- The Padres are -165 favorites vs the Rockies
- Padres vs Rockies Over / Under today: 11.5 Runs
- Padres / Rockies TV Channel: ROTV | PDTV
The San Diego Padres (-165) visit Coors Field to take on the Colorado Rockies (+140) on Friday, August 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:40pm EDT in Denver, CO.
This season, the Padres are 69-53 against the spread (ATS), while the Rockies are 62-60 ATS.
Padres vs Rockies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Padres starting pitcher: Matt Waldron 7-9, 4.02 ERA
- Rockies starting pitcher: Cal Quantrill 7-8, 4.59 ERA
Padres vs. Rockies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Padres | -1.5 -115 | O 11.5 -120 | -165 |
| Rockies | +1.5 -105 | U 11.5 +100 | +140 |
Padres vs Rockies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Padres will win Friday‘s MLB game with 62.2% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Padres players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Padres Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 50 games (+41.60 Units / 83% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 32 games (+14.15 Units / 28% ROI)
- Jurickson Profar has hit the Walks Under in 34 of his last 46 games (+14.15 Units / 16% ROI)
- Jackson Merrill has hit the Runs Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+12.30 Units / 56% ROI)
- Jake Cronenworth has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 39 games (+11.80 Units / 20% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rockies players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rockies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Brenton Doyle has hit the Home Runs Over in 9 of his last 32 games (+24.00 Units / 75% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+14.20 Units / 80% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 58% ROI)
- Hunter Goodman has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 16 games (+10.70 Units / 36% ROI)
- Cal Quantrill has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 15 of his last 20 games (+10.15 Units / 42% ROI)
Padres Best Bets Today:
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 45 games (+17.35 Units / 28% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have covered the Run Line in 38 of their last 60 away games (+16.25 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 44 games (+9.65 Units / 20% ROI)
- The San Diego Padres have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 10 of their last 14 away games (+6.25 Units / 38% ROI)
Rockies Best Bets Today:
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Moneyline in 22 of their last 42 games at home (+9.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have covered the Run Line in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.55 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 42 games at home (+5.50 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the Game Total Under in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+5.35 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Colorado Rockies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 12 of their last 19 games (+3.80 Units / 16% ROI)
Padres Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Padres are 63-59 against the Run Line (+6.45 Units / 4.25% ROI).
- 69-53 when betting on the Moneyline for +5.55 Units / 3.42% ROI
- 65-55 when betting on the total runs Over for +5.05 Units / 3.79% ROI
- 55-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.05 Units / -12.6% ROI
Rockies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rockies are 62-60 against the Run Line (-10.45 Units / -6.93% ROI).
- 44-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.75 Units / -8.83% ROI
- 61-58 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.7 Units / -2.03% ROI
- 58-61 when betting on the total runs Under for -9.2 Units / -6.89% ROI
Rockies vs Padres Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Michael Toglia (COL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
| Ryan McMahon (COL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -500 |
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Rockies vs Padres Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Charlie Blackmon (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Elias Diaz (COL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ha-seong Kim (SD) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Jordan Beck (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Jake Cave (COL) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rockies vs Padres RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Manny Machado (SD) | 0.5 -110 | 0.5 -115 |
| Jackson Merrill (SD) | 0.5 +105 | 0.5 -135 |
| Jake Cronenworth (SD) | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -145 |
| Xander Bogaerts (SD) | 0.5 +115 | 0.5 -155 |
| David Peralta (SD) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -160 |
Rockies vs Padres Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cal Quantrill (COL) | 2.5 -155 | 2.5 +120 |
| Matt Waldron (SD) | 4.5 -135 | 4.5 +105 |
Padres Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 24% (25/102) against Matt Waldron when going through the lineup the third time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: 41% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a Hard-Hit Rate of just 22% (18/83) against Matt Waldron when going through the lineup the third time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 40% — 100th Percentile.
Matt Waldron has thrown off-speed pitches 65% of the time (356/550) on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 39% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 24% (249/1,053) against Matt Waldron this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 29% — first Percentile.
Rockies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .309 (278 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .230 — first Percentile.
Opponents have a two strike miss rate of just 20% (72/370) against Cal Quantrill this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — fourth Percentile.
Cal Quantrill has allowed an OBP of .330 (497 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 112 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 0 Percentile.
Opponents have a chase percentage of just 20% (48/239) against Cal Quantrill with runners in scoring position this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 31% — first Percentile.
Padres Keys to the Game vs. the Rockies
The Padres are 41-26 (.612) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .496.
The Padres are 9-45 (.167) when trailing entering the 8th inning this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .106.
The Padres are 23-14 (.622) after a road win this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .470.
The Padres are 50-4 (.926) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .854.
Rockies Keys to the Game vs. the Padres
The Rockies are just 11-31 (.256) after a road loss this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .480.
The Rockies are just 50-36 (.581) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rockies are just 36-7 (.818) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .945.
The Rockies are just 72-31 (.692) when leading entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .857.
Padres Hitting Stats & Trends
The Padres are batting .281 on the road this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .243.
Padres hitters have just 232 strikeouts in 1,327 PA’s (17%) against LHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have just 810 strikeouts in 4,591 PA’s (18%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Padres hitters have missed on just 20% of swings this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rockies Hitting Stats & Trends
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 74%.
Rockies hitters have an OBP of just .300 (3,028 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .321.
The Rockies have a winning percentage of just 27% on the road since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 48%.
The Rockies have won just 46% of road games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 75%.
Padres Pitching Stats & Trends
Padres pitchers allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.9 MPH (3,922 batted balls) in the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 89.0.
The Padres pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 88.0 MPH since last season (6,886 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
Opponents have a miss rate of 33% against Padres pitchers this month (12 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Padres pitchers have a strikeout rate of 24% this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 21% against Rockies pitchers since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 17% this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Rockies pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 18% since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 22% against Rockies pitchers since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Rockies vs. Padres Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Nolan Jones (Colorado Rockies): Back, 10-Day IL
- German Marquez (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Antonio Senzatela (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Daniel Bard (Colorado Rockies): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Glenn Otto (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Reiss Knehr (San Diego Padres): Elbow, Out
- Drew Carlton (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Yu Darvish (San Diego Padres): Personal, Out
- Rougned Odor (San Diego Padres): Undisclosed, 7-Day IL
- Luis Patino (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Tom Cosgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Tucupita Marcano (San Diego Padres): Suspension, Suspension
- Joe Musgrove (San Diego Padres): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Fernando Tatis (San Diego Padres): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
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