- The Brewers are -120 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Brewers Over / Under today: 9 Runs
- Rangers / Brewers TV Channel: BSWI | BSSW
The Texas Rangers (+100) visit American Family Field to take on the Milwaukee Brewers (-120) on Tuesday, June 25, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Milwaukee, WI.
This season, the Rangers are 37-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Brewers are 41-38 ATS.
Rangers vs Brewers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 2-8, 4.21 ERA
- Brewers starting pitcher: Bryse Wilson 4-3, 4.24 ERA
Rangers vs. Brewers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | +1.5 -190 | O 9 -105 | +100 |
| Brewers | -1.5 +155 | U 9 -115 | -120 |
Rangers vs Brewers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rangers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Josh H. Smith has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 6 games (+18.10 Units / 302% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Under in 14 of his last 19 games (+13.50 Units / 71% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+12.75 Units / 36% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the RBIs Under in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.05 Units / 27% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 25 of his last 37 games (+11.35 Units / 24% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Brewers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Brewers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Sal Frelick has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 11 games at home (+17.00 Units / 155% ROI)
- Willy Adames has hit the Runs Over in 17 of his last 25 games at home (+12.55 Units / 49% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Hits Under in 13 of his last 18 games at home (+10.95 Units / 45% ROI)
- Brice Turang has hit the Total Bases Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.90 Units / 40% ROI)
- William Contreras has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 24 games (+9.05 Units / 19% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 45 of their last 74 games (+17.90 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the Run Line in 16 of their last 25 games (+6.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 9 of their last 13 away games (+4.85 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 14 of their last 26 games (+4.65 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 16 of their last 26 games (+4.05 Units / 13% ROI)
Brewers Best Bets Today:
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Moneyline in 46 of their last 79 games (+11.55 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 75 games (+10.60 Units / 13% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have hit the Team Total Over in 17 of their last 23 games at home (+10.25 Units / 39% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 23 games at home (+7.90 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Milwaukee Brewers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 45 of their last 79 games (+6.70 Units / 7% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 36-42 against the Run Line (-10.95 Units / -10.87% ROI).
- 37-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -10.85 Units / -11% ROI
- 28-46 when betting on the total runs Over for -22.7 Units / -26.3% ROI
- 46-28 when betting on the total runs Under for +15.65 Units / 18.35% ROI
Brewers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Brewers are 41-38 against the Run Line (-0.4 Units / -0.38% ROI).
- 46-33 when betting on the Moneyline for +11.55 Units / 11.79% ROI
- 43-32 when betting on the total runs Over for +8.4 Units / 9.72% ROI
- 32-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -15.3 Units / -17.51% ROI
Brewers vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +290 | 0.5 -375 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -400 |
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +350 | 0.5 -450 |
Brewers vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Josh H. Smith (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Christian Yelich (MIL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Marcus Semien (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Joey Ortiz (MIL) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +175 |
Brewers vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Willy Adames (MIL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -155 |
| Rhys Hoskins (MIL) | 0.5 +120 | 0.5 -160 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Gary Sanchez (MIL) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Brewers vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Heaney (TEX) | 4.5 -140 | 4.5 +105 |
| Bryse Wilson (MIL) | 3.5 -110 | 3.5 -120 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Andrew Heaney has allowed an average Exit Velocity of 85.3 MPH on pitches out of the zone since the 2022 season (178 balls in play) — 3rd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: 80.6
Andrew Heaney has walked 4 of 127 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 6th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: 7% — 96th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .176 (32-for-182) against Andrew Heaney’s inside fastball since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 159 total IP; League Avg: .260 — 99th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .296 (45-for-152) against Andrew Heaney’s non-fastballs this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 30 total IP; League Avg: .223 — fourth Percentile.
Brewers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 17% (48/275) against Bryse Wilson with runners in scoring position since last season — 3rd lowest among qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — second Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (211/1,068) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 4th lowest among NL Relievers; League Avg: 27% — fifth Percentile.
Bryse Wilson has allowed 13 home runs with two-strikes since last season — most among NL Relievers — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 20% (211/1,068) against Bryse Wilson since last season — 11th lowest among among 183 qualified RPs in MLB*; League Avg: 28% — sixth Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Brewers
The Rangers are just 2-97 (.020) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .054.
The Rangers are just 3-178 (.017) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rangers are just 15-147 (.093) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .133.
The Rangers are just 11-18 (.379) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
Brewers Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Brewers are 34-15 (.694) after a home loss since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .519.
The Brewers are 27-20 (.574) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Brewers are 44-105 (.295) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .206.
The Brewers are 30-60 (.333) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .213.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .333 (2,489 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .320.
The Rangers are batting just .268 in hitter’s counts this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .330.
Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .248 (210 PA’s) against pitchers who have thrown at least 80 pitches in a game this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .317.
Rangers hitters are slugging .462 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
Brewers Hitting Stats & Trends
team hitters – home
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Rangers pitchers since the 2022 season — 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .218 against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .246.
Rangers pitchers have walked 282 of 2,902 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Brewers Pitching Stats & Trends
Brewers pitchers allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 38% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 49%.
Brewers pitchers have allowed opponents to score in three different innings in 36% of their games since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 47%.
Brewers pitchers had allowed a run just 28% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
The Brewers have won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first since last season — 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 33%.
Brewers vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- J.C. Mejia (Milwaukee Brewers): Suspension, Suspension
- Garrett Mitchell (Milwaukee Brewers): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Christian Arroyo (Milwaukee Brewers): Wrist, 7-Day IL
- Jeferson Quero (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, Day-To-Day
- Easton McGee (Milwaukee Brewers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wade Miley (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Devin Williams (Milwaukee Brewers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Brandon Woodruff (Milwaukee Brewers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Taylor Clarke (Milwaukee Brewers): Knee, 15-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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