- The Astros are -125 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Astros Over / Under today: 8.5 Runs
- Red Sox / Astros TV Channel: NESN | SCHN
The Boston Red Sox (+105) visit Minute Maid Park to take on the Houston Astros (-125) on Tuesday, August 20, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 8:10pm EDT in Houston, TX.
This season, the Red Sox are 65-59 against the spread (ATS), while the Astros are 62-62 ATS.
Red Sox vs Astros Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Nick Pivetta 5-8, 4.49 ERA
- Astros starting pitcher: Ronel Blanco 9-6, 2.90 ERA
Red Sox vs. Astros Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -200 | O 8.5 -115 | +105 |
| Astros | -1.5 +165 | U 8.5 -105 | -125 |
Red Sox vs Astros Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Astros will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 52.1% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Jarren Duran has hit the Home Runs Over in 11 of his last 48 games (+28.20 Units / 59% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 17 of his last 18 away games (+16.90 Units / 54% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Singles Over in 25 of his last 35 games (+15.35 Units / 39% ROI)
- Ceddanne Rafaela has hit the Runs Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+13.60 Units / 28% ROI)
- Rafael Devers has hit the Total Bases Over in 28 of his last 45 games (+11.40 Units / 22% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Astros players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Astros Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Alex Bregman has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 33 games (+33.20 Units / 101% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Hits Over in 26 of his last 48 games (+17.25 Units / 29% ROI)
- Yainer Diaz has hit the Total Bases Over in 17 of his last 23 games (+13.50 Units / 57% ROI)
- Ronel Blanco has hit the Hits Allowed Under in 18 of his last 23 games (+12.45 Units / 44% ROI)
- Yordan Alvarez has hit the Runs Under in 23 of his last 33 games (+11.85 Units / 30% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 51 of their last 81 games (+22.20 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 40 of their last 60 away games (+15.95 Units / 22% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 60 away games (+10.75 Units / 15% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 70 of their last 124 games (+8.75 Units / 6% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Over in 17 of their last 26 games (+7.85 Units / 26% ROI)
Astros Best Bets Today:
- The Houston Astros have hit the Game Total Under in 64 of their last 107 games (+18.70 Units / 16% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Moneyline in 35 of their last 51 games (+14.75 Units / 20% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have covered the Run Line in 39 of their last 66 games (+13.85 Units / 17% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 21 of their last 30 games (+11.20 Units / 30% ROI)
- The Houston Astros have hit the Team Total Under in 13 of their last 20 games (+5.20 Units / 21% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 58-66 against the Run Line (-17.1 Units / -10.29% ROI).
- 65-59 when betting on the Moneyline for -0.25 Units / -0.17% ROI
- 65-53 when betting on the total runs Over for +7.05 Units / 5.16% ROI
- 53-65 when betting on the total runs Under for -17.9 Units / -13.14% ROI
Astros Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Astros are 62-62 against the Run Line (+1.1 Units / 0.72% ROI).
- 68-56 when betting on the Moneyline for -5.25 Units / -2.93% ROI
- 49-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -29.45 Units / -21.73% ROI
- 72-49 when betting on the total runs Under for +17.85 Units / 12.98% ROI
Astros vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +270 | 0.5 -350 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +275 | 0.5 -350 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +325 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +400 | 0.5 -550 |
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +425 | 0.5 -600 |
Astros vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Jose Altuve (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +195 |
| Jeremy Pena (HOU) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +165 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -225 | 0.5 +160 |
Astros vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Rafael Devers (BOS) | 0.5 +130 | 0.5 -175 |
| Yordan Alvarez (HOU) | 0.5 +145 | 0.5 -190 |
| Wilyer Abreu (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +155 | 0.5 -210 |
| Yainer Diaz (HOU) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -225 |
Astros vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Ronel Blanco (HOU) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Nick Pivetta (BOS) | 5.5 -125 | 5.5 -105 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Nick Pivetta has allowed an OBP of just .177 (609 PA’s) with two-strikes since last season — 3rd best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .244 — 98th Percentile.
Nick Pivetta has allowed a slugging percentage of .714 (456 Total Bases / 639 ABs) in non-two strike counts since the 2022 season — 2nd highest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 179 total IP; League Avg: .563 — first Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .126 (12-for-95) against Nick Pivetta when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — tied for best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: .243 — 100th Percentile.
Right-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 27% (38/140) against Nick Pivetta this season — 2nd lowest in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 49 total IP; League Avg: 43% — first Percentile.
Astros Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Opponents are hitting just .128 (23-for-179) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .234 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .139 (33-for-237) against Ronel Blanco when going through the lineup the second time in a game since last season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 114 total IP; League Avg: .247 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .148 (8-for-54) against Ronel Blanco on the first pitch of at-bats this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .332 — 100th Percentile.
Opponents are hitting just .179 (85-for-475) against Ronel Blanco this season — best among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .238 — 100th Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Astros
The Red Sox are just 3-122 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .052.
The Red Sox are just 5-188 (.026) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .050.
The Red Sox are just 12-47 (.203) when scoring 4 or fewer runs this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .272.
The Red Sox are 43-35 (.551) after a road win since the 2023 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: .483.
Astros Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Astros are 78-53 (.595) after a road win since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .486.
The Astros are just 3-9 (.250) when tied entering the 8th inning this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Astros are 56-36 (.609) after a road loss since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .461.
The Astros are 187-25 (.882) when scoring 5 or more runs since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .795.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 407 strikeouts in 1,465 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox hitters are slugging .452 against RHP this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .400.
Red Sox hitters have put just 32% of their swings in play against LHP this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 37%.
The Red Sox are batting .261 with two outs this season — best in MLB; League Avg: .235.
Astros Hitting Stats & Trends
Astros hitters have just 890 strikeouts in 4,963 PA’s (18%) against LHP since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Astros hitters are averaging just 3.65 pitches per plate appearance this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 3.88.
Astros hitters have put 42% of balls in play to the left side of the field since the 2022 season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 38%.
Astros hitters have just 569 strikeouts in 3,113 PA’s (18%) against LHP since last season — best in MLB; League Avg: 22%.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Red Sox pitchers have walked 340 of 4,735 batters (7%) this season — tied for 3rd best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 176 of 2,552 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 13 of 116 batters (11%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning over the last 14 days — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Astros Pitching Stats & Trends
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 31% this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Opponents have a miss rate of 28% against Astros pitchers this season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
The average home run distance against the Astros pitchers this season is 388.3 feet — best in MLB; League Avg: 397.9
Astros pitchers have a strikeout rate of 53% with two-strikes this month (16 games) — best in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Astros vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Justin Verlander (Houston Astros): Neck, 15-Day IL
- Penn Murfee (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Kendall Graveman (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Jose Urquidy (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Oliver Ortega (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- J.P. France (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kyle Tucker (Houston Astros): Lower Leg, 10-Day IL
- Bennett Sousa (Houston Astros): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Cristian Javier (Houston Astros): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Isaiah Campbell (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 7-Day IL
- Vaughn Grissom (Boston Red Sox): Hamstring, 10-Day IL
- Michael Fulmer (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Chris Murphy (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Trevor Story (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Kenley Jansen (Boston Red Sox): Chest, Day-To-Day
- Brandon Walter (Boston Red Sox): Shoulder, 60-Day IL
- Chris Martin (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Lucas Giolito (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Justin Slaten (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 15-Day IL
- Garrett Whitlock (Boston Red Sox): Elbow, 60-Day IL
- Triston Casas (Boston Red Sox): Ribs, 60-Day IL
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