- The Blue Jays are -125 favorites vs the Red Sox
- Red Sox vs Blue Jays Over / Under today: 8 Runs
- Red Sox / Blue Jays TV Channel: NESN | RSN | TVA
The Boston Red Sox (+105) visit Rogers Centre to take on the Toronto Blue Jays (-125) on Tuesday, September 24, 2024. First pitch is scheduled for 7:07pm EDT in Toronto, ON.
This season, the Red Sox are 79-78 against the spread (ATS), while the Blue Jays are 77-80 ATS.
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Starting Pitchers Today:
- Red Sox starting pitcher: Brayan Bello 14-8, 4.54 ERA
- Blue Jays starting pitcher: Bowden Francis 8-5, 3.46 ERA
Red Sox vs. Blue Jays Odds, Run Line, Over/Under & Moneyline
| Spread | Over / Under | Moneyline | |
| Red Sox | +1.5 -200 | O 8 -120 | +105 |
| Blue Jays | -1.5 +165 | U 8 +100 | -125 |
Red Sox vs Blue Jays Prediction for Today’s Game
Based on recent trends the model predicts the Red Sox will win Tuesday‘s MLB game with 51.0% confidence, factoring in game simulations, recent player performances, starting pitchers and injuries.
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We’ve highlighted some favorite MLB player prop bets for Red Sox players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Red Sox Player Prop Bets Today:
- Triston Casas has hit the Home Runs Over in 10 of his last 46 games (+17.90 Units / 39% ROI)
- Romy Gonzalez has hit the Hits Over in 19 of his last 23 away games (+13.35 Units / 32% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Singles Under in his last 13 games (+13.00 Units / 55% ROI)
- Tyler O’Neill has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 18 of his last 24 games (+11.90 Units / 42% ROI)
- Jarren Duran has hit the Total Bases Under in 18 of his last 25 games (+10.05 Units / 32% ROI)
And here are some favorite MLB player prop bets for Blue Jays players for Tuesday‘s game, looking at profitable historical betting trends:
Best Blue Jays Player Prop Best Bets Today:
- Addison Barger has hit the Home Runs Over in 3 of his last 9 games at home (+15.90 Units / 177% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Runs and RBIs Under in 19 of his last 26 games (+11.85 Units / 36% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Total Bases Under in 19 of his last 28 games (+11.10 Units / 37% ROI)
- Ernie Clement has hit the RBIs Under in his last 10 games at home (+10.00 Units / 41% ROI)
- Davis Schneider has hit the Hits Under in 18 of his last 28 games (+9.50 Units / 33% ROI)
Red Sox Best Bets Today:
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Game Total Over in 33 of their last 58 away games (+8.80 Units / 14% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Team Total Over in 45 of their last 76 away games (+7.55 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the Moneyline in 41 of their last 76 away games (+6.95 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 9 of their last 13 away games (+5.70 Units / 41% ROI)
- The Boston Red Sox have covered the Run Line in 11 of their last 17 games (+4.80 Units / 21% ROI)
Blue Jays Best Bets Today:
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Game Total Over in 34 of their last 53 games at home (+15.65 Units / 27% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the 1st Five Innings (F5) Team Total Under in 24 of their last 36 games (+10.80 Units / 25% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the Run Line in 31 of their last 54 games (+5.60 Units / 8% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have hit the Team Total Under in 6 of their last 8 games (+4.15 Units / 49% ROI)
- The Toronto Blue Jays have covered the 1st Five Innings (F5) Run Line in 26 of their last 46 games (+3.95 Units / 7% ROI)
Red Sox Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Red Sox are 74-83 against the Run Line (-18.75 Units / -9% ROI).
- 79-78 when betting on the Moneyline for -7.7 Units / -4% ROI
- 77-72 when betting on the total runs Over for -1.9 Units / -1.11% ROI
- 72-77 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.15 Units / -7.09% ROI
Blue Jays Against the Spread (ATS) Record
Against the spread this season, the Blue Jays are 77-80 against the Run Line (-17.35 Units / -8.14% ROI).
