- The Braves are -135 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Braves Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Rays / Braves TV Channel: BSSE | BSUN | ESPN+
The Tampa Bay Rays (+115) visit Truist Park to take on the Atlanta Braves (-135) on Saturday, June 15, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 4:10pm EDT in Atlanta, GA.
This season, the Rays are 33-37 against the spread (ATS), while the Braves are 32-35 ATS.
Rays vs Braves Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 4-3, 4.17 ERA
- Braves starting pitcher: Charlie Morton 3-3, 4.23 ERA
Rays vs. Braves Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -165 | O 8.5 -105 | +115 |
| Braves | -1.5 +140 | U 8.5 -115 | -135 |
Rays vs Braves Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Braves will win Saturday‘s MLB game with 54.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
Bet now on Rays vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Runs Under in 20 of his last 26 games (+12.00 Units / 34% ROI)
- Josh Lowe has hit the Hits Under in 9 of his last 12 games (+10.75 Units / 73% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+10.70 Units / 54% ROI)
- Randy Arozarena has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 away games (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Alex Jackson has hit the Total Bases Under in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.65 Units / 41% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Braves players for Saturday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Braves Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 42 games (+21.20 Units / 33% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 30 of his last 42 games (+17.65 Units / 36% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the RBIs Under in 33 of his last 42 games (+17.40 Units / 24% ROI)
- Austin Riley has hit the Total Bases Under in 28 of his last 37 games (+17.00 Units / 36% ROI)
- Michael Harris II has hit the Runs Under in 34 of his last 47 games (+15.40 Units / 22% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 46 of their last 67 games (+24.45 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 36 of their last 61 games (+8.60 Units / 12% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.10 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 7 of their last 11 away games (+3.80 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 19 of their last 34 games (+3.55 Units / 9% ROI)
Braves Best Bets Today:
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the Game Total Under in 37 of their last 53 games (+21.40 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 16 of their last 22 games (+8.94 Units / 32% ROI)
- The Atlanta Braves have covered the Run Line in 14 of their last 26 games at home (+2.00 Units / 7% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 29-41 against the Run Line (-13.95 Units / -15.5% ROI).
- 33-37 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.45 Units / -14.99% ROI
- 35-34 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.2 Units / -2.87% ROI
- 34-35 when betting on the total runs Under for -4.65 Units / -6.01% ROI
Braves Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Braves are 32-35 against the Run Line (-4.25 Units / -5.45% ROI).
- 37-30 when betting on the Moneyline for -11.15 Units / -9.43% ROI
- 24-40 when betting on the total runs Over for -19.35 Units / -26.51% ROI
- 40-24 when betting on the total runs Under for +13.55 Units / 18.19% ROI
Braves vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -400 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +333 | 0.5 -450 |
| Adam Duvall (ATL) | 0.5 +360 | 0.5 -450 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
Braves vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Ozzie Albies (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +175 |
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +185 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +170 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Braves vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Marcell Ozuna (ATL) | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -165 |
| Matt Olson (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Austin Riley (ATL) | 0.5 +150 | 0.5 -200 |
| Randy Arozarena (TB) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Isaac Paredes (TB) | 0.5 +170 | 0.5 -225 |
Braves vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (TB) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +105 |
| Charlie Morton (ATL) | 5.5 -135 | 5.5 +100 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.111 (20 Total Bases / 18 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .389 — first Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed a slugging percentage of 1.111 (20 Total Bases / 18 ABs) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .389 — first Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed an OPS of 1.611 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game over the last 14 days — highest among AL Starters over the last two weeks; League Avg: .668 — first Percentile.
Ryan Pepiot has allowed an OPS of 1.611 (18 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this month (2 games) — highest among among AL Starters; League Avg: .668 — first Percentile.
Braves Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 55% of the time (188/342) with two-strikes this season — highest among among NL Starters; League Avg: 18% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 43 of 374 batters (12%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — third Percentile.
Charlie Morton has thrown his curveball 40% of the time (446/1,111) this season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 16% — 100th Percentile.
Charlie Morton has walked 42 of 369 batters (11%) when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 6% — third Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Braves
The Rays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .411.
The Rays are 14-150 (.085) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Rays are 20-10 (.667) when tied entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Rays are 28-49 (.364) when allowing 10 or more hits since the 2023 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .262.
Braves Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Braves are 5-2 (.714) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Braves are just 2-7 (.222) after a loss as underdogs since the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .426.
The Braves are 34-63 (.351) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .211.
The Braves are 17-72 (.191) when trailing entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .104.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have 177 strikeouts in 545 PA’s (33%) in lefty-lefty matchups since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 24%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays are batting .263 against LHP since last season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .252.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Braves Hitting Stats & Trends
Braves hitters are slugging .483 against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .410.
Braves hitters are slugging .460 since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .402.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .821 (2,163 PA’s) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .731.
Braves hitters have an OPS of .805 (8,768 PA’s) since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: .724.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 38% against Rays pitchers this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays pitchers have walked 219 of 3,521 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Braves Pitching Stats & Trends
Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of 87.3 MPH (1,587 batted balls) this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9.
The Braves pitchers have allowed an average Exit Velocity of just 87.3 MPH this season (1,587 balls in play) — best in MLB; League Avg: 88.9
The Braves pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Braves pitchers since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 26%.
Braves vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Evan White (Atlanta Braves): Hip, Day-To-Day
- Angel Perdomo (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Ian Anderson (Atlanta Braves): Elbow, Out
- Sean Murphy (Atlanta Braves): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Taylor Walls (Tampa Bay Rays): Hip, 10-Day IL
- Jonny DeLuca (Tampa Bay Rays): Hand, 10-Day IL
- Jeffrey Springs (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane Baz (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Jonathan Aranda (Tampa Bay Rays): Finger, 10-Day IL
- Taj Bradley (Tampa Bay Rays): Pectoral, 15-Day IL
- Josh Lowe (Tampa Bay Rays): Oblique, 10-Day IL
- Junior Caminero (Tampa Bay Rays): Quadriceps, Day-To-Day
- Garrett Acton (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, Out
- Drew Rasmussen (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Shane McClanahan (Tampa Bay Rays): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Wander Franco (Tampa Bay Rays): Personal, Suspension
Bet now on Rays vs Braves and all games with BetMGM
Bet on MLB Odds at BetMGM
Sportsbook promos are always available at BetMGM. For new customers, check out the sportsbook welcome offer and BetMGM Refer a Friend. For existing customers, there are Odds Boosts, Parlay Boosts, contests and more.
