- The Pirates are -145 favorites vs the Cardinals
- Pirates vs Cardinals Over / Under today: 7 Runs
- Pirates / Cardinals TV Channel: BSMW | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (-145) visit Busch Stadium to take on the St. Louis Cardinals (+120) on Monday, September 16, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:45pm EDT in St. Louis, MO.
This season, the Pirates are 71-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Cardinals are 75-74 ATS.
Pirates vs Cardinals Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Paul Skenes 10-2, 2.10 ERA
- Cardinals starting pitcher: Andre Pallante 6-8, 4.11 ERA
Pirates vs. Cardinals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | -1.5 +120 | O 7 -105 | -145 |
| Cardinals | +1.5 -145 | U 7 -115 | +120 |
Pirates vs Cardinals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Pirates will win Monday‘s MLB game with 57.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 7 of his last 27 games (+20.50 Units / 76% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in his last 13 away games (+13.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 23 away games (+10.60 Units / 30% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Walks Over in 6 of his last 7 games (+9.70 Units / 139% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 18 of his last 28 games (+9.45 Units / 31% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cardinals players for Monday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cardinals Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Masyn Winn has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 25 games at home (+30.00 Units / 120% ROI)
- Paul Goldschmidt has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 28 games (+17.20 Units / 36% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Total Bases Over in 15 of his last 20 games at home (+12.25 Units / 46% ROI)
- Nolan Arenado has hit the Hits Over in 32 of his last 42 games (+11.35 Units / 12% ROI)
- Jordan Walker has hit the Singles Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.05 Units / 42% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 62 of their last 110 games (+11.67 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 42 of their last 72 games (+9.75 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Over in 27 of their last 46 games (+6.95 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 8 of their last 12 away games (+4.25 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 15 games (+3.08 Units / 16% ROI)
Cardinals Best Bets Today:
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Game Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games at home (+6.20 Units / 28% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 9 games (+5.25 Units / 50% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have hit the Moneyline in 13 of their last 24 games (+4.10 Units / 16% ROI)
- The St. Louis Cardinals have covered the Run Line in 17 of their last 28 games (+3.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 80-69 against the Run Line (+6.58 Units / 3.42% ROI).
- 71-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.67 Units / -4.98% ROI
- 72-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.45 Units / -4.5% ROI
- 72-72 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.22 Units / -3.82% ROI
Cardinals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cardinals are 75-74 against the Run Line (-7.7 Units / -3.77% ROI).
- 74-75 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.7 Units / -6.03% ROI
- 69-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -12.87 Units / -7.9% ROI
- 74-69 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.25 Units / -1.38% ROI
Cardinals vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Paul Goldschmidt (STL) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +850 | 0.5 -1600 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Masyn Winn (STL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Cardinals vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Oneil Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Rowdy Tellez (PIT) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -275 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -250 |
Cardinals vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Paul Skenes (PIT) | 6.5 -120 | 6.5 -110 |
| Andre Pallante (STL) | 4.5 +115 | 4.5 -150 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 41% (54 SO in 132 PAs) versus the bottom of the order this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has struck out 50% (11/22) of left-handed batters he faced this month (2 games) — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 4 total IP; League Avg: 23% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 37% (46 SO in 123 PAs) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 100th Percentile.
Paul Skenes has a strikeout rate of 32% (151 SO in 468 PAs) this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 59 total IP; League Avg: 22% — 98th Percentile.
Cardinals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 73% (323/440) against Andre Pallante since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 43% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 68% (128/189) against Andre Pallante in two-strike counts since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of 76% (214/282) against Andre Pallante since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 124 total IP; League Avg: 42% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 66% (203/309) against Andre Pallante in two-strike counts since the 2022 season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 188 total IP; League Avg: 45% — 100th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cardinals
The Pirates are just 59-7 (.894) when leading entering the 9th inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .948.
The Pirates are just 17-30 (.362) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 6-42 (.125) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Pirates are just 37-63 (.370) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
Cardinals Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cardinals are just 24-38 (.387) after a win as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .574.
The Cardinals are 21-13 (.618) after a loss as underdogs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .434.
The Cardinals are 39-19 (.672) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Cardinals are 43-27 (.614) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .410 (136 PA’s) on the road this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .682.
Pirates hitters have 447 strikeouts in 1,327 PA’s (34%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Pirates are batting just .144 on the road this month (4 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Pirates are batting just .235 against LHP since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.
Cardinals Hitting Stats & Trends
Cardinals hitters have an OBP of just .292 (1,614 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .313.
The Cardinals are just 44-70 (.373) against the run line (-30.5% ROI) after a road win since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .495.
The Cardinals are batting just .237 against LHP since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
Cardinals hitters are slugging just .361 against LHP this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .397.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Pirates pitchers have 245 three-pitch strikeouts this season — 2nd most in MLB.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,648 of 18,183 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Pirates pitchers have allowed their opponents to score first in 54% of their games since last season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .295 against Pirates pitchers with the shift this season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: .249.
Cardinals Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of 45% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since last season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 23% against Cardinals pitchers since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Cardinals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 20% since last season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Cardinals vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- St. Louis Cardinals – No Injuries Reported
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
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