.6% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Nationals players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Nationals Player Prop Bets Today:
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 27 games (+16.90 Units / 63% ROI)
- Luis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in his last 13 away games (+13.00 Units / 43% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Singles Under in 19 of his last 23 away games (+12.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- Lane Thomas has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 20 away games (+10.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Eddie Rosario has hit the Runs Over in 16 of his last 31 games (+10.45 Units / 34% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Matt Vierling has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 7 games at home (+19.50 Units / 279% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 34 games (+11.05 Units / 31% ROI)
- Matt Vierling has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Colt Keith has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 23 of his last 34 games (+9.25 Units / 21% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Runs Over in 25 of his last 44 games (+8.10 Units / 18% ROI)
Nationals Best Bets Today:
- The Washington Nationals have covered the Run Line in 37 of their last 58 games (+14.55 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Moneyline in 29 of their last 58 games (+13.40 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 58 games (+8.90 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 11 away games (+7.35 Units / 54% ROI)
- The Washington Nationals have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 32 away games (+6.80 Units / 19% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Over in 32 of their last 49 games (+15.30 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+8.65 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.20 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 21 of their last 36 games (+4.45 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 6 of their last 9 games at home (+3.35 Units / 29% ROI)
Nationals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Nationals are 40-26 against the Run Line (+10.63 Units / 12.39% ROI).
- 31-35 when betting on the Moneyline for +10.15 Units / 15.13% ROI
- 29-33 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.05 Units / -9.77% ROI
- 33-29 when betting on the total runs Under for +0.83 Units / 1.14% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 30-36 against the Run Line (-8.6 Units / -9.72% ROI).
- 32-34 when betting on the Moneyline for -4.3 Units / -5.68% ROI
- 37-23 when betting on the total runs Over for +11.4 Units / 16.44% ROI
- 23-37 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.9 Units / -25.79% ROI
Tigers vs Nationals Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Matt Vierling (DET) | 0.5 +725 | 0.5 -1200 |
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +775 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Nationals Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Keibert Ruiz (WAS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Mark Canha (DET) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Tigers vs Nationals RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Lane Thomas (WAS) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Gio Urshela (DET) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| Eddie Rosario (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -225 |
| CJ Abrams (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Luis Garcia (WAS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
Tigers vs Nationals Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Reese Olson (DET) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
| Jake Irvin (WAS) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Nationals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Jake Irvin has walked 2 of 135 right-handed batters (1%) this season — 3rd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — 97th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has allowed an OBP of just .215 (135 PA’s) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .287 — 98th Percentile.
Jake Irvin has thrown his curveball 34% of the time (274/808) in non-two strike counts this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 15% — 100th Percentile.
Jake Irvin’s K:BB ratio is 15.0 (30/2) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 3.6 — 98th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting .351 (13-for-37) against Reese Olson’s elevated fastball this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .206 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .409 (18-for-44) against Reese Olson this month (2 games) — tied for highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .249 — first Percentile.
Reese Olson has thrown low pitches 65% of the time (179/276) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Reese Olson has a strike rate of just 60% (193/324) in two strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — seventh Percentile.
Nationals Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Nationals are 5-1 (.833) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .576.
The Nationals are just 58-97 (.374) after a win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .512.
The Nationals are just 40-59 (.404) vs bottom 10 scoring offenses since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .568.
The Nationals are just 150-202 (.426) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Nationals
The Tigers are just 20-7 (.741) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .887.
The Tigers are 14-1 (.933) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .697.
The Tigers are 8-2 (.800) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Tigers are 68-28 (.708) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .636.
Nationals Hitting Stats & Trends
Nationals hitters have an OPS of just .914 (1,577 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.082.
Nationals hitters have just 2,009 strikeouts in 9,997 PA’s (20%) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Nationals are batting just .295 in hitter’s counts since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .338.
Nationals hitters had a Hard-Hit Rate of just 36% against RHP in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 40%.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .292 (10,950 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OPS of just .650 (10,950 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .714.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .359 against RHP since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Tigers hitters are slugging just .509 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .573.
Nationals Pitching Stats & Trends
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Nationals pitchers have allowed an OBP of .353 (2,013 PA’s) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .312.
Nationals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Tigers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 299 of 3,462 batters (9%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Tigers have won just 22% of home games in which their opponents scored first since last season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
Tigers pitchers have walked 181 of 2,466 batters (7%) this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Tigers vs. Nationals Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Austin Meadows (Detroit Tigers): Personal, Out
- Matthew Boyd (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Sawyer Gipson-Long (Detroit Tigers): Groin, 15-Day IL
- Brendan White (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Day-To-Day
- Freddy Pacheco (Detroit Tigers): Elbow, Out
- Garrett Hill (Detroit Tigers): Lat, Out
- Zach Brzykcy (Washington Nationals): Elbow, Out
- Stone Garrett (Washington Nationals): Ankle, 10-Day IL
- Stephen Strasburg (Washington Nationals): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Nick Senzel (Washington Nationals): Thumb, 10-Day IL
- Mason Thompson (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Cade Cavalli (Washington Nationals): Elbow, 60-Day IL
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