- The Guardians are -120 favorites vs the Orioles
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer
- Guardians starting pitcher: Shane Bieber
- Watch the game on BSGL
The Baltimore Orioles (+100) visit Progressive Field to take on the Cleveland Guardians (-120) on Friday, September 22, 2023. First pitch is scheduled for 7:10pm EDT in Cleveland.
The Guardians are the betting favorite in this game, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+165).
The Orioles vs Guardians Over/Under is 8 total runs for the game.
This season, the Orioles are 95-58 against the spread (ATS), while the Guardians are 78-76 ATS.
Orioles vs. Guardians Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -110 | +100 |
| Guardians | -1.5 +165 | U 8 -110 | -120 |
Orioles vs Guardians Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Friday‘s MLB matchup with 55.8% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Orioles and Guardians and up-to-date player injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 23 of his last 35 games (+14.10 Units / 25% ROI)
- Kyle Bradish has hit the Pitching Outs Over in 19 of his last 24 games (+13.65 Units / 46% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Singles Over in 18 of his last 25 away games (+11.30 Units / 41% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the RBIs Over in 12 of his last 18 games (+11.15 Units / 62% ROI)
- Ryan O’Hearn has hit the Runs Over in 13 of his last 19 away games (+10.00 Units / 53% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Guardians players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Guardians Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Strikeouts Under in 15 of his last 17 games (+12.45 Units / 47% ROI)
- Andres Gimenez has hit the Singles Over in 13 of his last 14 games (+11.85 Units / 70% ROI)
- Jose Ramirez has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 24 games at home (+11.70 Units / 34% ROI)
- Gabriel Arias has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 15 games at home (+11.10 Units / 55% ROI)
- Myles Straw has hit the Runs Under in his last 11 games (+11.00 Units / 41% ROI)
Guardians vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +950 | 0.5 -10000 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +1050 | 0.5 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -900 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -2000 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -800 |
Guardians vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Steven Kwan | 1.5 +185 | 1.5 -250 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 1.5 +175 | 1.5 -250 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 -135 | 0.5 +100 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 -155 | 0.5 +120 |
Guardians vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Will Brennan | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Steven Kwan | 0.5 +230 | 0.5 -350 |
| Ryan O'Hearn | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Ramon Urias | 0.5 +240 | 0.5 -350 |
| Kole Calhoun | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Guardians vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shane Bieber | 4.5 -105 | 4.5 -120 |
| Dean Kremer | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 94 of their last 150 games (+34.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 55 of their last 78 away games (+27.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Game Total Over in 44 of their last 78 away games (+13.25 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 47 of their last 78 away games (+10.55 Units / 11% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 26 of their last 45 away games (+4.27 Units / 8% ROI)
Guardians Best Bets Today:
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Game Total Under in 81 of their last 138 games (+22.05 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 112 games (+10.60 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the Moneyline in 33 of their last 57 games at home (+5.55 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Cleveland Guardians have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 5 of their last 6 games at home (+4.00 Units / 52% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Orioles have gone 91-62 against the Run Line (+24.15 Units / 12.23% ROI).
- 95-58 when betting on the Moneyline for +33.75 Units / 16.97% ROI
- 78-63 when betting on the total runs Over for +9 Units / 5.37% ROI
- 63-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -23.05 Units / -13.59% ROI
Guardians Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Guardians have gone 78-76 against the Run Line (-1.65 Units / -0.84% ROI).
- 73-81 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.75 Units / -9.79% ROI
- 63-87 when betting on the total runs Over for -33.4 Units / -19.64% ROI
- 87-63 when betting on the total runs Under for +18.2 Units / 10.76% ROI
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
65% of Dean Kremer’s non-fastball strikeouts are located away this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 47% — 95th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 56% of the time (1,539/2,746) this season — highest among in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Dean Kremer has located his pitches away 56% of the time (1,539/2,746) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 46% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 25% (343/1,354) against Dean Kremer this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 30% — fourth Percentile.
Guardians Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shane Bieber has located his fastball away 64% of the time (393/611) this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 60 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has located his fastball away 59% of the time (953/1,601) since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has located his pitches away 59% of the time (760/1,281) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 48% — 100th Percentile.
Shane Bieber has thrown breaking pitches 65% of the time (847/1,296) with two-strikes since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 35% — 100th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Guardians
keys to the game – away
Guardians Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
keys to the game – home
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – away
Guardians Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – away
Guardians Pitching Stats & Trends
team pitchers – home
Guardians vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Triston McKenzie (Guardians): Elbow, D60
- Tanner Bibee (Guardians): Hip, D15
- Terrin Vavra (Orioles): Shoulder, D60
- Dillon Tate (Orioles): Elbow, D60
- Ryan Mountcastle (Orioles): Shoulder, D10
- Félix Bautista (Orioles): Arm, D15
- Keegan Akin (Orioles): Back, D60
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