- The Cubs are -200 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Cubs Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Pirates / Cubs TV Channel: MARQ | SNPT
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+165) visit Wrigley Field to take on the Chicago Cubs (-200) on Wednesday, September 4, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:40pm EDT in Chicago, IL.
This season, the Pirates are 65-73 against the spread (ATS), while the Cubs are 68-71 ATS.
Pirates vs Cubs Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Domingo German 0-0, 6.12 ERA
- Cubs starting pitcher: Shota Imanaga 11-3, 3.17 ERA
Pirates vs. Cubs Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -135 | O 8 -105 | +165 |
| Cubs | -1.5 +110 | U 8 -115 | -200 |
Pirates vs Cubs Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Cubs will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 59.7% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 15 games (+21.90 Units / 146% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 22 games (+14.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Singles Over in 26 of his last 39 games (+10.65 Units / 23% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 25 away games (+10.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Yasmani Grandal has hit the Hits Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+8.30 Units / 45% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Cubs players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Cubs Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Christian Bethancour has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 11 games (+26.00 Units / 236% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Under in 30 of his last 48 games (+21.90 Units / 45% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 22 games at home (+18.00 Units / 68% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 34 of his last 48 games (+17.45 Units / 28% ROI)
- Isaac Paredes has hit the Singles Under in 21 of his last 25 games at home (+14.30 Units / 35% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 58 of their last 99 games (+15.00 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 37 of their last 61 games (+11.40 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 35 of their last 63 away games (+6.60 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.25 Units / 28% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 19 of their last 47 away games (+2.50 Units / 5% ROI)
Cubs Best Bets Today:
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Team Total Under in 33 of their last 51 games at home (+13.50 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 20 of their last 28 games (+11.45 Units / 34% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Moneyline in 32 of their last 52 games (+11.35 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the Game Total Over in 21 of their last 34 games (+8.75 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Chicago Cubs have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 12 of their last 18 games at home (+6.85 Units / 27% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 76-62 against the Run Line (+9.91 Units / 5.52% ROI).
- 65-73 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.8 Units / -5.55% ROI
- 66-67 when betting on the total runs Over for -7.85 Units / -5.12% ROI
- 67-66 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.67 Units / -3.1% ROI
Cubs Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Cubs are 68-71 against the Run Line (-14.9 Units / -7.9% ROI).
- 71-68 when betting on the Moneyline for +0.6 Units / 0.35% ROI
- 64-70 when betting on the total runs Over for -13.15 Units / -8.58% ROI
- 70-64 when betting on the total runs Under for -0.3 Units / -0.2% ROI
Cubs vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -650 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Ian Happ (CHC) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -750 |
Cubs vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nico Hoerner (CHC) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +150 |
Cubs vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Cody Bellinger (CHC) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
| Seiya Suzuki (CHC) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Nick Gonzales (PIT) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
| Andrew McCutchen (PIT) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
| Isaac Paredes (CHC) | 0.5 +190 | 0.5 -250 |
Cubs vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Shota Imanaga (CHC) | 6.5 +120 | 6.5 -160 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (162/450) when he’s behind in the count since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total CB; League Avg: 8% — 100th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (779/1,969) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 96th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 36% of the time (512/1,436) in non-two strike counts since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total CB; League Avg: 14% — 96th Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 39% of the time (204/527) on the first pitch of at-bats since last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 119 total CB; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Cubs Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Shota Imanaga has allowed at least one HR in each of his last eight games dating back to July 21st — Bobby Miller has the longest active streak at 9.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Cubs
The Pirates are just 6-40 (.130) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .250.
The Pirates are just 47-64 (.423) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .531.
The Pirates are just 17-29 (.370) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 14-21 (.400) after a home win this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .516.
Cubs Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Cubs are 30-7 (.811) when they’ve hit 2 or more home runs this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .703.
The Cubs are 20-11 (.645) after a home loss this season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .529.
The Cubs are just 54-49 (.524) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .588.
The Cubs are just 14-182 (.071) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
The Pirates are 20-9 (.690) against the run line (31.3% ROI) after a road win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .494.
The Pirates are 38-26 (.594) against the run line (10.4% ROI) after a win this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .491.
Games involving the Pirates went UNDER in 61% of their games (21.4% ROI) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Pirates are 37-26 (.587) against the run line (10.8% ROI) after a road win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .497.
Cubs Hitting Stats & Trends
The Cubs have won 89% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 76%.
Games involving the Cubs went UNDER in 57% of their games (12.2% ROI) after a loss this season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
The Cubs have won 78% of games in which they have scored first at home since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 72%.
The Cubs are 21-15 (.583) against the run line (3.9% ROI) after a road loss this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
The Pirates have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Pirates pitchers had allowed a run 36% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Pirates pitchers have allowed a run 34% of the time after an opposing score since last season — tied for 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
The Pirates have won 32% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
Cubs Pitching Stats & Trends
Cubs pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 35% of their games this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 45%.
The Cubs have won 35% of road games in which their opponents scored first this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 27%.
The Cubs have won 36% of road games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 28%.
Cubs vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Chicago Cubs – No Injuries Reported
- Pittsburgh Pirates – No Injuries Reported
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