- The Tigers are -185 favorites vs the Rays
- Rays vs Tigers Over / Under today: 6.5 Runs
- Rays / Tigers TV Channel: BSDT | BSUN
The Tampa Bay Rays (+155) visit Comerica Park to take on the Detroit Tigers (-190) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 1:10pm EDT in Detroit, MI.
This season, the Rays are 78-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Tigers are 85-71 ATS.
Rays vs Tigers Starting Pitchers Today:
- Rays starting pitcher: Ryan Pepiot 8-6, 3.65 ERA
- Tigers starting pitcher: Tarik Skubal 17-4, 2.49 ERA
Rays vs. Tigers Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Rays | +1.5 -150 | O 6.5 +100 | +155 |
| Tigers | -1.5 +125 | U 6.5 -120 | -190 |
Rays vs Tigers Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Tigers will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 56.4% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Rays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Rays Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Home Runs Over in 5 of his last 10 games (+25.85 Units / 259% ROI)
- Jose Caballero has hit the Runs Under in 19 of his last 21 games (+15.15 Units / 34% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Over in 13 of his last 17 games (+11.60 Units / 60% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Hits Over in 15 of his last 17 games (+11.10 Units / 40% ROI)
- Jonathan Aranda has hit the Total Bases Over in 14 of his last 17 games (+9.60 Units / 37% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Tigers players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Tigers Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Riley Greene has hit the Home Runs Over in 4 of his last 12 games at home (+13.10 Units / 109% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Singles Over in 23 of his last 39 games (+12.50 Units / 31% ROI)
- Parker Meadows has hit the Hits Over in 28 of his last 39 games (+10.95 Units / 16% ROI)
- Riley Greene has hit the Walks Under in 15 of his last 18 games at home (+10.05 Units / 30% ROI)
- Tarik Skubal has hit the Strikeouts Over in 17 of his last 24 games (+8.35 Units / 27% ROI)
Rays Best Bets Today:
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 92 of their last 153 games (+26.21 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Game Total Under in 49 of their last 80 games (+19.55 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Team Total Under in 85 of their last 147 games (+17.20 Units / 10% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have covered the Run Line in 51 of their last 85 games (+10.65 Units / 9% ROI)
- The Tampa Bay Rays have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 83 games (+7.30 Units / 8% ROI)
Tigers Best Bets Today:
- The Detroit Tigers have covered the Run Line in 47 of their last 69 games (+23.35 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Moneyline in 44 of their last 71 games (+19.35 Units / 23% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Game Total Under in 14 of their last 17 games at home (+10.80 Units / 57% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 18 of their last 26 games at home (+9.65 Units / 31% ROI)
- The Detroit Tigers have hit the Team Total Under in 15 of their last 23 games at home (+6.00 Units / 22% ROI)
Rays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Rays are 80-76 against the Run Line (-5.1 Units / -2.41% ROI).
- 78-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.15 Units / -3.84% ROI
- 67-84 when betting on the total runs Over for -24.35 Units / -14.25% ROI
- 84-67 when betting on the total runs Under for +10.6 Units / 6.15% ROI
Tigers Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Tigers are 85-71 against the Run Line (+6.2 Units / 2.93% ROI).
- 82-74 when betting on the Moneyline for +6.2 Units / 3.4% ROI
- 76-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.1 Units / -1.84% ROI
- 72-76 when betting on the total runs Under for -11.65 Units / -6.91% ROI
Tigers vs Rays Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Christopher Morel (TB) | 0.5 +550 | 0.5 -800 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +600 | 0.5 -900 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Jake Rogers (DET) | 0.5 +675 | 0.5 -1100 |
| Kerry Carpenter (DET) | 0.5 +700 | 0.5 -1200 |
Tigers vs Rays Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 -200 | 0.5 +155 |
| Brandon Lowe (TB) | 0.5 -190 | 0.5 +145 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 -185 | 0.5 +140 |
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 -175 | 0.5 +135 |
| Jonny DeLuca (TB) | 0.5 -165 | 0.5 +130 |
Tigers vs Rays RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Riley Greene (DET) | 0.5 +200 | 0.5 -275 |
| Colt Keith (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Spencer Torkelson (DET) | 0.5 +210 | 0.5 -275 |
| Junior Caminero (TB) | 0.5 +220 | 0.5 -300 |
| Wenceel Perez (DET) | 0.5 +225 | 0.5 -300 |
Tigers vs Rays Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ryan Pepiot (: Strikeouts | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Tarik Skubal (DET) | 7.5 -110 | 7.5 -120 |
Rays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents had a groundball rate of just 12% (1/8) against Ryan Pepiot in his last start — lowest in MLB over the last week; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .226 (12-for-53) against Ryan Pepiot on the first pitch of at-bats this season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .331 — 95th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .207 (50-for-242) against Ryan Pepiot when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — tied for 4th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 126 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 97th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .203 (148-for-728) against Ryan Pepiot since the 2022 season — 7th best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 191 total IP; League Avg: .245 — 96th Percentile.
Tigers Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OBP of just .160 (424 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — tied for best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has 52 three-pitch strikeouts this season — most among pitchers in MLB — 100th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has allowed an OPS of just .323 (424 PA’s) with two-strikes this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .484 — 98th Percentile.
Tarik Skubal has walked 9 of 270 batters (3%) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 2nd best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 7% — 98th Percentile.
Rays Keys to the Game vs. the Tigers
The Rays are 133-5 (.964) when leading entering the 8th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .900.
The Rays are 83-10 (.892) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .799.
The Rays are 171-29 (.855) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — 4th best in MLB; League Avg: .796.
The Rays are 61-4 (.938) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .798.
Tigers Keys to the Game vs. the Rays
The Tigers are 38-4 (.905) when they’ve had 10 or more hits this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .750.
The Tigers are 5-57 (.081) when trailing entering the 9th inning this season — 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: .051.
The Tigers are 27-1 (.964) when they’ve had 5 or more XBH this season — tied for best in MLB; League Avg: .807.
The Tigers are 16-52 (.235) when trailing entering the 7th inning this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .144.
Rays Hitting Stats & Trends
Rays hitters have an OPS of just .660 (4,459 PA’s) against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .713.
The Rays scored first in 71% of their games against division opponents in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays scored first in 64% of their games in the 2023 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Rays hitters are slugging just .360 against RHP this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .401.
Tigers Hitting Stats & Trends
The Tigers are batting just .313 on the first pitch of at-bats since the 2022 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .339.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .301 (9,196 PA’s) against RHP since last season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .293 (13,534 PA’s) against RHP since the 2022 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .314.
Tigers hitters have an OBP of just .297 (17,761 PA’s) since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .315.
Rays Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 40% against Rays pitchers this season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 32% against Rays pitchers over the past seven days (6 games) — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
The Rays pitchers allowed their opponents to score first in just 36% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
The Rays pitchers allowed division opponents to score first in just 29% of their games in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 50%.
Tigers Pitching Stats & Trends
Tigers pitchers have walked 881 of 11,829 batters (7%) since last season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 44% against Tigers pitchers this season — tied for 5th highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 49% against Tigers pitchers over the last 14 days — highest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of 51% against Tigers pitchers this month (19 games) — highest in MLB; League Avg: 42%.
Tigers vs. Rays Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Detroit Tigers – No Injuries Reported
- Tampa Bay Rays – No Injuries Reported
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