Rangers vs Yankees Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Aug 11

New York Yankees' DJ LeMahieu hits a one-run double in the sixth inning of the first game of a baseball doubleheader against the Boston Red Sox, Tuesday, Sept. 12, 2023, in Boston.
(AP Photo/Steven Senne)
  • The Yankees are -145 favorites vs the Rangers
  • Rangers vs Yankees Over / Under today: 9.5 Runs
  • Rangers / Yankees TV Channel: YES | BSSW | MLBN

The Texas Rangers (+120) visit Yankee Stadium to take on the New York Yankees (-145) on Sunday, August 11, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:35pm EDT in New York City, NY.

This season, the Rangers are 55-62 against the spread (ATS), while the Yankees are 62-56 ATS.

Rangers vs Yankees Starting Pitchers Today:

  • Rangers starting pitcher: Andrew Heaney 4-11, 3.96 ERA
  • Yankees starting pitcher: Marcus Stroman 7-6, 4.13 ERA

Rangers vs. Yankees Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rangers+1.5 -175O 10 -120+120
Yankees -1.5 +145U 10 +100-145

Rangers vs Yankees Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Yankees will win Sunday‘s MLB game with 54.3% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.


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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rangers players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Rangers Player Prop Bets Today:

  • Nate Lowe has hit the Home Runs Over in 6 of his last 37 games (+15.00 Units / 41% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Hits Under in 15 of his last 24 games (+14.85 Units / 58% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the Singles Under in 20 of his last 25 games (+13.95 Units / 44% ROI)
  • Ezequiel Duran has hit the Runs Under in 21 of his last 25 games (+12.05 Units / 22% ROI)
  • Wyatt Langford has hit the RBIs Under in 19 of his last 23 games (+10.45 Units / 20% ROI)

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Yankees players for Sunday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

Best Yankees Player Prop Best Bets Today:

  • Anthony Volpe has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 17 games (+31.00 Units / 182% ROI)
  • Aaron Judge has hit the Singles Over in 27 of his last 50 games (+12.45 Units / 25% ROI)
  • Gleyber Torres has hit the Hits Over in 20 of his last 24 games (+12.35 Units / 24% ROI)
  • Austin Wells has hit the Total Bases Over in 12 of his last 14 games (+11.80 Units / 67% ROI)
  • Oswaldo Cabrera has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 10 of his last 11 games (+10.05 Units / 83% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 19 away games (+9.70 Units / 47% ROI)
  • The Texas Rangers have hit the Moneyline in 16 of their last 30 games (+0.95 Units / 2% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Game Total Over in 42 of their last 61 games (+22.90 Units / 34% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 84 games (+15.30 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 21 games at home (+8.75 Units / 37% ROI)
  • The New York Yankees have hit the Moneyline in 9 of their last 13 games (+1.05 Units / 4% ROI)

Rangers Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Rangers are 51-66 against the Run Line (-24.7 Units / -16.05% ROI).

  • 55-62 when betting on the Moneyline for -15.5 Units / -10.51% ROI
  • 51-61 when betting on the total runs Over for -16 Units / -12.43% ROI
  • 61-51 when betting on the total runs Under for +4.95 Units / 3.84% ROI

Yankees Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this season, the Yankees are 62-56 against the Run Line (+11.6 Units / 8.18% ROI).

  • 69-49 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.95 Units / -1.67% ROI
  • 65-49 when betting on the total runs Over for +10.75 Units / 8.26% ROI
  • 49-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -22.5 Units / -17.35% ROI

Yankees vs Rangers Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +200 0.5 -250
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +250 0.5 -350
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +280 0.5 -350
Juan Soto (NYY) 0.5 +400 0.5 -550
Adolis Garcia (TEX) 0.5 +475 0.5 -650

Yankees vs Rangers Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 -275 0.5 +195
Marcus Semien (TEX) 0.5 -250 0.5 +185
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +165
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 -225 0.5 +170

Yankees vs Rangers RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Aaron Judge (NYY) 0.5 +105 0.5 -140
Giancarlo Stanton (NYY) 0.5 +110 0.5 -145
Corey Seager (TEX) 0.5 +125 0.5 -160
Josh Jung (TEX) 0.5 +150 0.5 -200
Wyatt Langford (TEX) 0.5 +165 0.5 -225

Yankees vs Rangers Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Marcus Stroman (NYY) 3.5 -150 3.5 +110
Andrew Heaney (TEX) 4.5 -120 4.5 -110

Andrew Heaney has located his sliders inside 47% of the time (258/551) this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 26% — 100th Percentile.

Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 35% (98/277) against Andrew Heaney this season — 6th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — eighth Percentile.

Andrew Heaney has walked 8 of 199 batters (4%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — 7th best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 91st Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 35% (120/345) against Andrew Heaney this season — 7th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 43% — ninth Percentile.

Yankees Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a line drive rate of just 18% (66/360) against Marcus Stroman this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 24% — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strike rate of just 60% (632/1,047) against right-handed batters this season — 2nd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 66% — second Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has located his pitches away 75% of the time (788/1,047) against right-handed batters this season — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: 49% — 100th Percentile.

Marcus Stroman has a strikeout rate of just 17% (33 SO in 198 PAs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 25% — second Percentile.

Rangers Keys to the Game vs. the Yankees

The Rangers are just 9-178 (.048) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2022 season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: .096.

The Rangers are just 3-195 (.015) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .051.

The Rangers are just 7-90 (.072) when trailing entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .142.

The Rangers are just 5-103 (.046) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .103.

Yankees Keys to the Game vs. the Rangers

The Yankees are 27-20 (.574) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .415.

The Yankees are 6-3 (.667) after a win as underdogs this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .413.

The Yankees are 12-19 (.387) when allowing 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .241.

The Yankees are 67-21 (.761) when they’ve scored in the first inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .622.

Rangers hitters have an OPS of just .953 (806 PA’s) with the pitcher behind in the count this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 1.073.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of .334 (2,850 PA’s) against LHP since last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .321.

26% of Rangers hitters strikeouts have come on 95+ MPH fastballs this season — 3rd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.

Rangers hitters have an OBP of just .167 (72 PA’s) when leading off an inning this month (8 games) — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.

Yankees hitters are slugging .460 against RHP this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .400.

Yankees hitters have a groundball batting average of just .217 since last season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .248.

Yankees hitters have drawn 480 walks in 4,556 PA’s (10%) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Yankees hitters have drawn 334 walks in 3,336 PA’s (10%) against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

The longest HR allowed by the Rangers pitchers this season traveled 510.9 feet — — 2nd longest in MLB; League Avg: 465.5

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of 29% in close and late situations this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 24%.

Opponents have a miss rate of 27% against Rangers pitchers this season — tied for 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.

Rangers pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 33% with two-strikes over the last 14 days — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

The longest HR allowed by the Yankees pitchers in the 2023 season traveled 536.1 feet — — longest in MLB; League Avg: 473.2

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .210 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .244.

Opponents have a groundball rate of just 33% against Yankees pitchers this month (8 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Opponents have a groundball batting average of just .203 against Yankees pitchers with the shift since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.

Yankees vs. Rangers Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Jonathan Loaisiga (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Jasson Dominguez (New York Yankees): Oblique, 7-Day IL
  • Everson Pereira (New York Yankees): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Giancarlo Stanton (New York Yankees): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
  • Clayton Beeter (New York Yankees): Shoulder, 7-Day IL
  • Clarke Schmidt (New York Yankees): Lat, 60-Day IL
  • Jon Berti (New York Yankees): Calf, 60-Day IL
  • Ian Hamilton (New York Yankees): Lat, 15-Day IL
  • Anthony Rizzo (New York Yankees): Forearm, 60-Day IL
  • Jose Trevino (New York Yankees): Quadriceps, 10-Day IL
  • Cody Bradford (Texas Rangers): Ribs, 60-Day IL
  • Dane Dunning (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 15-Day IL
  • Cole Winn (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Jacob deGrom (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Marc Church (Texas Rangers): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
  • Tyler Mahle (Texas Rangers): Elbow, 60-Day IL
  • Josh Jung (Texas Rangers): Wrist, 60-Day IL
  • Evan Carter (Texas Rangers): Back, 10-Day IL

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About the Author

Shane Jackson

Read More @Sjacksonmgm

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.

Shane Jackson is a Web Content Writer for BetMGM, covering MLB and NBA. After graduating from the University of Kansas, his previous stops include MLB.com, Lawrence Journal-World, Manhattan Mercury, Bet Chicago Sports, WynnBET, and Sportsbook Review.