- The Rangers are -165 favorites vs the Pirates
- Pirates vs Rangers Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Pirates / Rangers TV Channel: SNPT | BSSW | ESPN+
The Pittsburgh Pirates (+135) visit Globe Life Field to take on the Texas Rangers (-160) on Wednesday, August 21, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 2:35pm EDT in Arlington, TX.
This season, the Pirates are 59-66 against the spread (ATS), while the Rangers are 56-71 ATS.
Pirates vs Rangers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Pirates starting pitcher: Domingo German 0-0, 3.00 ERA
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 4-13, 4.18 ERA
Pirates vs. Rangers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Pirates | +1.5 -155 | O 8.5 -115 | +135 |
| Rangers | -1.5 +125 | U 8.5 -105 | -160 |
Pirates vs Rangers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 53.8% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Pirates players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Pirates Player Prop Bets Today:
- Joey Bart has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 16 games (+24.90 Units / 156% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Hits Over in 36 of his last 50 games (+17.25 Units / 18% ROI)
- Bryan Reynolds has hit the Runs Under in 18 of his last 21 away games (+13.45 Units / 42% ROI)
- Isiah Kiner-Falefa has hit the Singles Over in 30 of his last 43 games (+11.05 Units / 19% ROI)
- Joey Bart has hit the Total Bases Over in 16 of his last 20 games (+9.75 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 19 of his last 33 games (+16.45 Units / 48% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 21 games at home (+14.40 Units / 69% ROI)
- Wyatt Langford has hit the RBIs Under in 26 of his last 32 games (+12.95 Units / 18% ROI)
- Nate Lowe has hit the Walks Over in 17 of his last 28 games (+12.40 Units / 44% ROI)
- Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
Pirates Best Bets Today:
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have covered the Run Line in 52 of their last 86 games (+17.55 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Team Total Over in 29 of their last 48 games (+8.45 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the Game Total Under in 36 of their last 63 games (+6.35 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 34 of their last 81 games (+4.20 Units / 4% ROI)
- The Pittsburgh Pirates have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 4 of their last 5 games (+2.90 Units / 45% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 40 of their last 60 games at home (+20.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Team Total Under in 37 of their last 59 games at home (+13.15 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 13 of their last 15 games (+11.95 Units / 64% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 24 of their last 40 games at home (+4.70 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 20 of their last 40 games at home (+2.65 Units / 5% ROI)
Pirates Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Pirates are 70-55 against the Run Line (+12.46 Units / 7.71% ROI).
- 59-66 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.9 Units / -5.49% ROI
- 59-62 when betting on the total runs Over for -9.25 Units / -6.68% ROI
- 62-59 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.22 Units / -1.62% ROI
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 56-71 against the Run Line (-25.3 Units / -15.06% ROI).
- 58-69 when betting on the Moneyline for -20.5 Units / -12.86% ROI
- 55-66 when betting on the total runs Over for -17.5 Units / -12.52% ROI
- 66-55 when betting on the total runs Under for +5.65 Units / 4.04% ROI
Rangers vs Pirates Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +375 | 0.5 -500 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +475 | 0.5 -650 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
Rangers vs Pirates Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Isiah Kiner-Falefa (PIT) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Bryan De La Cruz (PIT) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +155 |
Rangers vs Pirates RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Bryan Reynolds (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Joey Bart (PIT) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
| Josh Jung (TEX) | 0.5 +185 | 0.5 -250 |
Rangers vs Pirates Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 5.5 +105 | 5.5 -140 |
Pirates Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 6% (1/16) against Domingo German this month (3 games) — lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 44% — first Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 43% of the time (581/1,358) against right-handed batters since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 179 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 6% (1/16) against Domingo German this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified RPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — 0 Percentile.
Domingo German has thrown his curveball 35% of the time (714/2,051) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 179 total CB; League Avg: 15% — 97th Percentile.
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .188 (32-for-170) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since last season — tied for 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .262 — 99th Percentile.
Hitters have swung at 54% of Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs (1,133/2,087) since last season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: 48% — 99th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of 31% (169/540) against Andrew Heaney on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — 12th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 179 total IP; League Avg: 26% — 92nd Percentile.
Andrew Heaney has thrown his slider 40% of the time (499/1,248) vs left-handed batters since the 2022 season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 179 total SL; League Avg: 17% — 97th Percentile.
Pirates Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Pirates are just 46-62 (.426) after a home win since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .532.
The Pirates are just 17-28 (.378) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Pirates are just 6-35 (.146) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .242.
The Pirates are just 7-23 (.233) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .354.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Pirates
The Rangers are just 10-183 (.052) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.
The Rangers are just 4-201 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Rangers are just 6-108 (.053) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .102.
The Rangers are just 29-113 (.204) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .264.
Pirates Hitting Stats & Trends
Pirates hitters are slugging just .493 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .572.
Pirates hitters are slugging just .380 against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .407.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .658 (3,459 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Pirates hitters have an OPS of just .686 (7,619 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .723.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
26% of Rangers hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .947 (873 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.073.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,869 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
Rangers hitters have a swing rate of 36% on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 31%.
Pirates Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 34% against Pirates pitchers over the last 14 days — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 36% against Pirates pitchers this month (17 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Pirates pitchers have walked 1,558 of 17,241 batters (9%) since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .243 against Pirates pitchers with runners on base this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .261.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.7
Rangers pitchers have an ERA of 5.31 (536.0 IP) on the road this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 4.23.
Rangers pitchers have walked 428 of 4,766 batters (9%) this season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 30% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers vs. Pirates Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
- Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
- Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL
- Bryan Reynolds (Pittsburgh Pirates): Back, Day-To-Day
- Johan Oviedo (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Dauri Moreta (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Endy Rodriguez (Pittsburgh Pirates): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Bailey Falter (Pittsburgh Pirates): Triceps, 15-Day IL
- Ryan Borucki (Pittsburgh Pirates): Wrist, 60-Day IL
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