Rays vs Royals Prediction, Odds & Player Prop Bets Today – MLB, Jul 22

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MLB betting odds, predictions and betting odds for today's games
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BetMGM Betting @BETMGM Jul 22, 2022, 3:35 PM
  • The Rays (51-41) are -135 favorites vs the Royals (36-56)
  • Rays starting pitcher: Drew Rasmussen (5-3), 3.22 ERA
  • Royals starting pitcher: Brad Keller (5-9), 3.96 ERA
  • Watch the game on BSKC

The Tampa Bay Rays (-135) visit Kauffman Stadium to take on the Kansas City Royals (+110) on Friday, July 22, 2022. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Kansas City.

The Rays are betting favorites in this MLB matchup, with the run line sitting at -1.5 (+120).

The Rays vs Royals Over/Under is 9 total runs for the game.

So far this season, the Rays are 51-41 against the spread (ATS), while the Royals are 41-51 ATS.

Rays vs. Royals Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline

SpreadOver / UnderMoneyline
Rays-1.5 +120O 9 -115-135
Royals +1.5 -145U 9 -105+110

Rays vs Royals Prediction for Today’s Game

Based on recent trends the model predicts the Rays will win Friday‘s matchup with 68.4% confidence.

This prediction factors in starting pitchers, recent team and player hitting performances, the last 5 games for both the Rays and Royals and up-to-date player injuries.


Looking for a risk-free bet up to $1,000? Bet now on Royals vs Rays and all MLB games with BetMGM


Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today

We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Taylor Walls has hit the Total Bases Under in 20 of his last 28 away games (+13.05 Units / 39% ROI)
  • Yandy Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 21 away games (+12.15 Units / 34% ROI)
  • Wander Franco has hit the Hits Under in 11 of his last 12 games (+11.70 Units / 46% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Strikeouts Over in 15 of his last 18 games (+11.55 Units / 50% ROI)
  • Shane McClanahan has hit the Earned Runs Under in 12 of his last 13 games (+11.25 Units / 68% ROI)

Best Royals Player Prop Best Bets Today

And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Royals players for Friday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:

  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Runs Under in 32 of his last 44 games at home (+12.95 Units / 19% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Hits Under in 28 of his last 52 games (+12.90 Units / 20% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 22 games (+10.70 Units / 29% ROI)
  • Salvador Perez has hit the Runs Under in 37 of his last 57 games (+10.40 Units / 13% ROI)
  • Andrew Benintendi has hit the Singles Over in 20 of his last 26 games (+10.15 Units / 25% ROI)

Royals vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +575 0.5 -1400
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +280 0.5 -450
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +310 0.5 -550
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +550 0.5 -1400
MJ Melendez 0.5 +400 0.5 -750

Royals vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 1.5 +165 1.5 -250
Bobby Witt Jr. 1.5 +170 1.5 -250
Hunter Dozier 0.5 -250 0.5 +170
Kyle Isbel 0.5 -200 0.5 +140
MJ Melendez 0.5 -200 0.5 +135

Royals vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Andrew Benintendi 0.5 +160 0.5 -250
Bobby Witt Jr. 0.5 +110 0.5 -155
Hunter Dozier 0.5 +125 0.5 -185
Kyle Isbel 0.5 +195 0.5 -300
MJ Melendez 0.5 +140 0.5 -200

Royals vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today

Over Under
Drew Rasmussen 3.5 -150 3.5 +105
Brad Keller 4.5 +110 4.5 -160
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 39 of their last 68 games (+5.95 Units / 7% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 6 of their last 7 games (+4.75 Units / 51% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Over in 14 of their last 25 games (+4.70 Units / 18% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 15 of their last 25 games (+4.00 Units / 15% ROI)
  • The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 9 of their last 16 games (+1.75 Units / 8% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 25 of their last 38 games (+15.35 Units / 36% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have covered the Run Line in 12 of their last 19 games (+7.65 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Total Over in 12 of their last 17 games (+6.35 Units / 33% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Moneyline in 11 of their last 19 games (+5.95 Units / 29% ROI)
  • The Kansas City Royals have hit the Game Total Over in 16 of their last 27 games at home (+5.10 Units / 17% ROI)

Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 43-49 against the Run Line (-5.75 Units / -5.07% ROI).

  • 51-41 when betting on the Moneyline for -2.05 Units / -1.6% ROI
  • 43-45 when betting on the total runs Over for -5.1 Units / -5.11% ROI
  • 45-43 when betting on the total runs Under for -2.85 Units / -2.75% ROI

Royals Against the Spread (ATS) Record

Against the spread this MLB season, the Rays have gone 41-51 against the Run Line (-19.7 Units / -16.13% ROI).