- 73-84 when betting on the Moneyline for -18.25 Units / -9.59% ROI
- 78-74 when betting on the total runs Over for -3.25 Units / -1.9% ROI
- 74-78 when betting on the total runs Under for -12.2 Units / -7.08% ROI
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Home Run Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +340 | 0.5 -450 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +450 | 0.5 -650 |
| Triston Casas (BOS) | 0.5 +500 | 0.5 -700 |
| Trevor Story (BOS) | 0.5 +625 | 0.5 -1000 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 +650 | 0.5 -1000 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Total Hits Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| George Springer (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Nathan Lukes (TOR) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +190 |
| Masataka Yoshida (BOS) | 0.5 -250 | 0.5 +180 |
| Ernie Clement (TOR) | 0.5 -210 | 0.5 +160 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox RBI Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Tyler O'Neill (BOS) | 0.5 +160 | 0.5 -210 |
| Alejandro Kirk (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Vladimir Guerrero Jr. (TOR) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Jarren Duran (BOS) | 0.5 +175 | 0.5 -250 |
| Spencer Horwitz (TOR) | 0.5 +180 | 0.5 -250 |
Blue Jays vs Red Sox Strikeout Prop Bets Today
| Over | Under | |
|---|---|---|
| Bowden Francis (TOR) | 5.5 -160 | 5.5 +120 |
| Brayan Bello (BOS) | 4.5 -120 | 4.5 -105 |
Red Sox Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Brayan Bello has a strike rate of just 61% (466/763) in two strike counts this season — 5th lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 65% — ninth Percentile.
Brayan Bello has not allowed a home run in any of the last 35.0 innings he’s appeared — Cionel Perez has the longest active streak at 86.2.
Brayan Bello has allowed an OBP of .356 (261 PA’s) when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — 3rd highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .289 — fifth Percentile.
Opponents are hitting .274 (63-for-230) against Brayan Bello when going through the lineup the first time in a game this season — tied for 8th highest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: .231 — 16th Percentile.
Blue Jays Starting Pitcher Stats & Trends
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 6% (1/16) against Bowden Francis in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 40% — first Percentile.
Bowden Francis has allowed a BABIP of .211 this season — best in MLB among starting pitchers with at least 62 total IP; League Avg: .289 — 100th Percentile.
Left-handed hitters have a groundball rate of just 16% (4/25) against Bowden Francis this month (3 games) — lowest among qualified SPs in MLB; League Avg: 41% — first Percentile.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 20% (8/41) against Bowden Francis in his last two starts — lowest in MLB over the last two weeks; League Avg: 42% — first Percentile.
Red Sox Keys to the Game vs. the Blue Jays
The Red Sox are just 5-204 (.024) when trailing entering the 9th inning since the 2022 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .049.
The Red Sox are just 57-50 (.533) after a loss as favorites since the 2022 season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .589.
The Red Sox are just 33-135 (.196) when scoring 4 or fewer runs since the 2023 season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .271.
The Red Sox are just 37-38 (.493) after a loss as favorites since the 2023 season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .582.
Blue Jays Keys to the Game vs. the Red Sox
The Blue Jays are just 16-37 (.302) after a win as underdogs since the 2023 season — 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .418.
The Blue Jays are 78-31 (.716) vs the bottom 10 runs allowed teams since the 2022 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .577.
The Blue Jays are 27-15 (.643) when tied entering the 7th inning since the 2023 season — best in MLB; League Avg: .500.
The Blue Jays are just 20-106 (.159) when allowing 5 or more runs since the 2023 season — tied for 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .208.
Red Sox Hitting Stats & Trends
Red Sox hitters have 501 strikeouts in 1,783 PA’s (28%) against LHP this season — highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Red Sox hitters have 869 strikeouts in 3,361 PA’s (26%) against LHP since last season — 2nd highest in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
The Red Sox are batting .269 at home since the 2022 season — 2nd best in MLB; League Avg: .248.
The Red Sox are just 10-24 (.286) against the run line (-39.7% ROI) after a home win this season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: .454.
Blue Jays Hitting Stats & Trends
Blue Jays hitters have just 811 strikeouts in 4,032 PA’s (20%) against LHP since the 2022 season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 23%.
Blue Jays hitters have an OPS of just .654 (1,388 PA’s) against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .712.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .383 against LHP since last season — 5th lowest in MLB; League Avg: .409.
Blue Jays hitters are slugging just .351 against LHP this season — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: .398.
Red Sox Pitching Stats & Trends
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Red Sox pitchers this season — tied for 2nd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 443 of 5,964 batters (7%) this season — tied for 4th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 90 of 1,411 batters (6%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning this season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 7%.
Red Sox pitchers have walked 195 of 2,846 batters (7%) when facing the leadoff batter in the inning since last season — 5th best in MLB; League Avg: 8%.
Blue Jays Pitching Stats & Trends
Blue Jays pitchers had allowed a run just 24% of the time after an opposing score in the 2023 season — lowest in MLB; League Avg: 32%.
Blue Jays pitchers have a strikeout rate of just 38% with two-strikes this month (19 games) — 3rd lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Opponents have a miss rate of just 24% against Blue Jays pitchers this season — 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 25%.
Opponents have a groundball rate of just 41% against Blue Jays pitchers since last season — tied for 4th lowest in MLB; League Avg: 43%.
Blue Jays vs. Red Sox Injuries Tonight That May Affect Prop Bets
- Toronto Blue Jays – No Injuries Reported
- Boston Red Sox – No Injuries Reported
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