- The Phillies are -175 favorites vs the Rangers
- Rangers vs Phillies Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rangers / Phillies TV Channel: NSPA | BSSW | MLBN
The Texas Rangers () visit Citizens Bank Park to take on the Philadelphia Phillies () on Wednesday, May 22, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 6:40pm EDT in Philadelphia, PA.
This season, the Rangers are 24-25 against the spread (ATS), while the Phillies are 28-21 ATS.
Rangers vs Phillies Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rangers starting pitcher: Dane Dunning 3-2, 4.14 ERA
- Phillies starting pitcher: Taijuan Walker 3-0, 4.99 ERA
Rangers vs. Phillies Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rangers | O | ||
| Phillies | U |
Rangers vs Phillies Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Phillies will win Wednesday‘s MLB game with 52.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:
- Corey Seager has hit the Runs Under in 24 of his last 33 games (+13.40 Units / 34% ROI)
- Leody Taveras has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 6 away games (+12.00 Units / 200% ROI)
- Corey Seager has hit the Hits Under in 20 of his last 27 games (+10.95 Units / 20% ROI)
- Adolis Garcia has hit the Total Bases Under in 16 of his last 21 games (+9.95 Units / 39% ROI)
- Marcus Semien has hit the RBIs Over in 10 of his last 19 away games (+7.40 Units / 39% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Phillies players for Wednesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Phillies Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alec Bohm has hit the RBIs Over in 23 of his last 40 games (+17.80 Units / 44% ROI)
- Bryson Stott has hit the Home Runs Over in 2 of his last 7 games (+17.00 Units / 243% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 23 of his last 30 games (+14.20 Units / 35% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Total Bases Over in 20 of his last 30 games (+13.20 Units / 43% ROI)
- Alec Bohm has hit the Hits Over in 18 of his last 30 games (+12.30 Units / 26% ROI)
Rangers Best Bets Today:
- The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Under in 27 of their last 45 games (+9.45 Units / 19% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 10 games (+7.85 Units / 65% ROI)
- The Texas Rangers have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 13 of their last 22 away games (+3.55 Units / 14% ROI)
Phillies Best Bets Today:
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Team Total Over in 28 of their last 32 games (+23.60 Units / 61% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the Moneyline in 27 of their last 33 games (+18.30 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 26 of their last 34 games (+18.10 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 32 games (+17.55 Units / 42% ROI)
- The Philadelphia Phillies have covered the Run Line in 21 of their last 30 games (+14.00 Units / 38% ROI)
Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 19-30 against the Run Line (-14.1 Units / -22.98% ROI).
- 24-25 when betting on the Moneyline for -8.1 Units / -12.51% ROI
- 19-28 when betting on the total runs Over for -11.8 Units / -21.87% ROI
- 28-19 when betting on the total runs Under for +7.2 Units / 13.37% ROI
Phillies Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Phillies are 28-21 against the Run Line (+8.55 Units / 14.42% ROI).
- 35-14 when betting on the Moneyline for +14.85 Units / 18.29% ROI
- 24-22 when betting on the total runs Over for -0.2 Units / -0.37% ROI
- 22-24 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.6 Units / -8.52% ROI
Phillies vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Kyle Schwarber (PHI) | 0.5 +250 | 0.5 -350 |
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +260 | 0.5 -350 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +300 | 0.5 -375 |
| Corey Seager (TEX) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
Phillies vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 -275 | 0.5 +200 |
| Nate Lowe (TEX) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Bryson Stott (PHI) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
Phillies vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bryce Harper (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Alec Bohm (PHI) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -165 |
| Adolis Garcia (TEX) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -185 |
| J.T. Realmuto (PHI) | 0.5 +135 | 0.5 -175 |
| Nick Castellanos (PHI) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
Phillies vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Jon Gray (TEX) | 5.5 -105 | 5.5 -120 |
| Ranger Suarez (PHI) | 5.5 +115 | 5.5 -150 |
Rangers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Dane Dunning has a first-pitch strike rate of just 48% (73/153) this season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 63% — 0 Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .119 (7-for-59) against Dane Dunning when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 5th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .233 — 97th Percentile.
Dane Dunning has allowed an OBP of just .175 (63 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .299 — 98th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a miss rate of 36% (45/125) against Dane Dunning this season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: 24% — 97th Percentile.
Phillies Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball batting average of .450 (9 GB hits out of 20 GBs) against Taijuan Walker this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 18 total IP; League Avg: .240 — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 140 of Taijuan Walker’s 713 breaking balls out of the zone (chase rate of 20%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 32% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a swing rate of just 34% (242/712) against Taijuan Walker on low breaking pitches since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 46% — 0 Percentile.
Hitters have chased just 99 of Taijuan Walker’s 469 breaking balls down out of the zone (chase rate of 21%) since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 147 total IP; League Avg: 35% — 0 Percentile.
Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Phillies
The Rangers are just 9-148 (.057) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .095.
The Rangers are just 10-16 (.385) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rangers are just 2-82 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .053.
The Rangers are just 3-163 (.018) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
Phillies Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers
The Phillies are 23-21 (.523) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .414.
The Phillies are 14-9 (.609) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .425.
The Phillies are 75-48 (.610) after a win since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .508.
The Phillies are 9-76 (.106) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .053.
Rangers Hitting Stats & Trends
Rangers hitters have an OBP of .341 (4,024 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .322.
Rangers hitters have an OPS of .814 (4,024 PA’s) at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .738.
13% of Rangers’ hitters plate appearances have lasted only one pitch (1,829/14,204 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 11%.
Rangers hitters are slugging .473 at home since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .416.
Phillies Hitting Stats & Trends
Phillies hitters are slugging .506 when facing the starting pitcher for the 3rd time in a game since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .447.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 71% at home this season — tied for 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Phillies hitters have a groundball batting average of .347 against the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
The Phillies have a winning percentage of 71% this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rangers Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Rangers pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Rangers pitchers have walked 183 of 1,847 batters (10%) this season — tied for 4th highest in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
The Rangers have allowed 1.82 runs per game (89/49) in late innings this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 1.30.
The Rangers won 41% of games in which their opponents scored first in the 2023 season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 34%.
Phillies Pitching Stats & Trends
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 25% this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Phillies have won 62% of games in which their opponents scored first this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .143 against Phillies pitchers with the shift this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .237.
Phillies pitchers have a strikeout rate of 46% with two-strikes this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Phillies vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Taijuan Walker (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Orion Kerkering (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, 15-Day IL
- Michael Rucker (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, 15-Day IL
- Michael Lorenzen (Philadelphia Phillies): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Erich Uelmen (Philadelphia Phillies): Forearm, Out
- Weston Wilson (Philadelphia Phillies): Hand, Day-To-Day
- Dylan Covey (Philadelphia Phillies): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
- Rafael Marchan (Philadelphia Phillies): Back, 10-Day IL
- Max Scherzer (Texas Rangers): Back, 15-Day IL
- Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Brett Martin (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, Out
- Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Jonathan Hernandez (Texas Rangers): Lat, 15-Day IL
- Carson Coleman (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Nathaniel Lowe (Texas Rangers): Oblique, 10-Day IL
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