  • 36-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -13.65 Units / -13.79% ROI
  • 45-43 when betting on the total runs Over for -2.05 Units / -2.03% ROI
  • 43-45 when betting on the total runs Under for -6.6 Units / -6.48% ROI

Drew Rasmussen has allowed an OPS of just .703 (101 PA’s) when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 1.058 — 100th Percentile.

Drew Rasmussen has thrown fastballs up 83% of the time (109/131) with two-strikes this season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 45 total IP; League Avg: 54% — 100th Percentile.

Opponents are hitting just .231 (21-for-91) against Drew Rasmussen when he’s behind in the count since the start of last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .339 — 100th Percentile.

Opponents have a line drive rate of 35% (29/82) against Drew Rasmussen on low breaking pitches since the start of last season — highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: 24% — first Percentile.

Brad Keller: Royals Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends

Opponents have a miss rate of just 16% (19/121) against Brad Keller on the first pitch of at-bats this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 26% — first Percentile.

Brad Keller has a strike rate of just 58% (194/333) with runners in scoring position this season — 3rd lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 64% — fourth Percentile.

Opponents have a groundball rate of 52% (161/309) against Brad Keller this season — 7th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 44% — 91st Percentile.

Brad Keller has a first-pitch strike rate of just 55% (226/409) this season — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 63% — first Percentile.

Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Royals

The Rays are 32-6 (.842) when scoring 5 or more runs this season — 10th best in MLB; League Avg: .792.

The Rays are 22-6 (.786) when scoring in the first inning this season — 7th best in MLB; League Avg: .660.

The Rays are 31-18 (.633) at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .522.

The Rays are just 42-5 (.894) when leading entering the 8th inning this season — tied for 10th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .914.

Royals Keys to the Game vs. the Rays

The Royals are just 2-25 (.074) when their opponents score in the first inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .340.

The Royals are just 1-44 (.022) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .116.

The Royals are just 29-6 (.829) when leading entering the 7th inning this season — 6th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .884.

The Royals are just 36-47 (.434) when allowing 5 or more extra base hits this season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .535.

Rays hitters have grounded into 16 double plays in 316 opportunities (5%) in close and late situations since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays hitters have grounded into 126 double plays in 1,696 opportunities (7%) since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 10%.

Rays hitters are slugging .610 on the first pitch of at-bats since the start of last season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .575.

The Rays have a winning percentage of 63% at home this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 52%.

Royals hitters have just 495 strikeouts in 2,613 PA’s (19%) against LHP since the start of last season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

The Royals have won just 47% of home games in which they have scored three or more runs in an inning this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 78%.

Royals hitters have put 40% of their swings in play on the first pitch of at-bats this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 35%.

Royals hitters are averaging just 3.75 pitches per plate appearance against LHP this season — tied for lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.90.

Rays pitchers have walked 44 of 826 batters (5%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 230 of 3,390 batters (7%) this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Rays pitchers have walked 666 of 9,388 batters (7%) since the start of last season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Rays pitchers have walked 137 of 2,288 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since the start of last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 37% with two-strikes this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 15% versus the heart of the order this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals pitchers have walked 945 of 9,705 batters (10%) since the start of last season — tied for 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 9%.

Royals pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 19% this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.

Royals vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets 

  • Salvador Perez (Royals): Thumb, D10
  • Jonathan Heasley (Royals): Shoudler, D15
  • Daniel A. Lynch (Royals): Blister, D15
  • Raúl Mondesi (Royals): Knee, D60
  • Jacob Brentz (Royals): Flexor, D60
  • Tyler Zuber (Royals): Shoulder, D60
  • Jon Chargois (Rays): Oblique, D60
  • Jeffrey Springs (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Michael Zunino (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Manuel Margot (Rays): Knee, D60
  • Shane Baz (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Jalen Beeks (Rays): Leg, D15
  • Andrew Kittredge (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Brendan McKay (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Harold Ramírez (Rays): Thumb, D10
  • Yonny Chirinos (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Wander Samuel Franco (Rays): Wrist, D10
  • Jonathon Feyereisen (Rays): Shoulder, D60
  • Nick Anderson (Rays): Elbow, D60
  • Josh Fleming (Rays): Oblique, D15
  • Kevin Kiermaier (Rays): Hip, D60
  • Tyler Glasnow (Rays): Elbow, D60

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Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.

Our BetMGM betting authors are experts who focus on individual game matchups & player prop bets with an emphasis on betting odds, lines & predictions.