- The Orioles are +100 favorites vs the Rangers
- Orioles vs Rangers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Orioles / Rangers TV Channel: MAS2 | BSSW
The Baltimore Orioles (+105) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-125) on Sunday, July 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Orioles are 60-38 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 45-53 ATS.
Orioles vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Orioles starting pitcher: Dean Kremer 4-5, 4.32 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 3-10, 3.78 ERA
Orioles vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Orioles | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -120 | +105 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +155 | U 9 +100 | -125 |
Orioles vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Orioles will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Orioles players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Orioles Player Prop Bets Today:
- Anthony Santander has hit the Home Runs Over in 13 of his last 32 games (+30.25 Units / 95% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 27 games (+17.40 Units / 33% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 27 games (+13.80 Units / 45% ROI)
- Anthony Santander has hit the RBIs Over in 15 of his last 25 games (+13.05 Units / 52% ROI)
- Gunnar Henderson has hit the Walks Over in 13 of his last 18 away games (+12.35 Units / 69% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 9 games at home (+22.10 Units / 246% ROI)
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Hits Over in 22 of his last 25 games at home (+16.95 Units / 37% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 21 of his last 26 games (+14.75 Units / 38% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 22 of his last 26 games (+14.05 Units / 29% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 26 of his last 38 games (+12.35 Units / 26% ROI)
Orioles Best Bets Today:
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the Run Line in 49 of their last 89 games (+16.60 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 51 of their last 83 games (+14.35 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Team Total Over in 19 of their last 26 away games (+11.30 Units / 37% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the Moneyline in 18 of their last 26 away games (+8.70 Units / 24% ROI)
- The Baltimore Orioles have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 16 of their last 26 away games (+7.95 Units / 22% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 29 of their last 43 games at home (+16.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 26 of their last 42 games at home (+8.45 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 28 of their last 47 games (+7.15 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 22 games at home (+6.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+5.30 Units / 18% ROI)
Orioles Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Orioles are 53-45 against the Run Line (+16.45 Units / 14.56% ROI).
- 60-38 when betting on the Moneyline for +7.8 Units / 5.61% ROI
- 50-37 when betting on the total runs Over for +9.75 Units / 9.18% ROI
- 37-50 when betting on the total runs Under for -18.25 Units / -17.02% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 45-53 against the Run Line (-14.8 Units / -11.54% ROI).
- 46-52 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.9 Units / -11.37% ROI
- 39-54 when betting on the total runs Over for -20.2 Units / -18.72% ROI
- 54-39 when betting on the total runs Under for +11.35 Units / 10.53% ROI
Rangers vs Orioles Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +320 | 0.5 -400 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
Rangers vs Orioles Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Adley Rutschman (BAL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Jordan Westburg (BAL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Orioles RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Anthony Santander (BAL) | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -185 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Ryan Mountcastle (BAL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Wyatt Langford (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
Rangers vs Orioles Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Dean Kremer (BAL) | 4.5 +105 | 4.5 -140 |
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 6.5 +125 | 6.5 -160 |
Orioles Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dean Kremer has thrown his changeup for a strike just 51% (181/358) of the time since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 103 total IP; League Avg: 61% — second Percentile.
Dean Kremer has allowed an OBP of .409 (22 PA’s) with two-strikes in his last two starts — 2nd highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: .231 — second Percentile.
Dean Kremer has walked 4 of 25 left-handed batters (16%) in his last two starts — 4th highest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 7% — seventh Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (33/180) against Dean Kremer this season — 4th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 98th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (81/228) against Andrew Heaney this season — 11th lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 10th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .267 (54-for-202) against Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs this season — 15th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: .222 — 14th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 55% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,273/2,314) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 168 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 98th Percentile.
Hitters have chased 128 of Andrew Heaney’s 301 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 42%) this season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 38 total IP; League Avg: 31% — 99th Percentile.
Orioles Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Orioles are 57-44 (.564) after a loss as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.
The Orioles are 32-23 (.582) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .422.
The Orioles are 15-8 (.652) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Orioles are 20-15 (.571) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .429.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Orioles
The Rangers are just 5-94 (.051) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are just 3-186 (.016) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are 44-26 (.629) after a home win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Rangers are just 27-102 (.209) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .266.
Orioles Hitting Stats & Trends
Orioles hitters are slugging .465 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .390.
Orioles hitters have an OPS of .803 (1,173 PA’s) in innings 7-9 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .685.
Orioles hitters are slugging .455 this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Orioles hitters have 133 extra-base hits out of 320 total hits (42%) with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have 20 strikeouts in 58 PA’s (34%) against LHP this month (9 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters have put just 25% of their swings in play against LHP this month (9 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Rangers hitters have 12 strikeouts in 35 PA’s (34%) against LHP over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .302 (463 PA’s) when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .329.
Orioles Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .203 against Orioles pitchers with the shift since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .242.
Orioles pitchers have walked 256 of 3,777 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Orioles have won 47% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Orioles pitchers have won 42% of games in which they have allowed their opponent to score in three different innings on the road since last season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .221 against Rangers pitchers this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Rangers pitchers have walked 342 of 3,651 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers have allowed 3.53 runs per game (166/47) at home this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 4.36.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 28% in close and late situations this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
Rangers vs. Orioles Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Felix Bautista (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Terrin Vavra (Baltimore Orioles): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- John Means (Baltimore Orioles): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Kyle Bradish (Baltimore Orioles): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Cionel Perez (Baltimore Orioles): Oblique, 15-Day IL
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