- The Rays (51-41) are -135 favorites vs the Royals (36-56)
- Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (5-3), 3.22 ERA
- Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (5-9), 3.96 ERA
- Watch the game on BSKC
The Tampa Bay Rays (-135) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+110) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.
The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).
The Rays vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.
So far this season, the Rays are 51-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 41-51 ATS.
Rays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | -1.5 +120 | O 9 -115 | -135 |
| Royals | +1.5 -145 | U 9 -105 | +110 |
Rays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s matchup with 68.4% confidence.
This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.
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Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today
We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 away games (+13.05 Units / 39% ROI)
- Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+12.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
- Shane McClanahan has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 68% ROI)
Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games at home (+12.95 Units / 19% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+10.70 Units / 29% ROI)
- Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
- Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)
Royals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +575 | 0.5 -1400 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +280 | 0.5 -450 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +310 | 0.5 -550 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -1400 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -750 |
Royals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 1.5 +165 | 1.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 1.5 +170 | 1.5 -250 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +170 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +140 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +135 |
Royals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Andrew Benintendi | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -250 |
| Bobby Witt Jr. | 0.5 +110 | 0.5 -155 |
| Hunter Dozier | 0.5 +125 | 0.5 -185 |
| Kyle Isbel | 0.5 +195 | 0.5 -300 |
| MJ Melendez | 0.5 +140 | 0.5 -200 |
Royals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Drew Rasmussen | 3.5 -150 | 3.5 +105 |
| Brad Keller | 4.5 +110 | 4.5 -160 |
Positive Betting Trends for the Rays Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 68 games (+5.95 Units / 7% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 51% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.70 Units / 18% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.75 Units / 8% ROI)
Positive Betting Trends for the Royals: Run Line, Moneyline, Run Totals
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+15.35 Units / 36% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.95 Units / 29% ROI)
- The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 43-49 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -5.07% ROI).
- 51-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -1.6% ROI
- 43-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -5.11% ROI
- 45-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -2.75% ROI
Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 41-51 against the Run Line (-19.7 Units / -16.13% ROI).
- 36-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -13.79% ROI
- 45-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -2.03% ROI
- 43-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -6.48% ROI
Drew Rasmussen: Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .703 (101 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 1.058 — 100th Percentile.
Drew Rasmussen has thrown fastballs up 83% of the time (109/131) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .231 (21-for-91) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (29/82) against Drew Rasmussen on low breaking pitches since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (19/121) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.
Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 58% (194/333) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (161/309) against Brad Keller this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.
Brad Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (226/409) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals
The Rays are 32-6 (.842) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.
The Rays are 22-6 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .660.
The Rays are 31-18 (.633) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.
The Rays are just 42-5 (.894) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.
Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.
The Royals are just 1-44 (.022) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.
The Royals are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.
The Royals are just 36-47 (.434) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 316 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays hitters have grounded into 126 double plays in 1,696 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.
Rays hitters are slugging .610 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .575.
The Rays have a winning percentage of 63% at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.
Royals Hitting Stats & Trends
Royals hitters have just 495 strikeouts in 2,613 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
The Royals have won just 47% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.
Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.
Royals hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 826 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 230 of 3,390 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Rays pitchers have walked 666 of 9,388 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Rays pitchers have walked 137 of 2,288 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Royals Pitching Stats & Trends
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals pitchers have walked 945 of 9,705 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.
Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Royals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
- Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
- Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
- Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
- Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
- Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
- Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
- Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
- Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
- Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
- Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
- Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
- Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
- Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
- Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
- Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
- Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60
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